County Hazards

States › Pennsylvania › Dauphin County

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 42043 · 287,400 residents (2021) · 525 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 90Tornado · 19Flood · 78Wind · 422Winter · 71
1958-08-15: Hail1962-05-24: Hail1963-08-01: Hail1974-07-10: Hail1983-05-26: Hail1985-06-03: Hail1985-06-03: Hail1986-08-07: Hail1986-08-07: Hail1986-08-07: Hail1986-08-07: Hail1986-07-29: Hail1986-07-29: Hail1988-05-10: Hail1988-05-10: Hail1998-05-29: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-06-26: Hail1999-07-30: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-10-04: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-04-14: Hail2004-05-15: Hail2004-08-10: Hail2005-06-06: Hail2006-06-09: Hail2006-06-29: Hail2006-06-09: Hail2006-07-09: Hail2006-07-09: Hail2006-07-09: Hail2006-07-18: Hail2007-06-13: Hail2007-06-13: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-08-18: Hail2009-06-30: Hail2009-06-30: Hail2009-06-30: Hail2009-07-11: Hail2010-08-16: Hail2010-06-22: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-07-25: Hail2010-07-25: Hail2010-07-25: Hail2011-06-12: Hail2011-08-21: Hail2011-04-28: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2012-07-18: Hail2012-05-04: Hail2012-07-07: Hail2012-08-14: Hail2012-08-09: Hail2013-05-08: Hail2013-07-19: Hail2015-05-18: Hail2015-04-20: Hail2018-05-10: Hail2020-06-10: Hail2020-06-03: Hail2020-06-03: Hail2020-07-06: Hail2021-07-06: Hail2023-06-26: Hail2023-06-03: Hail2023-06-03: Hail2023-06-03: Hail2023-06-03: Hail2023-06-03: Hail2023-06-03: Hail2023-06-03: Hail2023-06-26: Hail2024-09-21: Hail2024-09-21: Hail2024-09-21: Hail1950-07-05: Tornado1952-04-05: Tornado1952-08-16: Tornado1967-10-18: Tornado1970-03-26: Tornado1977-04-05: Tornado1992-07-17: Tornado1995-07-06: Tornado1996-05-11: Tornado2003-07-22: Tornado2004-08-04: Tornado2004-08-04: Tornado2006-12-01: Tornado2011-05-18: Tornado2011-05-26: Tornado2018-06-27: Tornado2019-05-29: Tornado2021-08-18: Tornado2023-07-02: Tornado2006-11-16: Flood2007-06-01: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-08-12: Flood2011-03-11: Flood2011-03-11: Flood2011-03-11: Flood2011-09-07: Flood2011-04-16: Flood2011-04-28: Flood2011-03-10: Flood2011-09-07: Flood2011-09-28: Flood2011-09-28: Flood2011-08-06: Flood2012-06-22: Flood2013-06-27: Flood2013-10-10: Flood2014-04-30: Flood2014-05-01: Flood2017-07-23: Flood2018-07-23: Flood2018-07-23: Flood2018-07-24: Flood2018-07-23: Flood2018-07-23: Flood2021-07-17: Flood2021-07-11: Flood2021-08-11: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2024-09-21: Flood2024-09-21: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-06-30: Flood2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-05-13: Wind2026-05-13: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2025-12-19: Wind2025-11-05: Wind2025-11-05: Wind2025-11-05: Wind2025-07-08: Wind2025-07-08: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-15: Wind2025-04-15: Wind2025-04-15: Wind2025-04-15: Wind2024-09-21: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-22: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-17: Wind2023-07-09: Wind2023-07-07: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-26: Wind2023-06-03: Wind2023-06-03: Wind2023-06-03: Wind2023-06-03: Wind2023-04-22: Wind2023-04-22: Wind2023-04-22: Wind2023-04-22: Wind2023-04-22: Wind2023-04-22: Wind2022-03-31: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2021-08-27: Wind2021-08-18: Wind2021-08-18: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-10: Wind2021-08-10: Wind2021-08-01: Wind2021-07-17: Wind2021-07-12: Wind2021-07-12: Wind2021-07-09: Wind2021-07-09: Wind2021-07-09: Wind2021-07-06: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2020-07-06: Wind2020-06-22: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2019-10-31: Wind2019-10-31: Wind2019-10-31: Wind
Dauphin County within Pennsylvania. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 706 events for Dauphin County, Pennsylvania, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 134.5 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Pennsylvania figure of 121.6, and 24.6 per 10,000 residents against 42.0 statewide.

29 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 8 deaths and 26 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $160M and crop damage at $721K.

FEMA has designated the county in 22 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Remnants Of Hurricane Ida (major disaster, 10 Sep 2021).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 5,248 claims since 1978, of which 4,360 were paid, totalling $86M (about $20K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1,130 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($100M a year across 18 hazards).

25 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 1 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

29events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
706events since 19508 deaths, 26 injuries recorded
22disaster declarationslast 10 Sep 2021
5,248NFIP flood claims$86M paid

Compared with Pennsylvania and the United States

MeasureDauphin CountyPennsylvaniaUS
Recorded events since 195070654,4271,977,440
Events per 100 square miles134.5121.656.0
Events per 10,000 residents24.642.059.6
Events in the last 12 months292,02862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI890126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$160M$5.3B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents18.35.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$20K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years19.025.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 3
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 7
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 12
Hail: 11Wind: 21
Hail: 9Tornado: 3Flood: 9Wind: 69Winter: 10Heat: 1Drought: 4
Hail: 27Tornado: 4Flood: 37Wind: 70Winter: 27Tropical: 1Heat: 4Cold: 2Other: 3
Hail: 22Tornado: 4Flood: 24Wind: 125Winter: 20Heat: 4Cold: 1
Hail: 17Tornado: 2Flood: 8Wind: 118Winter: 14Heat: 3Cold: 1Lightning: 1Other: 1
41950s101960s151970s321980s1051990s1752000s2002010s1652020s
Recorded events in Dauphin County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 427 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 220 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind422
Hail90
Flood78
Winter71
Tornado19
Heat12
Cold4
Drought4
Other4
Tropical1
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind42211.6%detail
■ Hail90—1.6%detail
■ Flood7851.1%detail
■ Winter7110.8%detail
■ Tornado1911.7%detail
■ Heat12—1.1%
■ Cold4—0.4%
■ Drought4—0.5%
■ Other4—0.6%
■ Tropical1—1.1%
■ Lightning1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
7 Sep 2011FloodFlood—$150M$700K4—County
28 Aug 2011Strong WindWind51 mph$25K—11Forecast zone
1 Dec 2006TornadoTornadoF1$2.0M—1—County
22 Jan 2016Winter StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
23 Jul 2018FloodFlood———1—County
18 Oct 1967TornadoTornadoF2$250K——11County
5 Apr 1952TornadoTornadoF0$250K——6County
7 Sep 1998Thunderstorm WindWind59 mph———4County
5 Apr 1977TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——1County
30 Aug 1984Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
12 Jul 1987Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
6 Jul 1994Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
16 Jul 1995Thunderstorm WindWind79 mph$1.0M———County
15 Jul 1994Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$500K———County
1 Jun 2007Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
26 Mar 1970TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
17 Jul 1992TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
4 Aug 2004TornadoTornadoF1$200K———County
1 Dec 2006Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$200K———County
14 Jun 2026Thunderstorm WindWind100 mph$150K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
10 Sep 2021DR-4618Major disasterHurricaneRemnants Of Hurricane IdaPublic assistance
30 Mar 2020DR-4506Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3441EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
23 Mar 2016DR-4267Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
10 Jan 2013DR-4099Major disasterHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3356EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
12 Sep 2011DR-4030Major disasterFloodTropical Storm LeeIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 Sep 2011EM-3340EmergencyFloodRemnants Of Tropical Storm LeePublic assistance
16 Apr 2010DR-1898Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storms And SnowstormsPublic assistance
30 Jun 2006DR-1649Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3235EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
19 Sep 2004DR-1557Major disasterHurricaneTropical Depression IvanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Sep 2004DR-1555Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding Associated With Tropical Depression Frances—
14 Mar 2003EM-3180EmergencySevere StormSnowPublic assistance
22 Sep 1999DR-1298Major disasterFloodTropical Depression Dennis PaIndividual assistance
21 Jan 1996DR-1093Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1085Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
10 Mar 1994DR-1015Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3105EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
20 Oct 1976DR-523Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Sep 1975DR-485Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Heavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-340Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Dauphin County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19785,248
Paid claims4,360
Total paid$86M
Average paid claim$20K
Repetitive-loss properties77451 severe
Residential policies in force1,1301.2% of 96,874 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202630$0—
202510$0—
202422$13,842$6,921
202262$12,762$6,381
20213728$330,724$11,812
202022$13,564$6,782
201954$74,017$18,504
201811697$2,219,575$22,882
20174328$342,115$12,218
201631$11,091$11,091
201520$0—
201421$9,083$9,083
20131814$136,452$9,747
201262$17,924$8,962
20111,8361,639$51,864,212$31,644
20101711$191,095$17,372
200932$14,482$7,241
20081514$292,686$20,906
200754$25,952$6,488
200610092$2,107,692$22,910
2005158$38,806$4,851
2004964870$14,519,214$16,689
20031410$35,027$3,503
200210$0—
200051$504$504

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 91.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$100MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively High$74,998,403
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$6,928,176
TornadoRelatively Moderate$4,026,243
EarthquakeRelatively Low$3,582,197
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,767,559
Strong windRelatively High$2,612,754
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$1,970,724
Winter weatherVery High$1,411,017
LightningRelatively High$1,118,949
DroughtRelatively Low$141,412
Ice stormRelatively Low$93,874
HailVery Low$88,690
LandslideRelatively Low$29,216
WildfireVery Low$24,581
AvalancheVery Low$287

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles25
Tracks within 50 miles10
Hurricane strength within 50 miles1
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ida202176 mi40 mph
Isaias202095 mi63 mph
Sandy201247 mi63 mph
Ernesto200636 mi40 mph
Danielle199273 mi40 mph
David197979 mi46 mph
Connie195532 mi58 mph
Diane195556 mi40 mph
Hazel195426 mi81 mph
Able195265 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194929 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194363 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193485 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193317 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192944 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192881 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191557 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190383 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189957 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189344 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189370 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188820 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188538 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm1878100 mi92 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187674 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Dauphin County, PA?

NCEI records 90 hail events in Dauphin County since 1950, in 28 different years; that is about 1.2 recorded events a year. 11 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Dauphin County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 19 tornadoes in Dauphin County since 1950, 4 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Dauphin County?

10 Sep 2021: Remnants Of Hurricane Ida, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 22 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Dauphin County, and how much was paid?

5,248 NFIP claims since 1978, 4,360 of them paid, for $86M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Dauphin County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Dauphin County compare with the rest of Pennsylvania?

134.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 121.6 statewide, and 18.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.