County Hazards

States › New York › Orange County

Orange County, New York

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 36071 · 404,525 residents (2021) · 812 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 87Tornado · 13Flood · 153Wind · 478Winter · 146
1975-08-12: Hail1985-06-24: Hail1987-07-19: Hail1988-07-14: Hail1991-08-18: Hail1992-07-15: Hail1992-08-11: Hail1996-07-08: Hail1997-08-05: Hail1997-11-04: Hail1998-05-31: Hail1998-05-31: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-06-30: Hail2000-05-18: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2002-04-19: Hail2002-05-27: Hail2002-04-19: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-06-01: Hail2004-08-16: Hail2005-06-08: Hail2005-06-22: Hail2006-06-20: Hail2006-07-11: Hail2007-08-03: Hail2007-07-06: Hail2007-07-06: Hail2008-05-27: Hail2008-08-14: Hail2008-08-11: Hail2008-08-11: Hail2008-08-14: Hail2009-06-15: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-30: Hail2009-07-27: Hail2009-07-26: Hail2010-09-22: Hail2010-09-22: Hail2010-05-27: Hail2010-05-27: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2011-07-08: Hail2011-07-08: Hail2011-07-29: Hail2011-07-08: Hail2011-07-08: Hail2011-07-29: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-08-19: Hail2011-08-19: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2012-05-26: Hail2012-05-26: Hail2012-05-26: Hail2012-07-28: Hail2013-07-07: Hail2013-06-18: Hail2014-06-03: Hail2017-06-13: Hail2017-06-13: Hail2020-08-27: Hail2020-06-28: Hail2020-06-28: Hail2021-07-02: Hail2023-08-04: Hail2023-08-04: Hail2023-09-08: Hail1969-07-25: Tornado1971-07-29: Tornado1974-06-16: Tornado1988-07-14: Tornado1989-11-16: Tornado1990-06-29: Tornado1995-05-29: Tornado1996-04-30: Tornado2008-06-16: Tornado2009-07-29: Tornado2011-07-29: Tornado2018-05-15: Tornado2020-08-27: Tornado2005-06-16: Flood2005-10-08: Flood2005-10-08: Flood2006-10-28: Flood2007-04-15: Flood2007-04-16: Flood2008-08-11: Flood2008-02-01: Flood2008-03-08: Flood2008-03-08: Flood2008-03-08: Flood2008-03-08: Flood2008-07-23: Flood2008-07-23: Flood2008-09-09: Flood2008-09-06: Flood2008-03-08: Flood2009-08-12: Flood2009-07-26: Flood2009-06-30: Flood2009-06-30: Flood2009-06-26: Flood2009-07-01: Flood2009-08-12: Flood2010-03-14: Flood2010-03-13: Flood2010-03-13: Flood2011-09-08: Flood2011-09-08: Flood2011-09-08: Flood2011-09-08: Flood2011-03-07: Flood2011-03-07: Flood2011-03-11: Flood2011-12-08: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-19: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-09-28: Flood2011-09-08: Flood2012-09-04: Flood2012-07-15: Flood2012-07-28: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-06-24: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2014-08-21: Flood2015-07-27: Flood2017-06-13: Flood2017-06-19: Flood2017-08-02: Flood2018-09-06: Flood2019-07-30: Flood2020-07-08: Flood2020-07-08: Flood2020-07-08: Flood2020-07-08: Flood2020-07-08: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-06-08: Flood2021-06-08: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-05-03: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-06-23: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-27: Wind2023-07-27: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-09: Wind2023-07-03: Wind2023-07-03: Wind2023-07-03: Wind2023-07-03: Wind2023-07-03: Wind2023-07-03: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-04-14: Wind2022-04-14: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-07-06: Wind2021-07-02: Wind2021-07-02: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-08: Wind2021-06-08: Wind2021-06-08: Wind2021-06-08: Wind2020-11-15: Wind2020-11-15: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-07-22: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-06-28: Wind2020-06-28: Wind2020-06-28: Wind2020-06-28: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2019-08-08: Wind2019-07-30: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2019-05-19: Wind2019-05-19: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2018-08-17: Wind2018-08-03: Wind
Orange County within New York. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 972 storm events in Orange County, New York, led by damaging wind.

That is 119.7 events per 100 square miles, in line with the New York figure of 120.3, and 24.0 per 10,000 residents against 28.6 statewide.

19 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 23 deaths and 69 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $73M and crop damage at $3K.

FEMA has designated the county in 36 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Jennings Creek Fire (fire management assistance, 15 Nov 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 2,032 claims since 1978, of which 1,554 were paid, totalling $27M (about $17K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1,082 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($99M a year across 18 hazards).

39 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

19events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
972events since 195023 deaths, 69 injuries recorded
36disaster declarationslast 15 Nov 2024
2,032NFIP flood claims$27M paid

Compared with New York and the United States

MeasureOrange CountyNew YorkUS
Recorded events since 195097256,6751,977,440
Events per 100 square miles119.7120.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents24.028.659.6
Events in the last 12 months191,94862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI2357826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$73M$5.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents5.08.88.1
Average paid NFIP claim$17K$40K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years15.210.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 2
Tornado: 1Wind: 6
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 13
Hail: 3Tornado: 2Wind: 25
Hail: 21Tornado: 3Flood: 16Wind: 110Winter: 16Heat: 1Lightning: 2Other: 15
Hail: 29Tornado: 2Flood: 42Wind: 83Winter: 46Tropical: 1Heat: 4Cold: 4Drought: 10Lightning: 11Other: 12
Hail: 26Tornado: 2Flood: 41Wind: 133Winter: 47Heat: 12Cold: 1Lightning: 12Other: 2
Hail: 7Tornado: 1Flood: 54Wind: 106Winter: 37Tropical: 1Lightning: 7
21950s71960s161970s301980s1841990s2442000s2762010s2132020s
Recorded events in Orange County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 587 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 343 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind478
Flood153
Winter146
Hail87
Lightning32
Other29
Heat17
Tornado13
Drought10
Cold5
Tropical2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind47871.9%detail
■ Flood15322.2%detail
■ Winter14611.1%detail
■ Hail87—1.7%detail
■ Lightning3215.5%
■ Other2915.3%
■ Heat1711.2%
■ Tornado13102.3%detail
■ Drought10—2.7%
■ Cold5—0.2%
■ Tropical2—1.6%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
16 Nov 1989TornadoTornadoF1$25M—918County
29 Jun 1990Thunderstorm WindWind115 mph——38County
22 Aug 2010Heavy RainOther———12County
15 May 2018Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$5K—11County
24 May 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph——11County
28 Jul 2006LightningLightning———11County
7 Dec 2012Winter WeatherWinter———11Forecast zone
15 May 2018TornadoTornadoEF0$50K—1—County
1 Oct 1998Strong WindWind———1—Forecast zone
13 Nov 2003High WindWind58 mph——1—Forecast zone
28 Aug 2011FloodFlood———1—County
22 Jul 2011Excessive HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
9 Jul 2023Flash FloodFlood———1—County
11 Dec 2008Ice StormWinter————8Forecast zone
26 Jun 1997Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———7County
30 Jun 1998Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph———4County
16 Jun 2007LightningLightning————4County
11 Nov 1983Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———3County
19 Jul 1987HailHail2.00 in———2County
7 Oct 2009Strong WindWind44 mph———2Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
15 Nov 2024FM-5547Fire management assistanceFireJennings Creek FirePublic assistance
22 Jul 2023DR-4723Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Sep 2021DR-4615Major disasterHurricaneRemnants Of Hurricane IdaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Sep 2021EM-3572EmergencyHurricaneRemnants Of Hurricane IdaPublic assistance
22 Aug 2021EM-3565EmergencyHurricaneHurricane HenriPublic assistance
20 Mar 2020DR-4480Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3434EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
30 Oct 2012DR-4085Major disasterHurricaneHurricane SandyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Oct 2012EM-3351EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
13 Sep 2011DR-4031Major disasterSevere StormRemnants Of Tropical Storm LeeIndividual assistance, Public assistance
31 Aug 2011DR-4020Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IreneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Aug 2011EM-3328EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
16 Apr 2010DR-1899Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
18 Dec 2008EM-3299EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Apr 2007DR-1692Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Inland And Coastal FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Jul 2006DR-1650Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
30 Sep 2005EM-3262EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
19 Apr 2005DR-1589Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Oct 2004DR-1565Major disasterSevere StormTropical Depression IvanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Oct 2004DR-1564Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Aug 2004DR-1534Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding—
23 Aug 2003EM-3186EmergencyOtherPower OutagePublic assistance
27 Mar 2003EM-3184EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
25 Feb 2003EM-3173EmergencySnowstormSnowstormsPublic assistance
11 Sep 2001DR-1391Major disasterFireFires And ExplosionsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Oct 2000EM-3155EmergencyOtherWest Nile VirusPublic assistance
19 Sep 1999DR-1296Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Sep 1999EM-3149EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsPublic assistance
9 Aug 1999FM-2269Fire management assistanceFireWest Point Fire ComplexPublic assistance
24 Jan 1996DR-1095Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Jan 1996DR-1083Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
17 Mar 1993EM-3107EmergencySnowstormSevere BlizzardPublic assistance
17 Apr 1984DR-702Major disasterFloodCoastal Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-338Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Sep 1971DR-311Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
18 Aug 1965DR-204Major disasterDroughtWater ShortageIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Orange County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19782,032
Paid claims1,554
Total paid$27M
Average paid claim$17K
Repetitive-loss properties18636 severe
Residential policies in force1,0820.9% of 115,788 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202643$25,173$8,391
202575$102,055$20,411
202430$0—
20235342$1,156,308$27,531
202243$84,931$28,310
20216254$1,227,162$22,725
2020135$102,575$20,515
201921$3,540$3,540
20181311$257,417$23,402
201732$27,310$13,655
2016119$108,219$12,024
201563$8,036$2,679
201431$8,395$8,395
20131710$65,713$6,571
20121710$362,435$36,243
2011589480$13,451,602$28,024
20105339$552,932$14,178
200986$29,282$4,880
20081814$117,699$8,407
200711699$1,450,724$14,654
20063736$432,679$12,019
2005154141$3,491,209$24,760
20042317$428,719$25,219
200395$55,869$11,174
200233$16,638$5,546

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 90.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$99MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively High$63,237,028
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$9,755,491
Cold waveRelatively High$7,493,330
TornadoRelatively Moderate$4,805,680
EarthquakeRelatively Low$3,881,366
Strong windRelatively High$3,572,561
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,729,747
LightningRelatively High$1,172,446
DroughtRelatively Moderate$709,966
Winter weatherRelatively High$638,861
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$356,202
HailRelatively Low$168,311
LandslideRelatively Moderate$89,032
Coastal floodingRelatively Low$72,678
WildfireVery Low$56,265
AvalancheVery Low$618

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles39
Tracks within 50 miles4
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Elsa202199 mi58 mph
Ida202196 mi46 mph
Fay202083 mi40 mph
Isaias202054 mi63 mph
Irene201158 mi63 mph
Hanna200897 mi52 mph
Floyd199970 mi58 mph
Bertha199684 mi69 mph
Gloria198576 mi86 mph
Belle197664 mi69 mph
Agnes197223 mi63 mph
Doria197134 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196868 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196175 mi63 mph
Brenda196068 mi58 mph
Donna196088 mi98 mph
Diane195563 mi46 mph
Able195255 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193873 mi121 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193472 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193469 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192962 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191698 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191535 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190365 mi63 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Orange County, NY?

NCEI records 87 hail events in Orange County since 1950, in 28 different years; that is about 1.1 recorded events a year. 8 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Orange County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 13 tornadoes in Orange County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 10.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Orange County?

15 Nov 2024: Jennings Creek Fire, a fire management assistance declaration for fire. The county appears in 36 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Orange County, and how much was paid?

2,032 NFIP claims since 1978, 1,554 of them paid, for $27M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Orange County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Orange County compare with the rest of New York?

119.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 120.3 statewide, and 5.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.8. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.