County Hazards

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Keya Paha County, Nebraska

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 31103 · 787 residents (2021) · 773 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 181Tornado · 11Flood · 8Wind · 77Winter · 65
1962-05-15: Hail1974-04-26: Hail1978-05-28: Hail1978-06-21: Hail1979-07-14: Hail1981-06-23: Hail1981-09-25: Hail1985-07-16: Hail1985-07-16: Hail1986-08-06: Hail1986-06-29: Hail1986-06-06: Hail1986-06-19: Hail1989-09-03: Hail1990-06-25: Hail1991-06-30: Hail1991-06-09: Hail1992-07-05: Hail1992-08-04: Hail1996-05-18: Hail1996-06-11: Hail1996-06-11: Hail1996-07-26: Hail1996-07-06: Hail1996-06-11: Hail1996-06-11: Hail1996-06-11: Hail1997-07-24: Hail1997-08-22: Hail1997-08-22: Hail1997-08-29: Hail1997-06-22: Hail1997-06-18: Hail1997-06-18: Hail1997-06-18: Hail1997-06-18: Hail1997-06-11: Hail1998-09-25: Hail1998-05-14: Hail1998-05-14: Hail1998-05-14: Hail1998-08-19: Hail1998-08-19: Hail1998-06-24: Hail1999-06-22: Hail1999-06-22: Hail1999-06-05: Hail1999-05-03: Hail1999-06-04: Hail1999-06-04: Hail1999-07-02: Hail1999-07-02: Hail1999-06-07: Hail1999-06-07: Hail1999-06-07: Hail2000-06-09: Hail2000-07-24: Hail2000-07-24: Hail2001-06-30: Hail2001-06-06: Hail2001-06-09: Hail2001-07-02: Hail2001-07-28: Hail2001-07-29: Hail2001-07-30: Hail2001-07-16: Hail2002-05-07: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-08-26: Hail2002-08-11: Hail2002-08-11: Hail2002-08-28: Hail2003-06-24: Hail2003-06-09: Hail2003-06-09: Hail2003-06-09: Hail2003-05-13: Hail2003-08-04: Hail2003-08-04: Hail2004-08-02: Hail2004-07-03: Hail2004-07-31: Hail2005-05-07: Hail2005-06-27: Hail2005-08-21: Hail2005-09-24: Hail2006-08-09: Hail2006-08-10: Hail2007-06-21: Hail2007-05-04: Hail2007-04-21: Hail2007-05-05: Hail2007-05-04: Hail2007-06-10: Hail2007-08-03: Hail2007-08-09: Hail2008-04-23: Hail2008-08-13: Hail2008-08-11: Hail2008-06-17: Hail2008-06-17: Hail2008-06-17: Hail2008-06-17: Hail2008-06-17: Hail2009-07-23: Hail2009-06-17: Hail2009-06-24: Hail2009-03-23: Hail2010-07-11: Hail2010-05-23: Hail2010-05-23: Hail2010-08-30: Hail2010-05-22: Hail2010-05-22: Hail2010-06-01: Hail2010-06-01: Hail2010-07-10: Hail2010-07-17: Hail1956-11-02: Tornado1956-06-05: Tornado1963-06-08: Tornado1963-06-08: Tornado1966-06-24: Tornado1978-05-28: Tornado1985-07-17: Tornado2003-06-09: Tornado2007-05-05: Tornado2010-05-22: Tornado2005-06-13: Flood2007-05-05: Flood2019-03-16: Flood2019-03-13: Flood2019-07-05: Flood1974-07-02: Wind1978-06-25: Wind1978-07-03: Wind1978-07-03: Wind1981-09-25: Wind1983-07-17: Wind1985-08-16: Wind1985-07-16: Wind1986-06-29: Wind1988-07-16: Wind1991-06-25: Wind1998-07-18: Wind1999-06-22: Wind1999-06-22: Wind2000-05-07: Wind2000-05-07: Wind2002-08-23: Wind2003-06-21: Wind2004-07-03: Wind2004-08-31: Wind2005-07-20: Wind2005-08-10: Wind2006-08-09: Wind2006-08-10: Wind2007-07-05: Wind2007-08-09: Wind2007-08-03: Wind2009-03-23: Wind2009-06-24: Wind2009-06-24: Wind2009-06-24: Wind2010-08-30: Wind2011-08-11: Wind2011-08-06: Wind2015-07-19: Wind2015-07-26: Wind2015-07-26: Wind2015-07-26: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2021-08-05: Wind2025-04-21: Wind2026-05-17: Wind2026-05-17: Wind2026-05-17: Wind2026-06-27: Wind2026-06-28: Wind2026-06-09: Wind
Keya Paha County within Nebraska. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 412 events for Keya Paha County, Nebraska, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.

That is 53.3 events per 100 square miles, below the Nebraska figure of 83.3, and 5,235.1 per 10,000 residents against 325.9 statewide.

18 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 4 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $5.8M and crop damage at $2.4M.

FEMA has designated the county in 13 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 4 Apr 2020).

OpenFEMA lists no National Flood Insurance Program claims in the county.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($1.0M a year across 18 hazards).

18events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
412events since 19500 deaths, 4 injuries recorded
13disaster declarationslast 4 Apr 2020
0NFIP flood claims$0 paid

Compared with Nebraska and the United States

MeasureKeya Paha CountyNebraskaUS
Recorded events since 195041264,0021,977,440
Events per 100 square miles53.383.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents5,235.1325.959.6
Events in the last 12 months181,59062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI018226,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$5.8M$5.1B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.03.18.1
Average paid NFIP claim—$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years—23.816.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 3
Hail: 4Tornado: 1Wind: 4
Hail: 9Tornado: 1Wind: 6
Hail: 42Flood: 2Wind: 10Winter: 15Cold: 1Drought: 1
Hail: 54Tornado: 3Flood: 3Wind: 24Winter: 24Cold: 2
Hail: 43Tornado: 1Flood: 3Wind: 17Winter: 18Heat: 1Cold: 12Drought: 18Wildfire: 1Other: 3
Hail: 28Wind: 16Winter: 8Cold: 7Drought: 24
21950s41960s91970s161980s711990s1102000s1172010s832020s
Recorded events in Keya Paha County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 240 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 138 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail181
Wind77
Winter65
Drought43
Cold22
Tornado11
Flood8
Other3
Heat1
Wildfire1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail181—0.7%detail
■ Wind77—0.4%detail
■ Winter65—0.8%detail
■ Drought43—1.2%
■ Cold22—1.0%
■ Tornado11—0.3%detail
■ Flood8—0.3%
■ Other3—0.3%
■ Heat1—0.1%
■ Wildfire1—1.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
20 Jul 2012WildfireWildfire—$1K$1.0M—3Forecast zone
5 May 2007TornadoTornadoEF1$100K——1County
5 Aug 2021Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$3.0M———County
1 Jul 2012DroughtDrought—$1.0M$1.0M——Forecast zone
19 Feb 1997FloodFlood—$750K———Forecast zone
5 May 2007Flash FloodFlood—$120K———County
22 May 2010TornadoTornadoEF2$120K———County
22 Aug 1997HailHail2.00 in$3K$100K——County
22 Jun 1999Thunderstorm WindWind115 mph$100K———County
19 Jul 1999Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
4 Apr 2020DR-4521Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3483EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
21 Mar 2019DR-4420Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
15 Jul 2010DR-1924Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
25 Feb 2010DR-1878Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And SnowstormPublic assistance
31 Jul 2009DR-1853Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
20 Jun 2008DR-1770Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Jun 2007DR-1706Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
7 Jan 2007DR-1674Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3245EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacueesPublic assistance
16 May 2001DR-1373Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms, Flooding And TornadoesPublic assistance
18 Jan 1977EM-3022EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
18 Jul 1967DR-228Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims with this county's code.

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 1.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$1.0MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Cold waveRelatively Low$357,793
Inland floodingVery Low$255,728
DroughtRelatively Low$82,333
HailVery Low$81,982
TornadoVery Low$72,532
Strong windVery Low$70,082
WildfireVery Low$64,931
Winter weatherRelatively Low$23,084
Heat waveVery Low$9,462
LightningVery Low$7,909
Ice stormVery Low$3,373
EarthquakeVery Low$2,220
LandslideVery Low$26

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Keya Paha County, NE?

NCEI records 181 hail events in Keya Paha County since 1950, in 42 different years; that is about 2.4 recorded events a year. 45 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Keya Paha County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 11 tornadoes in Keya Paha County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Keya Paha County?

4 Apr 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 13 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Keya Paha County, and how much was paid?

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims in the county.

Is Keya Paha County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Keya Paha County compare with the rest of Nebraska?

53.3 recorded events per 100 square miles against 83.3 statewide, and 0.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.1. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.