County Hazards

States › Montana › Teton County

Teton County, Montana

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 30099 · 6,269 residents (2021) · 2,272 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 103Tornado · 4Flood · 9Wind · 92Winter · 0
1956-07-30: Hail1957-06-09: Hail1958-09-02: Hail1958-07-27: Hail1958-07-27: Hail1959-06-21: Hail1963-07-08: Hail1964-07-02: Hail1965-07-29: Hail1966-07-01: Hail1966-07-14: Hail1966-05-30: Hail1967-06-18: Hail1974-06-20: Hail1976-06-06: Hail1976-06-10: Hail1976-06-10: Hail1981-07-13: Hail1982-06-29: Hail1984-05-14: Hail1987-07-26: Hail1988-06-28: Hail1988-06-28: Hail1992-07-23: Hail1992-07-23: Hail1992-07-23: Hail1992-08-02: Hail1996-06-15: Hail1996-06-26: Hail1997-06-04: Hail1997-06-04: Hail1997-06-04: Hail1997-06-04: Hail1998-08-07: Hail1998-07-05: Hail1998-07-05: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-07-09: Hail1998-07-05: Hail1999-08-07: Hail1999-08-12: Hail2000-06-15: Hail2000-08-11: Hail2002-07-23: Hail2002-07-14: Hail2002-08-05: Hail2003-05-25: Hail2003-05-25: Hail2003-06-10: Hail2003-06-10: Hail2003-06-19: Hail2003-06-19: Hail2005-06-05: Hail2005-06-05: Hail2005-06-05: Hail2005-06-05: Hail2006-06-13: Hail2007-07-02: Hail2008-07-04: Hail2008-07-04: Hail2008-07-04: Hail2008-07-04: Hail2008-07-04: Hail2008-07-04: Hail2009-07-26: Hail2010-06-01: Hail2012-06-26: Hail2012-06-23: Hail2012-06-23: Hail2013-07-24: Hail2013-07-24: Hail2013-06-19: Hail2013-09-06: Hail2014-05-15: Hail2016-06-30: Hail2017-04-25: Hail2017-04-25: Hail2018-07-25: Hail2019-06-18: Hail2019-06-14: Hail2019-06-14: Hail2019-07-13: Hail2020-08-20: Hail2020-06-24: Hail2022-07-07: Hail2022-07-07: Hail2022-07-07: Hail2022-07-07: Hail2022-07-07: Hail2022-07-07: Hail2022-07-07: Hail2022-07-07: Hail2022-08-25: Hail2022-07-07: Hail2023-06-23: Hail2024-08-19: Hail2026-06-12: Hail1963-06-05: Tornado1964-07-02: Tornado1966-07-02: Tornado1986-06-29: Tornado2008-05-25: Flood2010-08-11: Flood2011-03-10: Flood2011-06-07: Flood2018-03-28: Flood2019-05-26: Flood2020-01-15: Flood2021-07-20: Flood1982-06-29: Wind1984-05-30: Wind1987-07-26: Wind1989-05-10: Wind1989-06-15: Wind1998-07-03: Wind1998-07-05: Wind1999-08-07: Wind2000-06-05: Wind2000-06-05: Wind2001-06-27: Wind2001-05-08: Wind2002-06-27: Wind2003-06-20: Wind2003-06-19: Wind2003-06-19: Wind2004-06-23: Wind2004-09-01: Wind2004-09-01: Wind2004-09-01: Wind2004-09-01: Wind2004-09-01: Wind2004-09-01: Wind2004-09-01: Wind2004-08-06: Wind2006-06-04: Wind2007-06-25: Wind2008-07-04: Wind2008-08-19: Wind2008-08-09: Wind2009-07-25: Wind2009-07-06: Wind2011-06-23: Wind2013-08-29: Wind2013-08-29: Wind2013-08-29: Wind2013-07-08: Wind2014-10-15: Wind2017-06-08: Wind2017-06-08: Wind2017-06-08: Wind2017-06-08: Wind2017-06-08: Wind2018-07-25: Wind2018-07-25: Wind2018-07-25: Wind2018-07-25: Wind2018-06-25: Wind2018-06-25: Wind2018-06-25: Wind2020-05-18: Wind2020-05-18: Wind2020-04-27: Wind2020-06-24: Wind2021-07-20: Wind2021-07-20: Wind2022-08-12: Wind2022-09-07: Wind2022-09-07: Wind2022-08-26: Wind2022-08-26: Wind2022-06-18: Wind2022-06-18: Wind2023-08-29: Wind2023-08-29: Wind2023-08-29: Wind2023-08-29: Wind2023-08-29: Wind2023-08-29: Wind2023-08-29: Wind2024-08-06: Wind2024-08-06: Wind2024-08-23: Wind2025-06-25: Wind2025-08-19: Wind2025-08-19: Wind2025-08-19: Wind2025-08-19: Wind2025-08-19: Wind2025-07-02: Wind2025-07-02: Wind2025-07-02: Wind2025-07-02: Wind2026-05-28: Wind2026-05-28: Wind2026-05-28: Wind2026-05-28: Wind
Teton County within Montana. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Teton County, Montana, has 221 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them hail.

That is 9.7 events per 100 square miles, below the Montana figure of 24.9, and 352.5 per 10,000 residents against 328.5 statewide.

14 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 0 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $5.4M and crop damage at $520K.

FEMA has designated the county in 12 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds (major disaster, 7 Apr 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 5 claims since 1978, of which 4 were paid, totalling $31K (about $8K per paid claim). FEMA counts 18 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($8.2M a year across 18 hazards).

14events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
221events since 19500 deaths, 0 injuries recorded
12disaster declarationslast 7 Apr 2026
5NFIP flood claims$31K paid

Compared with Montana and the United States

MeasureTeton CountyMontanaUS
Recorded events since 195022136,2771,977,440
Events per 100 square miles9.724.956.0
Events per 10,000 residents352.5328.559.6
Events in the last 12 months141,52262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI016626,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$5.4M$369M$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.82.08.1
Average paid NFIP claim$8K$12K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years5.69.816.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 6
Hail: 7Tornado: 3
Hail: 4
Hail: 6Tornado: 1Wind: 5
Hail: 24Wind: 7
Hail: 24Flood: 2Wind: 25Wildfire: 4
Hail: 17Flood: 5Wind: 18Other: 2
Hail: 15Flood: 2Wind: 37Other: 7
61950s101960s41970s121980s311990s552000s422010s612020s
Recorded events in Teton County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWildfireOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 115 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 76 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail103
Wind92
Flood9
Other9
Tornado4
Wildfire4
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail103—1.2%detail
■ Wind92—0.6%detail
■ Flood9—0.8%
■ Other9—1.2%
■ Tornado4—0.9%
■ Wildfire4—1.5%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
6 Jun 1994Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$5.0M$500K——County
15 Jan 2020FloodFlood—$250K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
7 Apr 2026DR-4902Major disasterStraight-Line WindsSevere Winter Storm And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
18 Jul 2024DR-4801Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
31 Mar 2020DR-4508Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3476EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
12 Sep 2017FM-5212Fire management assistanceFireStrawberry FirePublic assistance
24 May 2016DR-4271Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
17 Jun 2011DR-1996Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3253EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
30 Aug 2000DR-1340Major disasterFireWildfiresIndividual assistance
15 Mar 1986DR-761Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, Landslides & FloodingPublic assistance
22 Aug 1977EM-3050EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
28 Jun 1975DR-472Major disasterFloodRains, Showmelt, Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Teton County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19785
Paid claims4
Total paid$31K
Average paid claim$8K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force180.4% of 5,049 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201811$28,322$28,322
201111$914$914
200211$791$791
199121$635$635

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 19.0 of 100
Expected annual loss$8.2MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$4,295,764
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$2,330,631
AvalancheRelatively Moderate$502,334
EarthquakeVery Low$382,735
WildfireRelatively Low$262,776
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$142,066
Strong windVery Low$75,712
DroughtRelatively Low$59,039
HailVery Low$30,245
LightningVery Low$28,246
TornadoVery Low$22,355
Heat waveVery Low$17,541
LandslideVery Low$1,883
Ice stormVery Low$1,449

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Teton County, MT?

NCEI records 103 hail events in Teton County since 1950, in 44 different years; that is about 1.3 recorded events a year. 25 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Teton County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 4 tornadoes in Teton County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Teton County?

7 Apr 2026: Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds, a major disaster declaration for straight-line winds. The county appears in 12 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Teton County, and how much was paid?

5 NFIP claims since 1978, 4 of them paid, for $31K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Teton County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Teton County compare with the rest of Montana?

9.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 24.9 statewide, and 0.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.0. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.