County Hazards

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Seneca County, New York

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 36099 · 33,688 residents (2021) · 324 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 43Tornado · 1Flood · 27Wind · 156Winter · 69
1973-06-23: Hail1978-07-27: Hail1983-06-16: Hail1986-08-07: Hail1988-05-16: Hail1990-08-28: Hail2001-10-21: Hail2006-06-29: Hail2006-06-29: Hail2007-06-21: Hail2007-06-21: Hail2007-06-21: Hail2007-08-16: Hail2007-08-16: Hail2008-06-10: Hail2008-07-16: Hail2008-07-16: Hail2008-07-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-25: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2010-07-17: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2012-05-03: Hail2012-05-29: Hail2013-05-29: Hail2013-05-29: Hail2013-05-29: Hail2013-07-05: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2014-08-02: Hail2014-07-31: Hail2014-07-31: Hail2026-05-13: Hail2026-05-13: Hail2007-06-21: Tornado2005-04-02: Flood2014-08-03: Flood2014-08-03: Flood2014-05-14: Flood2018-01-12: Flood2018-08-14: Flood2018-08-14: Flood2018-08-14: Flood2018-08-14: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-08-18: Flood2021-08-18: Flood2023-04-05: Flood2023-04-05: Flood2023-04-05: Flood2024-08-09: Flood2024-06-20: Flood2025-06-09: Flood2026-03-31: Flood1971-07-01: Wind1973-06-05: Wind1973-06-05: Wind1973-06-12: Wind1978-07-27: Wind1980-10-25: Wind1982-07-07: Wind1982-07-18: Wind1982-07-18: Wind1982-08-25: Wind1983-08-01: Wind1983-07-31: Wind1984-09-11: Wind1985-06-09: Wind1986-07-19: Wind1986-07-19: Wind1986-08-15: Wind1987-08-17: Wind1988-07-30: Wind1988-07-30: Wind1989-10-14: Wind1990-07-04: Wind1991-07-19: Wind1991-05-01: Wind1991-05-17: Wind1991-06-12: Wind1996-05-10: Wind1996-05-10: Wind1996-08-15: Wind1997-07-27: Wind1997-07-03: Wind1998-05-31: Wind1998-09-06: Wind1998-05-31: Wind1998-06-02: Wind1999-07-09: Wind2000-06-02: Wind2000-07-14: Wind2000-07-31: Wind2001-07-01: Wind2001-10-21: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2004-04-18: Wind2004-08-29: Wind2005-06-10: Wind2005-06-06: Wind2005-07-26: Wind2005-07-26: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-11-06: Wind2007-06-19: Wind2007-06-08: Wind2007-06-21: Wind2007-06-21: Wind2007-06-21: Wind2007-10-09: Wind2007-08-17: Wind2008-01-09: Wind2008-06-10: Wind2009-10-07: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2010-07-24: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2011-05-29: Wind2012-05-29: Wind2012-05-29: Wind2012-05-29: Wind2012-09-08: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2013-07-05: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2014-06-16: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2015-06-10: Wind2015-06-10: Wind2015-06-10: Wind2015-06-12: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2018-07-02: Wind2020-05-15: Wind2020-05-15: Wind2020-07-29: Wind2020-07-29: Wind2020-07-29: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-08-29: Wind2021-08-29: Wind2021-08-29: Wind2021-08-29: Wind2022-07-22: Wind2022-07-22: Wind
Seneca County within New York. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 320 events for Seneca County, New York, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 98.9 events per 100 square miles, in line with the New York figure of 120.3, and 95.0 per 10,000 residents against 28.6 statewide.

6 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $6.7M and crop damage at $1K.

FEMA has designated the county in 12 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 20 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 108 claims since 1978, of which 73 were paid, totalling $977K (about $13K per paid claim). FEMA counts 123 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($9.8M a year across 18 hazards).

8 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

6events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
320events since 19500 deaths, 2 injuries recorded
12disaster declarationslast 20 Mar 2020
108NFIP flood claims$977K paid

Compared with New York and the United States

MeasureSeneca CountyNew YorkUS
Recorded events since 195032056,6751,977,440
Events per 100 square miles98.9120.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents95.028.659.6
Events in the last 12 months61,94862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI057826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$6.7M$5.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents3.28.88.1
Average paid NFIP claim$13K$40K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years22.810.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Wind: 5
Hail: 3Wind: 16
Hail: 2Flood: 3Wind: 24Winter: 15Cold: 4Drought: 1
Hail: 14Tornado: 1Flood: 5Wind: 33Winter: 31Heat: 2Cold: 8Drought: 1Lightning: 1Other: 2
Hail: 20Flood: 8Wind: 24Winter: 17Heat: 2Drought: 2
Hail: 2Flood: 11Wind: 54Winter: 6Cold: 1
01950s01960s71970s191980s491990s982000s732010s742020s
Recorded events in Seneca County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 181 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 117 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind156
Winter69
Hail43
Flood27
Cold13
Heat4
Drought4
Other2
Tornado1
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind156—0.6%detail
■ Winter69—0.5%detail
■ Hail43—0.8%detail
■ Flood27—0.4%detail
■ Cold13—0.5%
■ Heat4—0.3%
■ Drought4—1.1%
■ Other2—0.4%
■ Tornado1—0.2%
■ Lightning1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
29 May 2012Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$30K——1County
11 Sep 1984Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
4 Apr 2003Ice StormWinter—$2.0M———Forecast zone
14 Aug 2018Flash FloodFlood—$1.2M———County
19 Jan 1996Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
3 Jan 2003Heavy SnowWinter—$300K———Forecast zone
6 Sep 1998Thunderstorm WindWind—$250K———County
18 Apr 2004Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$200K———County
26 Oct 2021Flash FloodFlood—$150K———County
18 Aug 2021Flash FloodFlood—$140K———County
3 Aug 2014Flash FloodFlood—$125K———County
14 Aug 2018Flash FloodFlood—$125K———County
8 Nov 1996Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
5 Aug 2003Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
26 Oct 2021Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
20 Mar 2020DR-4480Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3434EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
1 Oct 2018DR-4397Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Oct 2012EM-3351EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
30 Sep 2005EM-3262EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
3 Aug 2004DR-1534Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding—
23 Aug 2003EM-3186EmergencyOtherPower OutagePublic assistance
12 May 2003DR-1467Major disasterSevere Ice StormIce StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Sep 2001DR-1391Major disasterFireFires And ExplosionsPublic assistance
11 Oct 2000EM-3155EmergencyOtherWest Nile VirusPublic assistance
17 Mar 1993EM-3107EmergencySnowstormSevere BlizzardPublic assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-338Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Seneca County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978108
Paid claims73
Total paid$977K
Average paid claim$13K
Repetitive-loss properties91 severe
Residential policies in force1230.9% of 13,746 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202410$0—
202321$31,107$31,107
202210$0—
202164$58,429$14,607
202021$3,073$3,073
20181210$443,722$44,372
201741$9,652$9,652
201543$16,904$5,635
201421$13,747$13,747
201311$2,338$2,338
201121$238$238
201010$0—
200310$0—
199644$4,016$1,004
199444$58,603$14,651
19934532$305,500$9,547
199210$0—
199111$18,655$18,655
199010$0—
198710$0—
198385$6,520$1,304
197944$4,619$1,155

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 41.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$9.8MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$7,635,310
DroughtRelatively Moderate$461,790
TornadoRelatively Low$401,232
HailRelatively Low$226,530
Strong windRelatively Low$216,878
EarthquakeVery Low$176,360
Cold waveVery Low$170,033
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$160,565
HurricaneRelatively Low$145,993
Heat waveVery Low$123,171
LightningRelatively Low$94,320
WildfireVery Low$8,394
Winter weatherVery Low$6,340
LandslideVery Low$127

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles8
Tracks within 50 miles5
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Frances200444 mi40 mph
Opal199587 mi40 mph
David197993 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193338 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190317 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189340 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188555 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187639 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Seneca County, NY?

NCEI records 43 hail events in Seneca County since 1950, in 18 different years; that is about 0.6 recorded events a year. 4 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Seneca County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 1 tornado in Seneca County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Seneca County?

20 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 12 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Seneca County, and how much was paid?

108 NFIP claims since 1978, 73 of them paid, for $977K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Seneca County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Seneca County compare with the rest of New York?

98.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 120.3 statewide, and 3.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.8. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.