County Hazards

States › Montana › Yellowstone County

Yellowstone County, Montana

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 30111 · 167,146 residents (2021) · 2,633 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 507Tornado · 21Flood · 38Wind · 432Winter · 90
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Yellowstone County within Montana. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 1,121 storm events in Yellowstone County, Montana, led by hail.

That is 42.6 events per 100 square miles, above the Montana figure of 24.9, and 67.1 per 10,000 residents against 328.5 statewide.

38 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 7 deaths and 9 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $54M and crop damage at $2.5M.

FEMA has designated the county in 14 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storm And Flooding (major disaster, 16 Jun 2022).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 272 claims since 1978, of which 206 were paid, totalling $2.3M (about $11K per paid claim). FEMA counts 233 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($60M a year across 18 hazards).

38events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
1,121events since 19507 deaths, 9 injuries recorded
14disaster declarationslast 16 Jun 2022
272NFIP flood claims$2.3M paid

Compared with Montana and the United States

MeasureYellowstone CountyMontanaUS
Recorded events since 19501,12136,2771,977,440
Events per 100 square miles42.624.956.0
Events per 10,000 residents67.1328.559.6
Events in the last 12 months381,52262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI716626,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$54M$369M$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.62.08.1
Average paid NFIP claim$11K$12K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years19.79.816.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 14Tornado: 3Wind: 2
Hail: 16Tornado: 2Wind: 7
Hail: 7Tornado: 4Wind: 8
Hail: 9Wind: 15
Hail: 55Tornado: 6Flood: 6Wind: 42Winter: 10Cold: 1Wildfire: 1Lightning: 2Other: 10
Hail: 138Tornado: 2Flood: 10Wind: 109Winter: 44Cold: 2Wildfire: 2Lightning: 2Other: 6
Hail: 188Tornado: 4Flood: 17Wind: 170Winter: 36Wildfire: 1Other: 5
Hail: 80Flood: 5Wind: 79Other: 1
191950s251960s191970s241980s1331990s3152000s4212010s1652020s
Recorded events in Yellowstone County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 692 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 348 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail507
Wind432
Winter90
Flood38
Other22
Tornado21
Wildfire4
Lightning4
Cold3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail507—6.0%detail
■ Wind43223.0%detail
■ Winter9031.1%detail
■ Flood3813.2%detail
■ Other22—2.9%
■ Tornado21—4.9%detail
■ Wildfire4—1.5%
■ Lightning417.8%
■ Cold3—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
25 Aug 1985Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph——2—County
11 Dec 2013Winter WeatherWinter———11Forecast zone
21 May 2011FloodFlood—$300K—1—County
4 Jul 2009LightningLightning———1—County
23 Feb 2014Winter StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
19 Dec 2017Winter WeatherWinter———1—Forecast zone
20 Jun 2010TornadoTornadoEF2$30M———County
2 Jul 1958TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——2County
6 Aug 2020Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph———2County
2 Oct 1998LightningLightning—$10K——1County
12 Aug 1958TornadoTornado—$3K——1County
27 Jul 1998Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph———1County
23 Jul 2006LightningLightning————1County
31 Jul 1998HailHail1.25 in$8.0M$1.0M——County
4 Jul 1998HailHail1.75 in$4.0M$1.0M——County
20 Jun 2010Flash FloodFlood—$2.7M———County
11 Aug 2019Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$2.5M———County
4 Jul 1998HailHail2.50 in$2.0M———County
2 Jun 2023Flash FloodFlood—$1.6M———County
9 Jul 1994Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph$500K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
16 Jun 2022DR-4655Major disasterFloodSevere Storm And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
17 Jul 2021FM-5399Fire management assistanceFireBuffalo WildfirePublic assistance
2 Sep 2020FM-5344Fire management assistanceFireBobcat FirePublic assistance
2 Aug 2020FM-5324Fire management assistanceFireFalling Star FirePublic assistance
31 Mar 2020DR-4508Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3476EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
29 Aug 2011FM-2950Fire management assistanceFireCanyon Creek FirePublic assistance
17 Jun 2011DR-1996Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Aug 2007FM-2723Fire management assistanceFireFord Road FirePublic assistance
22 Aug 2006FM-2669Fire management assistanceFireEmerald Hills FirePublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3253EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
30 Aug 2000DR-1340Major disasterFireWildfiresIndividual assistance
25 Jul 1997DR-1183Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms,Ice Jams, Snow Melt, FloodingPublic assistance
29 May 1978DR-558Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Yellowstone County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978272
Paid claims206
Total paid$2.3M
Average paid claim$11K
Repetitive-loss properties150 severe
Residential policies in force2330.4% of 64,244 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202375$33,653$6,731
20222519$791,078$41,636
201911$6,797$6,797
20181211$165,943$15,086
201711$6,436$6,436
201475$168,692$33,738
20131512$102,118$8,510
201211$1,000$1,000
20114636$331,643$9,212
201095$20,181$4,036
200822$9,039$4,520
200721$3,084$3,084
200532$4,762$2,381
200420$0—
200311$1,162$1,162
200210$0—
200120$0—
199811$1,704$1,704
19974941$346,462$8,450
199622$2,235$1,117
199521$329$329
199410$0—
199144$49,777$12,444
198910$0—
198243$3,565$1,188

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 83.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$60MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$29,342,403
Cold waveRelatively High$19,053,747
WildfireRelatively Moderate$2,919,019
Winter weatherVery High$2,348,244
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,316,551
LightningRelatively High$1,273,567
Heat waveRelatively Low$1,187,095
HailRelatively Moderate$1,138,545
Strong windRelatively Moderate$864,716
TornadoRelatively Low$559,851
DroughtRelatively Low$51,213
Ice stormRelatively Low$46,597
LandslideRelatively Low$8,012
AvalancheVery Low$0

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Yellowstone County, MT?

NCEI records 507 hail events in Yellowstone County since 1950, in 58 different years; that is about 6.6 recorded events a year. 117 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Yellowstone County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 21 tornadoes in Yellowstone County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Yellowstone County?

16 Jun 2022: Severe Storm And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 14 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Yellowstone County, and how much was paid?

272 NFIP claims since 1978, 206 of them paid, for $2.3M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Yellowstone County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Yellowstone County compare with the rest of Montana?

42.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 24.9 statewide, and 1.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.0. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.