County Hazards

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Armstrong County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48011 · 1,839 residents (2021) · 909 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 318Tornado · 48Flood · 23Wind · 202Winter · 53
2025-06-08: Hail2025-06-08: Hail2024-07-06: Hail2023-06-21: Hail2022-05-10: Hail2022-05-10: Hail2022-04-22: Hail2022-04-22: Hail2021-07-17: Hail2021-03-13: Hail2021-03-13: Hail2020-06-19: Hail2019-09-19: Hail2019-05-25: Hail2019-05-07: Hail2019-05-07: Hail2019-05-05: Hail2019-05-05: Hail2019-04-17: Hail2019-04-17: Hail2019-03-22: Hail2017-05-10: Hail2017-05-10: Hail2017-04-16: Hail2017-04-16: Hail2017-04-16: Hail2016-07-14: Hail2016-07-14: Hail2016-07-14: Hail2016-07-12: Hail2016-05-16: Hail2016-05-16: Hail2016-05-11: Hail2016-05-11: Hail2016-05-11: Hail2015-11-16: Hail2015-06-12: Hail2015-05-27: Hail2015-05-27: Hail2015-05-27: Hail2015-05-27: Hail2015-05-27: Hail2015-05-27: Hail2015-05-27: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-09: Hail2015-04-22: Hail2014-08-08: Hail2014-06-07: Hail2014-06-06: Hail2014-06-06: Hail2014-05-21: Hail2013-08-14: Hail2013-08-14: Hail2013-08-14: Hail2013-06-16: Hail2013-06-16: Hail2013-06-16: Hail2013-05-29: Hail2013-05-29: Hail2012-06-01: Hail2012-06-01: Hail2012-06-01: Hail2012-06-01: Hail2012-06-01: Hail2012-06-01: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-29: Hail2012-04-29: Hail2011-11-07: Hail2011-11-07: Hail2010-09-16: Hail2010-09-16: Hail2010-08-17: Hail2010-06-18: Hail2010-06-01: Hail2010-05-31: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-21: Hail2010-05-16: Hail2010-04-11: Hail2009-07-28: Hail2009-07-04: Hail2009-07-04: Hail2009-06-13: Hail2009-04-16: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-14: Hail2008-06-08: Hail2008-06-08: Hail2007-10-16: Hail2007-08-24: Hail2007-06-01: Hail2007-06-01: Hail2007-05-31: Hail2007-05-31: Hail2007-05-31: Hail1955-06-16: Tornado1955-06-16: Tornado1959-05-25: Tornado1968-06-09: Tornado1973-04-13: Tornado1973-04-13: Tornado1977-05-17: Tornado1977-05-17: Tornado1977-05-17: Tornado1982-05-17: Tornado1984-06-10: Tornado1984-06-10: Tornado1986-05-14: Tornado1986-07-12: Tornado1987-05-25: Tornado1987-07-01: Tornado1995-05-26: Tornado1996-05-31: Tornado1996-06-18: Tornado2002-05-05: Tornado2002-05-05: Tornado2002-05-05: Tornado2002-05-05: Tornado2005-06-11: Tornado2005-06-11: Tornado2005-06-11: Tornado2005-06-11: Tornado2007-04-21: Tornado2007-04-21: Tornado2007-04-21: Tornado2008-06-14: Tornado2010-04-22: Tornado2010-04-22: Tornado2015-11-16: Tornado2017-05-10: Tornado2019-06-22: Tornado2019-06-22: Tornado2019-05-23: Tornado2019-05-07: Tornado2021-03-13: Tornado2021-03-13: Tornado2021-03-13: Tornado2023-06-21: Tornado2007-04-22: Flood2007-09-09: Flood2008-06-19: Flood2008-08-18: Flood2013-06-19: Flood2013-06-19: Flood2014-05-21: Flood2014-05-21: Flood2015-07-09: Flood2015-05-27: Flood2017-08-10: Flood2019-09-19: Flood2019-09-19: Flood2019-09-19: Flood2019-09-19: Flood2019-10-03: Flood2021-03-13: Flood2025-09-09: Flood2026-06-30: Wind2026-05-29: Wind2026-05-14: Wind2026-05-14: Wind2026-03-30: Wind2025-09-22: Wind2025-09-20: Wind2025-09-20: Wind2025-09-09: Wind2025-08-11: Wind2025-08-11: Wind2025-06-08: Wind2024-09-14: Wind2024-09-14: Wind2024-08-16: Wind2023-09-10: Wind2023-09-10: Wind2023-07-07: Wind2023-02-26: Wind2023-02-26: Wind2022-08-04: Wind2022-07-29: Wind2022-07-21: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2022-05-10: Wind2022-05-10: Wind2021-09-27: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-07-05: Wind2021-05-17: Wind2020-09-01: Wind2020-08-12: Wind2020-07-21: Wind2020-07-04: Wind2020-06-22: Wind2019-09-19: Wind2019-08-20: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-06-20: Wind2019-06-15: Wind2019-06-15: Wind2019-06-15: Wind2019-06-01: Wind2019-06-01: Wind2018-07-15: Wind2018-06-29: Wind2018-06-12: Wind2017-08-05: Wind2017-06-25: Wind2017-03-28: Wind2016-05-29: Wind2016-05-11: Wind2015-06-07: Wind2014-10-12: Wind2014-08-24: Wind2014-06-22: Wind
Armstrong County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 779 events for Armstrong County, Texas, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.

That is 85.7 events per 100 square miles, above the Texas figure of 63.3, and 4,236.0 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

22 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 0 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $1.9M and crop damage at $212M.

FEMA has designated the county in 14 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is 8 Ball Fire (fire management assistance, 18 Feb 2026).

OpenFEMA lists no National Flood Insurance Program claims in the county.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.4M a year across 18 hazards).

22events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
779events since 19502 deaths, 0 injuries recorded
14disaster declarationslast 18 Feb 2026
0NFIP flood claims$0 paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureArmstrong CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950779165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles85.763.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents4,236.056.059.6
Events in the last 12 months224,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI22,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$1.9M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.013.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim—$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years—24.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 3
Hail: 4Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 15Tornado: 7Wind: 2
Hail: 11Tornado: 8Wind: 7
Hail: 80Tornado: 5Flood: 5Wind: 11Winter: 6Drought: 5
Hail: 107Tornado: 12Flood: 4Wind: 40Winter: 17Cold: 1Drought: 5Wildfire: 8
Hail: 88Tornado: 8Flood: 12Wind: 62Winter: 20Heat: 1Cold: 16Drought: 26Wildfire: 16Fog: 12Other: 6
Hail: 12Tornado: 4Flood: 2Wind: 78Winter: 10Cold: 1Drought: 31Wildfire: 6Other: 1
41950s71960s241970s261980s1121990s1942000s2672010s1452020s
Recorded events in Armstrong County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 493 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 226 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail318
Wind202
Drought67
Winter53
Tornado48
Wildfire30
Flood23
Cold18
Fog12
Other7
Heat1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail318—0.6%detail
■ Wind202—0.5%detail
■ Drought67—0.4%
■ Winter5310.7%detail
■ Tornado48—0.5%detail
■ Wildfire30—2.0%
■ Flood23—0.1%detail
■ Cold1810.8%
■ Fog12—4.3%
■ Other7—0.4%
■ Heat1—0.0%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
8 Dec 2009Winter WeatherWinter———1—Forecast zone
14 Feb 2021Extreme Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
1 Oct 2000DroughtDrought——$64M——Forecast zone
1 Nov 2012DroughtDrought——$25M——Forecast zone
1 Dec 2012DroughtDrought——$25M——Forecast zone
1 May 2013DroughtDrought——$25M——Forecast zone
1 Jan 2013DroughtDrought——$20M——Forecast zone
1 Jun 2013DroughtDrought——$15M——Forecast zone
28 Aug 2005DroughtDrought—$18K$12M——Forecast zone
1 Oct 2012DroughtDrought——$6.0M——Forecast zone
1 Jul 2013DroughtDrought——$5.0M——Forecast zone
1 Feb 2013DroughtDrought——$5.0M——Forecast zone
1 Apr 2013DroughtDrought——$5.0M——Forecast zone
1 Aug 2013DroughtDrought——$5.0M——Forecast zone
24 Feb 2013BlizzardWinter—$660K———Forecast zone
28 May 2013Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$500K———County
23 Jul 1995HailHail1.75 in$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
18 Feb 2026FM-5619Fire management assistanceFire8 Ball FirePublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
1 Jul 2011DR-1999Major disasterFireWildfiresPublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
8 Jan 2001DR-1356Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
1 Sep 1999EM-3142EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardsPublic assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims with this county's code.

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 20.0 of 100
Expected annual loss$6.4MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
DroughtRelatively High$4,794,671
HailRelatively Low$551,623
TornadoVery Low$296,071
Inland floodingVery Low$248,434
WildfireRelatively Low$218,664
Strong windRelatively Low$130,691
Cold waveVery Low$51,208
Winter weatherRelatively Low$35,478
Heat waveVery Low$16,011
EarthquakeVery Low$10,824
LightningVery Low$6,875
Ice stormVery Low$5,664
LandslideVery Low$23

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Armstrong County, TX?

NCEI records 318 hail events in Armstrong County since 1950, in 49 different years; that is about 4.1 recorded events a year. 105 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Armstrong County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 48 tornadoes in Armstrong County since 1950, 4 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Armstrong County?

18 Feb 2026: 8 Ball Fire, a fire management assistance declaration for fire. The county appears in 14 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Armstrong County, and how much was paid?

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims in the county.

Is Armstrong County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Armstrong County compare with the rest of Texas?

85.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 0.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.