County Hazards

States › Pennsylvania › Northumberland County

Northumberland County, Pennsylvania

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 42097 · 91,266 residents (2021) · 458 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 38Tornado · 14Flood · 47Wind · 255Winter · 70
1963-07-02: Hail1963-07-22: Hail1991-09-18: Hail1991-07-23: Hail1991-07-23: Hail1991-04-09: Hail1991-08-15: Hail1996-05-11: Hail1996-06-04: Hail1998-09-07: Hail1999-07-30: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2004-05-26: Hail2005-06-06: Hail2006-04-23: Hail2006-04-23: Hail2006-04-23: Hail2007-08-17: Hail2007-05-27: Hail2007-07-29: Hail2007-06-27: Hail2009-07-24: Hail2009-07-11: Hail2011-09-04: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2014-07-03: Hail2019-05-28: Hail2019-05-28: Hail2019-05-28: Hail2019-05-28: Hail2019-05-28: Hail2023-07-24: Hail2023-09-07: Hail2024-04-14: Hail1953-09-12: Tornado1975-08-26: Tornado1978-08-28: Tornado1983-05-23: Tornado1985-05-31: Tornado1993-04-16: Tornado1997-07-18: Tornado1998-09-27: Tornado1998-06-02: Tornado2001-09-04: Tornado2011-05-23: Tornado2015-06-08: Tornado2015-06-30: Tornado2017-07-24: Tornado2006-11-16: Flood2006-12-01: Flood2009-07-31: Flood2010-12-01: Flood2011-03-11: Flood2011-09-28: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-09-07: Flood2011-09-10: Flood2011-09-28: Flood2011-03-10: Flood2013-06-10: Flood2013-05-08: Flood2018-08-13: Flood2019-08-02: Flood2019-08-02: Flood2021-07-16: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2024-09-21: Flood2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2024-07-10: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-22: Wind2024-06-22: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-04-14: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-07-09: Wind2023-06-26: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-03-31: Wind2022-03-31: Wind2021-09-15: Wind2021-09-08: Wind2021-09-08: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-07-17: Wind2021-07-17: Wind2021-07-17: Wind2021-07-17: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-14: Wind2020-08-28: Wind2020-08-28: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-08-07: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-05-29: Wind2020-05-29: Wind2019-09-11: Wind2019-07-30: Wind2019-07-06: Wind2019-07-02: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-05-29: Wind2019-05-28: Wind2019-05-28: Wind2019-05-28: Wind2019-05-28: Wind2019-04-14: Wind2018-10-02: Wind2018-08-07: Wind2018-06-18: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-03: Wind2018-05-03: Wind2017-08-19: Wind2017-08-19: Wind2017-08-19: Wind2017-08-19: Wind2017-08-19: Wind2017-08-19: Wind2017-07-24: Wind2016-07-31: Wind2016-07-31: Wind2016-07-25: Wind2016-07-25: Wind2016-06-28: Wind2015-07-18: Wind2015-07-18: Wind2015-07-18: Wind2015-07-18: Wind2015-06-30: Wind2015-06-30: Wind2015-06-23: Wind2015-06-14: Wind2015-06-14: Wind2015-06-11: Wind2015-06-11: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2013-11-18: Wind2013-11-01: Wind2013-09-12: Wind2013-07-07: Wind2013-06-27: Wind2013-06-25: Wind2013-05-22: Wind2013-04-19: Wind2013-04-19: Wind2012-08-04: Wind2012-07-18: Wind2012-07-15: Wind2012-07-15: Wind2012-07-07: Wind2011-09-28: Wind2011-09-04: Wind
Northumberland County within Pennsylvania. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Northumberland County, Pennsylvania, has 449 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 98.1 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Pennsylvania figure of 121.6, and 49.2 per 10,000 residents against 42.0 statewide.

9 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 26 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $27M.

FEMA has designated the county in 19 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 30 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1,721 claims since 1978, of which 1,478 were paid, totalling $24M (about $16K per paid claim). FEMA counts 365 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($37M a year across 18 hazards).

23 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

9events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
449events since 19502 deaths, 26 injuries recorded
19disaster declarationslast 30 Mar 2020
1,721NFIP flood claims$24M paid

Compared with Pennsylvania and the United States

MeasureNorthumberland CountyPennsylvaniaUS
Recorded events since 195044954,4271,977,440
Events per 100 square miles98.1121.656.0
Events per 10,000 residents49.242.059.6
Events in the last 12 months92,02862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI290126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$27M$5.3B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents18.95.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$16K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years5.225.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Hail: 2Wind: 4
Tornado: 2Wind: 5
Tornado: 2Wind: 18
Hail: 10Tornado: 4Flood: 10Wind: 38Winter: 12Drought: 4
Hail: 13Tornado: 1Flood: 19Wind: 58Winter: 27Tropical: 1Heat: 2Cold: 3Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 10Tornado: 4Flood: 13Wind: 79Winter: 16Heat: 1Cold: 1Other: 1
Hail: 3Flood: 5Wind: 53Winter: 15Heat: 2Cold: 1Drought: 7
11950s61960s71970s201980s781990s1262000s1252010s862020s
Recorded events in Northumberland County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 256 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 166 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind255
Winter70
Flood47
Hail38
Tornado14
Drought11
Heat5
Cold5
Other2
Tropical1
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind255—1.0%detail
■ Winter70—0.8%detail
■ Flood47—0.7%detail
■ Hail38—0.7%detail
■ Tornado1421.3%detail
■ Drought11—1.4%
■ Heat5—0.5%
■ Cold5—0.5%
■ Other2—0.3%
■ Tropical1—1.1%
■ Lightning1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
31 May 1985TornadoTornadoF3$25M—220County
18 Jul 2003LightningLightning————6County
7 Sep 2011FloodFlood—$600K———County
23 May 1983TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
23 Apr 1996Thunderstorm WindWind—$100K———County
28 Jun 2016Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
30 Mar 2020DR-4506Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3441EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3356EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
12 Sep 2011DR-4030Major disasterFloodTropical Storm LeeIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 Sep 2011EM-3340EmergencyFloodRemnants Of Tropical Storm LeePublic assistance
30 Jun 2006DR-1649Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3235EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
19 Sep 2004DR-1557Major disasterHurricaneTropical Depression IvanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Sep 2004DR-1555Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding Associated With Tropical Depression Frances—
14 Mar 2003EM-3180EmergencySevere StormSnowPublic assistance
22 Sep 1999DR-1298Major disasterFloodTropical Depression Dennis PaIndividual assistance
21 Jan 1996DR-1093Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1085Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
10 Mar 1994DR-1015Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3105EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
3 Jun 1985DR-737Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, High Winds & TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
20 Oct 1976DR-523Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Sep 1975DR-485Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Heavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-340Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Northumberland County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781,721
Paid claims1,478
Total paid$24M
Average paid claim$16K
Repetitive-loss properties18229 severe
Residential policies in force3651.0% of 35,495 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202111$11,766$11,766
202011$13,422$13,422
20181713$220,584$16,968
201510$0—
201232$4,987$2,494
2011418373$9,585,568$25,699
20101715$282,932$18,862
200854$494,569$123,642
200721$26,697$26,697
200610397$1,912,705$19,719
20052927$163,917$6,071
2004298274$5,141,903$18,766
200332$3,671$1,835
200111$5,051$5,051
19993024$151,474$6,311
199850$0—
199710$0—
1996359318$4,574,660$14,386
199510$0—
19941612$295,565$24,630
19935042$216,149$5,146
199221$8,439$8,439
199120$0—
199052$50,412$25,206
198910$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 79.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$37MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$30,235,329
HurricaneRelatively Low$1,739,811
Strong windRelatively High$1,441,998
TornadoRelatively Low$1,019,688
Cold waveRelatively Low$799,627
EarthquakeRelatively Low$511,906
Heat waveRelatively Low$511,693
LightningRelatively Moderate$485,072
Winter weatherRelatively High$403,686
Ice stormRelatively Low$72,565
HailVery Low$63,658
LandslideRelatively Low$21,357
WildfireVery Low$14,188
AvalancheVery Low$282

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles23
Tracks within 50 miles6
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ida202193 mi40 mph
Isaias202084 mi63 mph
Sandy201271 mi63 mph
Ernesto200666 mi40 mph
Danielle199296 mi40 mph
David197950 mi46 mph
Connie195544 mi52 mph
Diane195570 mi40 mph
Hazel195452 mi81 mph
Able195289 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm19497 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194394 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193323 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192969 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191571 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190365 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189971 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189358 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189390 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188821 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188548 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187882 mi81 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187673 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Northumberland County, PA?

NCEI records 38 hail events in Northumberland County since 1950, in 17 different years; that is about 0.5 recorded events a year. 7 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Northumberland County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 14 tornadoes in Northumberland County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 2.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Northumberland County?

30 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 19 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Northumberland County, and how much was paid?

1,721 NFIP claims since 1978, 1,478 of them paid, for $24M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Northumberland County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Northumberland County compare with the rest of Pennsylvania?

98.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 121.6 statewide, and 18.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.