County Hazards

States › New York › Dutchess County

Dutchess County, New York

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 36027 · 297,112 residents (2021) · 796 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 161Tornado · 16Flood · 84Wind · 676Winter · 0
1957-06-14: Hail1957-07-30: Hail1962-07-31: Hail1966-06-10: Hail1984-06-13: Hail1985-06-24: Hail1987-06-13: Hail1987-06-13: Hail1987-07-15: Hail1987-07-30: Hail1990-06-19: Hail1990-06-19: Hail1991-06-12: Hail1991-08-18: Hail1992-07-15: Hail1992-06-24: Hail1992-06-24: Hail1992-06-24: Hail1992-07-05: Hail1996-06-08: Hail1997-11-04: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-09-26: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-04-02: Hail1998-05-20: Hail1998-05-20: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1999-07-29: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-06-11: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-08-09: Hail2000-08-09: Hail2001-06-03: Hail2001-07-01: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2002-05-27: Hail2002-06-16: Hail2002-06-16: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-23: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-07-05: Hail2004-08-20: Hail2005-05-29: Hail2005-05-29: Hail2006-07-11: Hail2006-06-01: Hail2006-06-01: Hail2006-06-20: Hail2006-06-20: Hail2006-06-29: Hail2007-07-06: Hail2007-07-06: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-08-16: Hail2008-07-27: Hail2008-08-16: Hail2008-08-16: Hail2008-07-27: Hail2008-08-11: Hail2008-08-11: Hail2008-05-31: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-07-17: Hail2009-07-17: Hail2009-07-17: Hail2010-09-22: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-08-19: Hail2011-08-01: Hail2011-08-01: Hail2011-08-01: Hail2011-08-01: Hail2011-08-01: Hail1978-08-07: Tornado1984-05-12: Tornado1987-07-25: Tornado1988-07-21: Tornado1992-07-31: Tornado1992-07-05: Tornado2000-05-18: Tornado2002-06-16: Tornado2002-05-31: Tornado2003-09-28: Tornado2006-06-25: Tornado2017-05-31: Tornado2018-05-15: Tornado2021-04-21: Tornado2021-11-12: Tornado2022-07-18: Tornado2005-06-29: Flood2005-06-16: Flood2007-04-16: Flood2007-07-11: Flood2008-03-05: Flood2008-08-11: Flood2008-09-06: Flood2008-12-12: Flood2008-03-08: Flood2009-05-24: Flood2009-05-24: Flood2011-03-07: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-09-29: Flood2011-09-07: Flood2011-05-20: Flood2011-05-19: Flood2011-05-19: Flood2011-05-19: Flood2011-05-19: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-06-30: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-09-02: Flood2014-07-02: Flood2018-09-26: Flood2018-09-12: Flood2021-07-17: Flood2021-07-17: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2022-04-07: Flood2023-09-09: Flood2023-08-12: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-10: Flood2023-07-16: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-10: Flood2023-07-10: Flood2023-07-10: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2024-01-09: Flood2024-01-10: Flood2025-06-06: Flood2025-06-06: Flood2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-04-15: Wind2026-04-15: Wind2026-04-14: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-01: Wind2025-07-01: Wind2025-07-01: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-05-03: Wind2025-05-03: Wind2025-05-03: Wind2024-08-02: Wind2024-08-02: Wind2024-08-02: Wind2024-08-02: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-22: Wind2024-06-21: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-07-27: Wind2023-07-27: Wind2023-07-27: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-24: Wind2023-07-24: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-06-02: Wind2022-09-19: Wind2022-07-24: Wind2022-07-24: Wind2022-07-24: Wind2022-07-24: Wind2022-07-24: Wind2022-07-13: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-04-14: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2021-12-02: Wind2021-12-02: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind
Dutchess County within New York. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 963 events for Dutchess County, New York, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 121.0 events per 100 square miles, in line with the New York figure of 120.3, and 32.4 per 10,000 residents against 28.6 statewide.

27 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 6 deaths and 15 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $22M and crop damage at $1.1M.

FEMA has designated the county in 27 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms And Flooding (major disaster, 22 Jul 2023).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 765 claims since 1978, of which 609 were paid, totalling $14M (about $23K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1,124 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($85M a year across 18 hazards).

44 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 1 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

27events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
963events since 19506 deaths, 15 injuries recorded
27disaster declarationslast 22 Jul 2023
765NFIP flood claims$14M paid

Compared with New York and the United States

MeasureDutchess CountyNew YorkUS
Recorded events since 195096356,6751,977,440
Events per 100 square miles121.0120.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents32.428.659.6
Events in the last 12 months271,94862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI657826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$22M$5.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.68.88.1
Average paid NFIP claim$23K$40K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years12.010.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Wind: 4
Hail: 2Wind: 6
Tornado: 1Wind: 11
Hail: 6Tornado: 3Wind: 45
Hail: 26Tornado: 2Flood: 5Wind: 131Lightning: 3Other: 1
Hail: 57Tornado: 5Flood: 21Wind: 102Lightning: 6Other: 3
Hail: 59Tornado: 2Flood: 23Wind: 190Lightning: 6Other: 6
Hail: 9Tornado: 3Flood: 35Wind: 187Other: 1
61950s81960s121970s541980s1681990s1942000s2862010s2352020s
Recorded events in Dutchess County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 597 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 320 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind676
Hail161
Flood84
Tornado16
Lightning15
Other11
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind67632.7%detail
■ Hail161—3.2%detail
■ Flood8411.2%detail
■ Tornado16—2.8%detail
■ Lightning1522.6%
■ Other11—2.0%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
12 Aug 2016LightningLightning———23County
16 Sep 1999Flash FloodFlood—$100K—1—County
1 Jul 1988Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph——1—County
27 Aug 2020Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph——1—County
26 Jun 2024Thunderstorm WindWind63 mph——1—County
11 Oct 1998Heavy RainOther—$5K——3County
19 Jun 1990Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———2County
18 Apr 2009Dust DevilOther————2County
29 May 1987Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
11 Jul 1988Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
16 Nov 1989Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
23 Aug 1996LightningLightning————1County
18 Jun 2018Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———1County
16 Apr 2007FloodFlood—$5.7M———County
9 Aug 2000Thunderstorm WindWind—$3.0M———County
31 Jul 1992TornadoTornadoF1$2.5M———County
9 Aug 2000Thunderstorm WindWind—$2.0M———County
16 Sep 1999Flash FloodFlood—$900K———County
16 Jun 2008HailHail1.75 in—$588K——County
3 Jun 2001HailHail1.00 in$2K$500K——County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
22 Jul 2023DR-4723Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Sep 2021DR-4615Major disasterHurricaneRemnants Of Hurricane IdaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Sep 2021EM-3572EmergencyHurricaneRemnants Of Hurricane IdaPublic assistance
22 Aug 2021EM-3565EmergencyHurricaneHurricane HenriPublic assistance
20 Mar 2020DR-4480Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3434EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
12 Jul 2017DR-4322Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
28 Oct 2012EM-3351EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
31 Aug 2011DR-4020Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IreneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Feb 2011DR-1957Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
18 Dec 2008EM-3299EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Apr 2007DR-1692Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Inland And Coastal FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 Sep 2005EM-3262EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
3 Aug 2004DR-1534Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding—
23 Aug 2003EM-3186EmergencyOtherPower OutagePublic assistance
27 Mar 2003EM-3184EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
11 Sep 2001DR-1391Major disasterFireFires And ExplosionsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Oct 2000EM-3155EmergencyOtherWest Nile VirusPublic assistance
21 Jul 2000DR-1335Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
19 Sep 1999DR-1296Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsIndividual assistance
24 Jan 1996DR-1095Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Jan 1996DR-1083Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
17 Mar 1993EM-3107EmergencySnowstormSevere BlizzardPublic assistance
10 Nov 1987DR-801Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
20 Jul 1973DR-401Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Sep 1971DR-311Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
18 Aug 1965DR-204Major disasterDroughtWater ShortageIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Dutchess County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978765
Paid claims609
Total paid$14M
Average paid claim$23K
Repetitive-loss properties10018 severe
Residential policies in force1,1241.2% of 96,914 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202631$22,222$22,222
202521$495$495
202454$90,543$22,636
20232922$1,014,766$46,126
2022106$35,613$5,935
20217868$1,727,225$25,400
202042$5,606$2,803
201843$39,414$13,138
201662$14,511$7,256
201510$0—
201442$16,797$8,398
201377$53,892$7,699
201287$289,657$41,380
2011216189$4,533,227$23,985
2010107$36,994$5,285
200932$78,648$39,324
20082117$97,900$5,759
2007150124$4,172,889$33,652
200633$28,946$9,649
20055950$682,742$13,655
200433$15,368$5,123
2003158$101,038$12,630
200221$22,808$22,808
200131$3,013$3,013
200021$2,825$2,825

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 88.3 of 100
Expected annual loss$85MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$59,864,716
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$10,158,183
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$3,196,442
EarthquakeRelatively Low$3,015,627
Strong windRelatively High$2,386,109
TornadoRelatively Low$2,327,134
Heat waveRelatively Low$1,550,109
LightningRelatively High$1,250,186
HailRelatively Low$521,810
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$347,237
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$206,054
DroughtRelatively Low$114,544
LandslideRelatively Moderate$84,756
WildfireVery Low$83,855
Coastal floodingRelatively Low$72,363
AvalancheVery Low$471

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles44
Tracks within 50 miles9
Hurricane strength within 50 miles1
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Elsa202195 mi58 mph
Henri202192 mi46 mph
Ida202194 mi46 mph
Isaias202092 mi63 mph
Irene201161 mi63 mph
Floyd199981 mi58 mph
Bertha199698 mi69 mph
Gloria198549 mi86 mph
Henri198592 mi40 mph
Belle197659 mi69 mph
Agnes197239 mi52 mph
Doria197138 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196842 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196162 mi63 mph
Brenda196087 mi58 mph
Donna196076 mi98 mph
Diane195582 mi46 mph
Carol195495 mi115 mph
Able195253 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194499 mi104 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193854 mi121 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193491 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193454 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192982 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192464 mi63 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Dutchess County, NY?

NCEI records 161 hail events in Dutchess County since 1950, in 39 different years; that is about 2.1 recorded events a year. 22 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Dutchess County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 16 tornadoes in Dutchess County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Dutchess County?

22 Jul 2023: Severe Storms And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 27 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Dutchess County, and how much was paid?

765 NFIP claims since 1978, 609 of them paid, for $14M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Dutchess County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Dutchess County compare with the rest of New York?

121.0 recorded events per 100 square miles against 120.3 statewide, and 2.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.8. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.