County Hazards

States › Texas › Caldwell County

Caldwell County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48055 · 46,791 residents (2021) · 545 sq mi · dominant hazard Flood

Hail · 92Tornado · 25Flood · 100Wind · 81Winter · 22
1967-05-07: Hail1968-04-04: Hail1968-04-04: Hail1968-04-04: Hail1970-04-18: Hail1971-03-12: Hail1976-04-04: Hail1976-04-07: Hail1976-05-26: Hail1979-04-18: Hail1980-02-29: Hail1981-05-09: Hail1982-05-13: Hail1982-05-13: Hail1983-03-30: Hail1983-03-30: Hail1989-04-29: Hail1990-09-09: Hail1991-08-30: Hail1991-01-14: Hail1992-04-19: Hail1992-04-19: Hail1992-02-22: Hail1996-05-27: Hail1996-06-02: Hail1997-04-25: Hail1997-04-25: Hail1997-04-25: Hail1998-07-14: Hail1998-06-05: Hail1998-02-10: Hail1998-02-12: Hail1998-06-05: Hail1998-06-05: Hail1998-07-14: Hail1998-03-07: Hail1999-05-24: Hail1999-01-01: Hail2000-03-17: Hail2000-03-16: Hail2000-05-04: Hail2002-05-29: Hail2002-05-29: Hail2003-03-25: Hail2003-04-24: Hail2004-05-13: Hail2005-03-19: Hail2006-04-20: Hail2006-04-20: Hail2006-04-20: Hail2006-05-02: Hail2008-12-09: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2011-05-20: Hail2011-05-20: Hail2013-04-02: Hail2014-05-09: Hail2014-05-27: Hail2015-05-30: Hail2016-04-30: Hail2016-04-30: Hail2018-03-05: Hail2018-03-18: Hail2018-03-18: Hail2019-04-06: Hail2019-04-06: Hail2020-05-27: Hail2020-05-27: Hail2020-05-27: Hail2020-04-03: Hail2021-05-04: Hail2021-05-04: Hail2021-05-04: Hail2021-03-23: Hail2021-03-23: Hail2022-05-05: Hail2022-03-21: Hail2022-03-21: Hail2023-04-05: Hail2023-04-05: Hail2024-01-08: Hail2025-05-22: Hail2025-05-22: Hail2025-05-22: Hail2025-05-22: Hail2025-05-22: Hail1957-04-26: Tornado1961-11-12: Tornado1961-08-04: Tornado1965-04-15: Tornado1965-08-28: Tornado1967-05-08: Tornado1971-02-25: Tornado1971-07-24: Tornado1973-09-13: Tornado1974-08-08: Tornado1976-04-07: Tornado1980-08-10: Tornado1980-08-10: Tornado1987-05-03: Tornado1987-05-03: Tornado1988-09-17: Tornado1998-06-05: Tornado1998-06-05: Tornado2000-11-12: Tornado2000-10-22: Tornado2002-12-30: Tornado2018-03-28: Tornado2020-05-12: Tornado2022-03-21: Tornado2023-10-26: Tornado2006-10-18: Flood2007-07-21: Flood2007-07-23: Flood2007-07-05: Flood2007-03-13: Flood2007-07-06: Flood2007-03-11: Flood2007-07-15: Flood2007-05-28: Flood2007-05-02: Flood2007-03-26: Flood2007-03-31: Flood2007-03-12: Flood2010-04-16: Flood2010-04-16: Flood2010-05-15: Flood2010-09-08: Flood2012-03-20: Flood2013-10-31: Flood2013-10-31: Flood2013-10-31: Flood2013-10-13: Flood2014-05-27: Flood2015-05-17: Flood2015-05-30: Flood2015-05-24: Flood2015-04-24: Flood2015-05-24: Flood2015-05-25: Flood2015-10-31: Flood2015-10-30: Flood2016-08-16: Flood2016-04-18: Flood2016-04-18: Flood2016-06-03: Flood2016-05-27: Flood2016-05-19: Flood2016-05-19: Flood2016-05-27: Flood2017-08-26: Flood2017-08-27: Flood2017-08-26: Flood2017-08-26: Flood2017-08-27: Flood2017-08-26: Flood2018-03-28: Flood2018-12-07: Flood2020-06-28: Flood2020-09-09: Flood2020-09-09: Flood2020-09-09: Flood2020-09-09: Flood2021-05-01: Flood2021-05-01: Flood2021-10-14: Flood2021-10-14: Flood1957-09-02: Wind1975-06-09: Wind1979-04-18: Wind1980-07-28: Wind1980-02-29: Wind1982-05-13: Wind1983-05-20: Wind1983-05-20: Wind1984-12-13: Wind1985-05-01: Wind1989-04-19: Wind1990-06-04: Wind1992-09-03: Wind1996-06-02: Wind1996-09-20: Wind1996-09-20: Wind1996-04-28: Wind1997-09-03: Wind1998-07-14: Wind1999-05-17: Wind2000-11-05: Wind2000-10-22: Wind2001-05-20: Wind2002-03-19: Wind2002-10-08: Wind2002-10-21: Wind2003-08-08: Wind2003-06-02: Wind2003-06-13: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2004-05-14: Wind2004-10-13: Wind2004-10-13: Wind2005-07-07: Wind2006-04-20: Wind2007-04-13: Wind2007-04-25: Wind2007-06-03: Wind2008-08-26: Wind2010-08-24: Wind2011-09-29: Wind2011-09-29: Wind2013-05-09: Wind2013-05-09: Wind2014-11-22: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-09-05: Wind2015-04-27: Wind2015-08-12: Wind2015-11-17: Wind2015-04-27: Wind2016-03-24: Wind2017-05-28: Wind2017-02-19: Wind2019-06-09: Wind2019-06-09: Wind2019-06-09: Wind2019-06-09: Wind2019-06-09: Wind2019-06-09: Wind2019-09-10: Wind2020-01-10: Wind2020-01-10: Wind2020-01-10: Wind2020-04-03: Wind2022-10-24: Wind2022-06-27: Wind2022-07-10: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2025-05-22: Wind2025-10-24: Wind2026-06-02: Wind
Caldwell County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Caldwell County, Texas, has 411 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them floods and flash floods.

That is 75.5 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Texas figure of 63.3, and 87.8 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

14 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 11 deaths and 652 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $157M and crop damage at $1.2M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 17 May 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 180 claims since 1978, of which 146 were paid, totalling $7.4M (about $50K per paid claim). FEMA counts 231 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($33M a year across 18 hazards).

32 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 1 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

14events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
411events since 195011 deaths, 652 injuries recorded
24disaster declarationslast 17 May 2024
180NFIP flood claims$7.4M paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureCaldwell CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950411165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles75.563.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents87.856.059.6
Events in the last 12 months144,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI112,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$157M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents3.813.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$50K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years2.624.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 4Tornado: 5
Hail: 6Tornado: 5Wind: 2
Hail: 8Tornado: 5Wind: 9
Hail: 25Tornado: 2Flood: 9Wind: 14Winter: 2Drought: 5
Hail: 16Tornado: 3Flood: 48Wind: 22Winter: 6Drought: 4Other: 1
Hail: 13Tornado: 1Flood: 34Wind: 22Winter: 6Tropical: 1Heat: 1Drought: 27Wildfire: 1Lightning: 1
Hail: 20Tornado: 3Flood: 9Wind: 11Winter: 8Heat: 7Cold: 4Drought: 37Wildfire: 1Lightning: 1
21950s91960s131970s221980s571990s1002000s1072010s1012020s
Recorded events in Caldwell County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 229 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 132 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Flood100
Hail92
Wind81
Drought73
Tornado25
Winter22
Heat8
Cold4
Wildfire2
Lightning2
Tropical1
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Flood100110.6%detail
■ Hail92—0.2%detail
■ Wind81—0.2%detail
■ Drought73—0.4%
■ Tornado25—0.2%detail
■ Winter22—0.3%detail
■ Heat8—0.1%
■ Cold4—0.2%
■ Wildfire2—0.1%
■ Lightning2—0.2%
■ Tropical1—0.2%
■ Other1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
17 Oct 1998Flash FloodFlood—$20M$100K6500County
7 Dec 2018Flash FloodFlood———2—County
31 Oct 2013FloodFlood———1—County
31 Oct 2013Flash FloodFlood———1—County
27 May 2014Flash FloodFlood———1—County
17 Oct 1998FloodFlood—$50M$100K—50Forecast zone
17 Oct 1998FloodFlood—$30M$50K—50Forecast zone
10 Aug 1980TornadoTornadoF2$25M——20County
15 Nov 2001Flash FloodFlood—$80K——20County
5 Jun 1998HailHail2.75 in$20K$100K—9County
4 Aug 1961TornadoTornadoF2$3K——3County
2 Jun 2003Thunderstorm WindWind104 mph$13M———County
26 Aug 2017FloodFlood—$13M———County
30 Oct 2015Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
27 Mar 1994Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$500K$50K——County
13 May 1994Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$500K$50K——County
11 Mar 2007Flash FloodFlood——$500K——County
3 Jun 2007Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph$500K———County
4 Sep 2011WildfireWildfire—$500K———Forecast zone
10 Aug 1980TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
17 May 2024DR-4781Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
25 Aug 2017DR-4332Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HarveyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Jun 2016DR-4272Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
25 Nov 2015DR-4245Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 May 2015DR-4223Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
20 Dec 2013DR-4159Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
9 Sep 2011DR-4029Major disasterFireWildfiresIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
13 Jan 2006FM-2619Fire management assistanceFireLockhart FirePublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
4 Jul 2002DR-1425Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Sep 2000FM-2336Fire management assistanceFireTx-Milam Street Fire-9/9/00Public assistance
1 Sep 1999EM-3142EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardsPublic assistance
21 Oct 1998DR-1257Major disasterFloodTx-Flooding 10/18/98Individual assistance, Public assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
20 May 1972DR-333Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Caldwell County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978180
Paid claims146
Total paid$7.4M
Average paid claim$50K
Repetitive-loss properties211 severe
Residential policies in force2311.4% of 16,073 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202510$0—
202210$0—
201811$7,232$7,232
201731$67,758$67,758
201510794$5,631,906$59,914
201385$184,070$36,814
201286$172,058$28,676
200711$12,539$12,539
200431$3,287$3,287
200210$0—
2001119$124,457$13,829
19983327$1,151,432$42,646
199210$0—
198511$401$401

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 79.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$33MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$23,503,798
TornadoRelatively Moderate$3,625,926
Strong windRelatively High$1,270,355
HailRelatively Moderate$1,087,445
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1,017,905
Cold waveRelatively Low$897,988
Heat waveRelatively Low$881,717
LightningRelatively Moderate$310,562
HurricaneRelatively Low$171,804
WildfireRelatively Low$119,751
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$94,043
Ice stormRelatively Low$44,884
EarthquakeVery Low$20,952
LandslideVery Low$48

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles32
Tracks within 50 miles6
Hurricane strength within 50 miles1
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Beta202087 mi40 mph
Harvey201737 mi75 mph
Bill201567 mi46 mph
Hermine201066 mi46 mph
Claudette200396 mi81 mph
Frances199899 mi46 mph
Danielle198088 mi40 mph
Delia197380 mi40 mph
Candy196812 mi46 mph
Abby196472 mi40 mph
Carla196134 mi115 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194798 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194592 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194387 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194266 mi98 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193688 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193256 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192971 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192199 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191572 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190977 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190218 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190194 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190092 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189795 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Caldwell County, TX?

NCEI records 92 hail events in Caldwell County since 1950, in 41 different years; that is about 1.2 recorded events a year. 30 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Caldwell County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 25 tornadoes in Caldwell County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Caldwell County?

17 May 2024: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Caldwell County, and how much was paid?

180 NFIP claims since 1978, 146 of them paid, for $7.4M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Caldwell County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Caldwell County compare with the rest of Texas?

75.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 3.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.