County Hazards

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Fayette County, Pennsylvania

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 42051 · 126,931 residents (2021) · 791 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 124Tornado · 23Flood · 176Wind · 540Winter · 114
1973-07-10: Hail1983-07-20: Hail1984-04-14: Hail1984-04-14: Hail1985-07-08: Hail1985-07-08: Hail1987-06-29: Hail1990-06-30: Hail1990-06-30: Hail1990-06-30: Hail1990-06-30: Hail1990-06-30: Hail1990-06-30: Hail1991-07-06: Hail1996-02-27: Hail1996-08-15: Hail1998-06-19: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-05-31: Hail1998-05-31: Hail1999-04-23: Hail2000-06-02: Hail2001-04-09: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2003-08-27: Hail2003-08-27: Hail2004-07-18: Hail2004-08-10: Hail2005-06-06: Hail2005-06-06: Hail2005-06-06: Hail2005-06-06: Hail2006-06-29: Hail2006-06-29: Hail2006-07-02: Hail2006-10-04: Hail2007-06-13: Hail2007-06-27: Hail2007-07-29: Hail2007-08-08: Hail2007-08-09: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-07-30: Hail2009-07-21: Hail2009-06-17: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-07-03: Hail2011-07-03: Hail2011-04-04: Hail2011-03-23: Hail2011-09-04: Hail2011-09-04: Hail2011-09-04: Hail2011-09-04: Hail2011-09-04: Hail2011-03-23: Hail2012-06-29: Hail2012-03-28: Hail2012-03-28: Hail2012-03-28: Hail2012-03-28: Hail2012-07-04: Hail2012-07-31: Hail2012-07-31: Hail2012-07-04: Hail2012-07-04: Hail2012-07-04: Hail2012-08-09: Hail2012-08-09: Hail2012-07-31: Hail2013-05-22: Hail2013-06-25: Hail2013-06-28: Hail2013-06-28: Hail2014-05-14: Hail2014-05-14: Hail2014-06-18: Hail2014-06-03: Hail2014-06-08: Hail2014-06-08: Hail2014-06-08: Hail2014-06-08: Hail2014-07-30: Hail2015-08-03: Hail2015-08-03: Hail2015-08-03: Hail2015-04-09: Hail2017-05-30: Hail2019-08-18: Hail2019-08-18: Hail2020-08-28: Hail2022-11-27: Hail2022-11-27: Hail2022-11-27: Hail2022-11-27: Hail2022-11-27: Hail2022-11-27: Hail2022-11-27: Hail2022-11-27: Hail2022-06-08: Hail2024-03-30: Hail2024-03-30: Hail2024-09-21: Hail2024-05-11: Hail2024-05-11: Hail2024-05-11: Hail2024-06-18: Hail1954-06-01: Tornado1962-09-10: Tornado1965-11-16: Tornado1971-07-13: Tornado1971-07-13: Tornado1980-06-15: Tornado1986-10-01: Tornado1991-04-09: Tornado1998-06-02: Tornado1998-06-02: Tornado2008-07-30: Tornado2016-06-16: Tornado2018-02-15: Tornado2021-07-29: Tornado2023-08-25: Tornado2023-08-25: Tornado2024-05-11: Tornado2024-05-11: Tornado2025-03-16: Tornado2025-03-16: Tornado2026-06-06: Tornado2026-06-06: Tornado2026-06-22: Tornado2005-06-11: Flood2005-11-29: Flood2007-12-14: Flood2007-07-05: Flood2007-08-09: Flood2007-08-09: Flood2007-08-09: Flood2007-08-09: Flood2008-12-19: Flood2008-06-16: Flood2009-06-17: Flood2009-05-04: Flood2011-05-13: Flood2011-06-09: Flood2011-11-22: Flood2011-02-28: Flood2011-09-06: Flood2011-07-25: Flood2012-07-18: Flood2012-07-18: Flood2012-07-18: Flood2012-07-20: Flood2013-08-23: Flood2013-08-23: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-07-10: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-08-28: Flood2013-08-28: Flood2014-08-23: Flood2014-08-23: Flood2014-08-23: Flood2014-08-23: Flood2014-08-23: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2016-08-14: Flood2016-06-17: Flood2016-06-16: Flood2016-05-28: Flood2016-08-28: Flood2016-12-18: Flood2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2025-08-17: Wind2025-08-17: Wind2025-08-17: Wind2025-08-17: Wind2025-08-17: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-06-28: Wind2025-06-25: Wind2025-06-25: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-05-01: Wind2025-05-01: Wind2025-05-01: Wind2025-04-19: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2024-10-06: Wind2024-09-21: Wind2024-09-21: Wind2024-09-21: Wind2024-09-21: Wind2024-09-21: Wind2024-08-31: Wind2024-08-31: Wind2024-08-31: Wind2024-08-31: Wind2024-08-31: Wind2024-08-06: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-18: Wind2024-06-18: Wind2024-06-18: Wind2024-06-18: Wind2024-06-18: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-25: Wind2024-05-25: Wind2024-05-25: Wind2024-05-25: Wind2024-05-25: Wind2024-05-25: Wind2024-05-11: Wind2024-02-28: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-12: Wind
Fayette County within Pennsylvania. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Fayette County, Pennsylvania, has 995 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 125.8 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Pennsylvania figure of 121.6, and 78.4 per 10,000 residents against 42.0 statewide.

59 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 26 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $33M and crop damage at $2.0M.

FEMA has designated the county in 18 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 30 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 722 claims since 1978, of which 569 were paid, totalling $10M (about $18K per paid claim). FEMA counts 208 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($37M a year across 18 hazards).

11 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

59events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
995events since 19502 deaths, 26 injuries recorded
18disaster declarationslast 30 Mar 2020
722NFIP flood claims$10M paid

Compared with Pennsylvania and the United States

MeasureFayette CountyPennsylvaniaUS
Recorded events since 195099554,4271,977,440
Events per 100 square miles125.8121.656.0
Events per 10,000 residents78.442.059.6
Events in the last 12 months592,02862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI290126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$33M$5.3B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents5.75.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$18K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years51.025.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 11
Hail: 6Tornado: 2Wind: 15
Hail: 20Tornado: 3Flood: 22Wind: 84Winter: 13Drought: 2Lightning: 2
Hail: 28Tornado: 1Flood: 62Wind: 109Winter: 42Cold: 1
Hail: 48Tornado: 2Flood: 74Wind: 145Winter: 26Cold: 2Other: 3
Hail: 21Tornado: 10Flood: 18Wind: 174Winter: 33Cold: 3Drought: 3Other: 2
11950s41960s141970s231980s1461990s2432000s3002010s2642020s
Recorded events in Fayette County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 595 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 318 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind540
Flood176
Hail124
Winter114
Tornado23
Cold6
Drought5
Other5
Lightning2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind540—2.0%detail
■ Flood17622.5%detail
■ Hail124—2.2%detail
■ Winter114—1.2%detail
■ Tornado23—2.1%detail
■ Cold6—0.6%
■ Drought5—0.6%
■ Other5—0.7%
■ Lightning2—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
13 Apr 2004FloodFlood—$25K—1—Forecast zone
23 Aug 2014Flash FloodFlood—$20K—1—County
25 Aug 2023TornadoTornadoEF2$850K$10K—6County
13 Jul 1971TornadoTornadoF2$250K——4County
25 Jun 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———4County
16 Nov 1965TornadoTornadoF2$250K——3County
1 Oct 1986TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——2County
6 Jun 2026Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$5K——2County
22 Aug 1987Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———2County
12 Jan 2024High WindWind64 mph$250K——1Forecast zone
6 Jun 2026Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$5K——1County
6 Jun 2026Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———1County
19 Jan 1996FloodFlood—$5.0M———Forecast zone
2 Jun 1998TornadoTornadoF2$3.0M$2.0M——County
28 Aug 2016Flash FloodFlood—$5.0M———County
1 Jul 2013Flash FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
27 Nov 2022HailHail2.00 in$1.2M———County
19 Feb 2000FloodFlood—$1.0M———Forecast zone
6 Oct 2024Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$1.0M———County
19 Nov 2003Flash FloodFlood—$530K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
30 Mar 2020DR-4506Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3441EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
23 Mar 2016DR-4267Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
1 Oct 2013DR-4149Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3356EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
16 Apr 2010DR-1898Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storms And SnowstormsPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3235EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
19 Sep 2004DR-1557Major disasterHurricaneTropical Depression Ivan—
19 Sep 2004DR-1555Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding Associated With Tropical Depression Frances—
14 Mar 2003EM-3180EmergencySevere StormSnowPublic assistance
21 Jan 1996DR-1093Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1085Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
10 Mar 1994DR-1015Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3105EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
9 Nov 1985DR-754Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 Jan 1977EM-3026EmergencySnowstormSnowstormsPublic assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-340Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Sep 1971DR-312Major disasterFloodFloodsIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Fayette County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978722
Paid claims569
Total paid$10M
Average paid claim$18K
Repetitive-loss properties6913 severe
Residential policies in force2080.4% of 60,141 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202643$43,532$14,511
202466$125,849$20,975
202310$0—
202231$28,360$28,360
202143$21,934$7,311
202043$71,729$23,910
20192722$1,704,951$77,498
20182218$492,659$27,370
20173531$1,317,395$42,497
20163732$1,725,815$53,932
201564$39,572$9,893
201498$312,209$39,026
201374$72,208$18,052
201254$132,410$33,103
2011119$341,308$37,923
201031$3,157$3,157
200922$13,780$6,890
200832$46,172$23,086
200744$16,438$4,109
2004116$22,518$3,753
20033825$665,244$26,610
20022115$123,976$8,265
20008569$617,177$8,945
199910$0—
199821$2,468$2,468

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 82.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$37MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$32,322,882
TornadoRelatively Moderate$1,893,064
Strong windRelatively Moderate$674,951
LightningRelatively Moderate$604,720
HailRelatively Moderate$537,304
EarthquakeRelatively Low$364,262
Heat waveRelatively Low$217,575
HurricaneRelatively Low$166,819
DroughtRelatively Low$74,418
Ice stormRelatively Low$70,191
Winter weatherRelatively Low$66,999
Cold waveVery Low$45,748
LandslideRelatively Low$30,557
WildfireVery Low$27,158
AvalancheVery Low$1,099

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles11
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Sandy201251 mi58 mph
Isabel200376 mi58 mph
David197978 mi46 mph
Frederic197978 mi40 mph
Audrey195776 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192888 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191521 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189667 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189387 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188898 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187865 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Fayette County, PA?

NCEI records 124 hail events in Fayette County since 1950, in 34 different years; that is about 1.6 recorded events a year. 19 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Fayette County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 23 tornadoes in Fayette County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Fayette County?

30 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 18 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Fayette County, and how much was paid?

722 NFIP claims since 1978, 569 of them paid, for $10M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Fayette County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Fayette County compare with the rest of Pennsylvania?

125.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 121.6 statewide, and 5.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.