County Hazards

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Atascosa County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48013 · 49,939 residents (2021) · 1,220 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 110Tornado · 16Flood · 78Wind · 77Winter · 10
1968-05-11: Hail1973-04-25: Hail1974-04-14: Hail1975-05-04: Hail1975-04-29: Hail1977-04-14: Hail1978-05-02: Hail1979-04-02: Hail1979-04-02: Hail1980-05-01: Hail1980-05-01: Hail1980-04-12: Hail1980-04-12: Hail1980-04-12: Hail1984-04-07: Hail1984-04-07: Hail1984-04-07: Hail1984-05-07: Hail1984-10-10: Hail1984-10-10: Hail1986-04-30: Hail1988-06-03: Hail1990-05-20: Hail1991-02-18: Hail1992-03-29: Hail1992-03-29: Hail1992-03-29: Hail1997-05-15: Hail1997-12-20: Hail1998-01-06: Hail1998-02-10: Hail1998-02-18: Hail1998-02-18: Hail1998-02-18: Hail1998-02-26: Hail1998-02-26: Hail1998-02-18: Hail1998-02-05: Hail1998-02-18: Hail1998-02-21: Hail2000-03-16: Hail2000-04-02: Hail2000-04-02: Hail2001-05-20: Hail2001-05-06: Hail2001-11-28: Hail2002-04-07: Hail2002-04-16: Hail2002-04-16: Hail2004-11-23: Hail2004-11-23: Hail2006-05-05: Hail2006-05-02: Hail2006-04-25: Hail2008-03-29: Hail2008-03-29: Hail2008-03-29: Hail2008-03-29: Hail2009-03-26: Hail2009-03-26: Hail2009-03-26: Hail2009-03-26: Hail2009-03-26: Hail2014-05-26: Hail2014-04-14: Hail2014-04-14: Hail2014-04-14: Hail2014-05-27: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2015-04-17: Hail2016-02-23: Hail2016-04-17: Hail2016-04-25: Hail2016-04-25: Hail2016-04-17: Hail2017-05-31: Hail2017-05-23: Hail2018-02-25: Hail2018-02-25: Hail2018-02-25: Hail2018-02-25: Hail2018-02-25: Hail2019-04-07: Hail2021-04-23: Hail2021-04-23: Hail2023-04-15: Hail2023-04-15: Hail2023-04-21: Hail2023-03-01: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2024-01-24: Hail2024-01-24: Hail2024-01-24: Hail2024-05-13: Hail2024-05-13: Hail2024-05-13: Hail2025-05-05: Hail2025-04-30: Hail2025-04-30: Hail2025-04-30: Hail2025-10-25: Hail2025-10-25: Hail2026-05-26: Hail1968-11-26: Tornado1968-11-26: Tornado1968-05-11: Tornado1968-11-26: Tornado1972-05-06: Tornado1972-05-06: Tornado1977-04-14: Tornado1980-05-15: Tornado1981-08-30: Tornado1984-03-27: Tornado1988-09-17: Tornado1992-09-11: Tornado1998-02-25: Tornado2003-06-03: Tornado2003-06-03: Tornado2005-02-24: Flood2005-05-15: Flood2005-09-11: Flood2005-10-11: Flood2007-06-28: Flood2007-06-16: Flood2007-07-07: Flood2007-07-24: Flood2007-07-04: Flood2007-07-25: Flood2007-03-13: Flood2007-05-27: Flood2007-05-25: Flood2007-03-26: Flood2007-04-30: Flood2008-08-20: Flood2008-03-29: Flood2010-04-17: Flood2010-04-17: Flood2010-06-08: Flood2012-03-28: Flood2012-05-10: Flood2014-06-25: Flood2015-04-24: Flood2016-08-21: Flood2016-08-20: Flood2023-04-06: Flood2023-05-20: Flood2025-06-12: Flood2026-05-26: Flood2026-05-01: Flood1963-04-29: Wind1968-06-17: Wind1970-09-23: Wind1977-09-07: Wind1978-09-13: Wind1979-07-10: Wind1980-05-13: Wind1980-07-28: Wind1980-05-01: Wind1981-09-02: Wind1982-09-15: Wind1983-06-06: Wind1983-06-16: Wind1984-12-13: Wind1984-04-07: Wind1984-06-12: Wind1985-05-17: Wind1985-05-17: Wind1986-10-12: Wind1987-02-27: Wind1988-05-20: Wind1989-04-29: Wind1989-04-29: Wind1990-07-15: Wind1990-09-01: Wind1991-06-14: Wind1996-08-14: Wind1996-08-14: Wind1996-08-20: Wind1996-08-20: Wind1996-07-25: Wind1997-05-27: Wind1997-09-03: Wind1998-02-10: Wind1998-03-16: Wind1998-02-21: Wind1999-05-15: Wind2001-05-20: Wind2002-03-19: Wind2003-06-13: Wind2003-06-03: Wind2004-04-24: Wind2005-02-24: Wind2006-05-02: Wind2007-04-24: Wind2008-03-29: Wind2009-03-26: Wind2009-03-26: Wind2009-03-26: Wind2010-06-02: Wind2010-06-02: Wind2010-08-24: Wind2012-06-26: Wind2012-06-26: Wind2012-06-26: Wind2013-05-10: Wind2014-11-22: Wind2014-05-26: Wind2014-05-26: Wind2015-04-25: Wind2018-07-06: Wind2019-04-13: Wind2019-04-18: Wind2019-05-30: Wind2020-05-15: Wind2020-05-15: Wind2021-04-23: Wind2024-05-13: Wind2024-05-13: Wind2026-05-10: Wind
Atascosa County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 386 events for Atascosa County, Texas, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.

That is 31.7 events per 100 square miles, below the Texas figure of 63.3, and 77.3 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

20 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $6.2M and crop damage at $6.9M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Flooding (emergency, 18 Jul 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 36 claims since 1978, of which 26 were paid, totalling $516K (about $20K per paid claim). FEMA counts 139 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($14M a year across 18 hazards).

29 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 2 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

20events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
386events since 19503 deaths, 2 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 18 Jul 2026
36NFIP flood claims$516K paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureAtascosa CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950386165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles31.763.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents77.356.059.6
Events in the last 12 months204,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI32,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$6.2M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.713.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$20K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years1.424.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 4Wind: 2
Hail: 8Tornado: 3Wind: 4
Hail: 13Tornado: 4Wind: 17
Hail: 25Tornado: 3Flood: 12Wind: 20Winter: 1Drought: 14Other: 1
Hail: 23Tornado: 2Flood: 52Wind: 13Winter: 1Tropical: 1Drought: 4Lightning: 1
Hail: 20Flood: 9Wind: 15Winter: 3Heat: 1Drought: 15Wildfire: 4
Hail: 20Flood: 5Wind: 6Winter: 5Heat: 8Cold: 2Drought: 42Wildfire: 2
01950s71960s151970s341980s761990s972000s672010s902020s
Recorded events in Atascosa County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 182 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 145 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail110
Flood78
Wind77
Drought75
Tornado16
Winter10
Heat9
Wildfire6
Cold2
Tropical1
Lightning1
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail110—0.2%detail
■ Flood78—0.5%detail
■ Wind77—0.2%detail
■ Drought75—0.4%
■ Tornado16—0.2%detail
■ Winter10—0.1%detail
■ Heat910.1%
■ Wildfire610.4%
■ Cold2—0.1%
■ Tropical110.2%
■ Lightning1—0.1%
■ Other1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
15 Jul 2003Tropical StormTropical—$700K$100K1—Forecast zone
14 Jul 2011WildfireWildfire—$150K—1—Forecast zone
29 Jul 2025HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
20 Aug 1996Thunderstorm WindWind—$30K——1County
6 May 1972TornadoTornadoF1$3K——1County
1 May 1997DroughtDrought—$2.0M$6.0M——Forecast zone
19 Mar 2002Thunderstorm WindWind—$500K$100K——County
15 May 1980TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
7 Apr 2002Flash FloodFlood—$50K$200K——County
29 Mar 2008Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$250K———County
18 Oct 1998Flash FloodFlood—$50K$100K——County
8 Sep 2002Flash FloodFlood—$100K$50K——County
8 Jul 2008LightningLightning—$150K———County
14 Mar 2019WildfireWildfire—$150K———Forecast zone
7 Apr 2002HailHail2.50 in$100K———County
3 Jun 2003Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$100K———County
24 Apr 2004Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
18 Jul 2026EM-3649EmergencyFloodFloodingPublic assistance
5 Mar 2025FM-5553Fire management assistanceFireDuke FirePublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
29 May 2015DR-4223Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Jun 2010EM-3313EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm AlexPublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
29 Jun 2007DR-1709Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 May 2007DR-1697Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
17 Jul 2003DR-1479Major disasterHurricaneHurricane ClaudetteIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Jul 2002DR-1425Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Oct 1998DR-1257Major disasterFloodTx-Flooding 10/18/98Individual assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
28 Sep 1967DR-232Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BeulahIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Atascosa County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197836
Paid claims26
Total paid$516K
Average paid claim$20K
Repetitive-loss properties11 severe
Residential policies in force1390.7% of 21,391 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202122$79,255$39,627
201610$0—
201522$18,063$9,031
201443$32,006$10,669
201011$52,938$52,938
200754$111,545$27,886
200454$58,304$14,576
200264$60,094$15,024
200010$0—
199810$0—
199510$0—
199411$13,259$13,259
199322$57,725$28,863
199211$17,473$17,473
199011$9,580$9,580
198110$0—
198011$5,659$5,659

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 60.7 of 100
Expected annual loss$14MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$5,997,685
TornadoRelatively Moderate$2,784,502
DroughtRelatively High$1,269,480
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$994,794
HailRelatively Moderate$933,572
Cold waveRelatively Low$534,969
LightningRelatively Moderate$459,894
Strong windRelatively Low$369,175
HurricaneRelatively Low$277,550
WildfireRelatively Low$166,113
Winter weatherRelatively Low$49,911
Ice stormRelatively Low$28,396
EarthquakeVery Low$15,295
LandslideVery Low$13

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles29
Tracks within 50 miles9
Hurricane strength within 50 miles2
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Harvey201763 mi121 mph
Bill2015100 mi46 mph
Hermine201035 mi52 mph
Claudette200334 mi58 mph
Bret199991 mi40 mph
Charley199897 mi40 mph
Frances199866 mi46 mph
Amelia197865 mi40 mph
Celia197051 mi109 mph
Candy196891 mi69 mph
Beulah196797 mi52 mph
Abby196487 mi40 mph
Carla196191 mi81 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196061 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194235 mi98 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193638 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193448 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192937 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191996 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191672 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191364 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191265 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190275 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188633 mi98 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188674 mi81 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Atascosa County, TX?

NCEI records 110 hail events in Atascosa County since 1950, in 36 different years; that is about 1.4 recorded events a year. 40 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Atascosa County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 16 tornadoes in Atascosa County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Atascosa County?

18 Jul 2026: Flooding, a emergency declaration for flood. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Atascosa County, and how much was paid?

36 NFIP claims since 1978, 26 of them paid, for $516K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Atascosa County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Atascosa County compare with the rest of Texas?

31.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 0.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.