County Hazards

States › Texas › Hays County

Hays County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48209 · 255,397 residents (2021) · 677 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 180Tornado · 31Flood · 139Wind · 109Winter · 29
1967-05-20: Hail1969-05-08: Hail1970-10-27: Hail1971-02-25: Hail1971-03-12: Hail1975-05-29: Hail1976-04-07: Hail1976-05-05: Hail1976-04-07: Hail1976-04-07: Hail1976-04-07: Hail1976-03-30: Hail1976-04-07: Hail1977-04-03: Hail1977-04-14: Hail1977-04-14: Hail1979-04-18: Hail1980-05-08: Hail1980-01-17: Hail1980-01-17: Hail1980-04-11: Hail1980-02-29: Hail1981-05-09: Hail1982-05-13: Hail1982-04-20: Hail1983-05-20: Hail1983-05-20: Hail1983-03-30: Hail1987-05-20: Hail1989-05-10: Hail1989-05-10: Hail1989-05-05: Hail1989-05-05: Hail1990-02-01: Hail1991-04-28: Hail1991-04-14: Hail1992-05-12: Hail1992-04-19: Hail1992-05-12: Hail1992-05-27: Hail1992-05-27: Hail1996-05-27: Hail1996-08-14: Hail1996-09-20: Hail1996-09-20: Hail1997-05-15: Hail1997-04-20: Hail1997-03-02: Hail1997-04-04: Hail1997-05-27: Hail1998-06-05: Hail1998-02-25: Hail1998-03-07: Hail1998-02-26: Hail1999-05-24: Hail1999-05-24: Hail2000-03-16: Hail2000-04-07: Hail2001-05-06: Hail2002-12-30: Hail2002-10-20: Hail2003-03-25: Hail2003-06-02: Hail2004-10-13: Hail2005-05-29: Hail2006-04-20: Hail2006-04-20: Hail2007-04-13: Hail2007-03-30: Hail2008-04-25: Hail2009-02-10: Hail2009-02-10: Hail2010-05-17: Hail2010-05-17: Hail2011-09-29: Hail2011-05-11: Hail2011-05-20: Hail2011-05-20: Hail2011-05-20: Hail2011-05-20: Hail2011-05-20: Hail2011-05-20: Hail2012-04-03: Hail2012-04-20: Hail2012-04-20: Hail2012-01-24: Hail2013-05-10: Hail2013-05-09: Hail2013-05-09: Hail2013-04-29: Hail2013-04-27: Hail2013-03-19: Hail2013-03-19: Hail2013-03-19: Hail2013-03-19: Hail2014-05-27: Hail2014-05-27: Hail2014-05-27: Hail2014-05-27: Hail2014-05-27: Hail2014-05-27: Hail2014-05-27: Hail2015-04-18: Hail2015-12-27: Hail2015-04-16: Hail2015-04-16: Hail2015-04-16: Hail2016-04-01: Hail2016-03-18: Hail2016-04-30: Hail2016-04-30: Hail1953-04-28: Tornado1954-04-30: Tornado1958-05-02: Tornado1961-11-12: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1975-05-10: Tornado1976-03-30: Tornado1976-03-30: Tornado1980-08-10: Tornado1985-04-22: Tornado1991-08-22: Tornado1994-05-13: Tornado1997-05-27: Tornado1998-04-08: Tornado1998-04-08: Tornado2001-11-15: Tornado2001-11-15: Tornado2001-11-15: Tornado2001-11-15: Tornado2002-12-30: Tornado2002-10-08: Tornado2007-01-13: Tornado2007-03-30: Tornado2007-03-30: Tornado2015-05-23: Tornado2015-10-30: Tornado2017-02-19: Tornado2017-02-19: Tornado2025-06-12: Tornado2025-06-12: Tornado2005-05-29: Flood2007-07-28: Flood2007-07-23: Flood2007-07-04: Flood2007-07-21: Flood2007-03-12: Flood2007-06-20: Flood2007-01-13: Flood2007-07-02: Flood2007-07-25: Flood2007-08-16: Flood2007-03-11: Flood2007-03-30: Flood2007-03-30: Flood2007-07-20: Flood2007-05-02: Flood2009-09-10: Flood2010-05-17: Flood2010-09-07: Flood2010-09-08: Flood2010-06-09: Flood2010-06-09: Flood2012-02-04: Flood2012-02-04: Flood2012-05-10: Flood2012-05-11: Flood2013-10-31: Flood2013-10-13: Flood2013-10-31: Flood2014-05-13: Flood2014-05-12: Flood2014-05-27: Flood2015-05-24: Flood2015-05-24: Flood2015-05-17: Flood2015-05-30: Flood2015-05-30: Flood2015-06-28: Flood2015-05-23: Flood2015-10-30: Flood2015-10-30: Flood2015-10-30: Flood2015-06-14: Flood2015-10-30: Flood2016-09-26: Flood2016-06-02: Flood2016-08-16: Flood2016-08-20: Flood2016-05-19: Flood2016-05-19: Flood2016-05-26: Flood2016-05-27: Flood2017-04-11: Flood2017-04-11: Flood2017-08-26: Flood2018-03-28: Flood2018-03-28: Flood2018-03-28: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2019-05-03: Flood2019-05-08: Flood2019-05-03: Flood2020-04-03: Flood1974-05-09: Wind1975-05-19: Wind1975-04-07: Wind1976-05-31: Wind1976-05-31: Wind1978-05-11: Wind1978-05-29: Wind1979-04-18: Wind1979-07-10: Wind1980-07-28: Wind1980-05-13: Wind1980-02-29: Wind1982-05-13: Wind1982-06-22: Wind1983-03-30: Wind1984-10-21: Wind1984-12-31: Wind1985-05-08: Wind1986-06-12: Wind1989-05-20: Wind1989-05-05: Wind1990-05-18: Wind1990-04-26: Wind1990-04-26: Wind1991-04-07: Wind1992-09-03: Wind1992-09-03: Wind1992-06-12: Wind1992-06-12: Wind1992-05-27: Wind1996-08-14: Wind1996-08-14: Wind1996-09-20: Wind1997-07-22: Wind1998-08-30: Wind1998-03-07: Wind1998-03-16: Wind2000-03-26: Wind2000-10-22: Wind2000-07-31: Wind2002-03-19: Wind2002-04-07: Wind2002-03-19: Wind2003-06-02: Wind2004-10-13: Wind2006-04-18: Wind2007-04-25: Wind2007-01-13: Wind2007-06-03: Wind2009-06-11: Wind2010-08-24: Wind2013-05-09: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-04-02: Wind2013-06-02: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-04-14: Wind2016-04-30: Wind2016-03-18: Wind2016-04-30: Wind2016-03-24: Wind2016-03-24: Wind2018-05-04: Wind2019-05-03: Wind2019-06-09: Wind2019-06-09: Wind2019-06-09: Wind2020-05-15: Wind2020-01-10: Wind2020-08-02: Wind2020-08-02: Wind2021-05-18: Wind2021-07-19: Wind2022-10-24: Wind2022-06-27: Wind2022-05-24: Wind2022-11-04: Wind2022-06-27: Wind2022-06-27: Wind2022-06-27: Wind2023-03-02: Wind2023-03-02: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2025-05-26: Wind2026-05-09: Wind2026-05-09: Wind2026-05-09: Wind
Hays County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 593 storm events in Hays County, Texas, led by hail.

That is 87.6 events per 100 square miles, above the Texas figure of 63.3, and 23.2 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

17 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 16 deaths and 191 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $387M and crop damage at $1.5M.

FEMA has designated the county in 27 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 17 May 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1,489 claims since 1978, of which 1,262 were paid, totalling $72M (about $57K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1,620 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($109M a year across 18 hazards).

19 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

17events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
593events since 195016 deaths, 191 injuries recorded
27disaster declarationslast 17 May 2024
1,489NFIP flood claims$72M paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureHays CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950593165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles87.663.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents23.256.059.6
Events in the last 12 months174,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI162,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$387M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents5.813.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$57K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years4.524.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 3
Hail: 2Tornado: 3
Hail: 15Tornado: 3Wind: 9
Hail: 16Tornado: 2Wind: 12
Hail: 32Tornado: 5Flood: 14Wind: 22Winter: 4Drought: 5Other: 2
Hail: 16Tornado: 9Flood: 59Wind: 14Winter: 5Drought: 4Other: 1
Hail: 56Tornado: 4Flood: 46Wind: 22Winter: 6Tropical: 1Heat: 1Drought: 23Wildfire: 2Lightning: 5
Hail: 43Tornado: 2Flood: 20Wind: 30Winter: 14Heat: 7Cold: 5Drought: 46Wildfire: 3
31950s51960s271970s301980s841990s1082000s1662010s1702020s
Recorded events in Hays County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 357 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 167 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail180
Flood139
Wind109
Drought78
Tornado31
Winter29
Heat8
Cold5
Wildfire5
Lightning5
Other3
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail180—0.3%detail
■ Flood139150.9%detail
■ Wind109—0.3%detail
■ Drought78—0.4%
■ Tornado3110.3%detail
■ Winter29—0.4%detail
■ Heat8—0.1%
■ Cold5—0.2%
■ Wildfire5—0.3%
■ Lightning5—0.5%
■ Other3—0.2%
■ Tropical1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
24 May 2015Flash FloodFlood—$100M—10—County
8 Jun 1997Flash FloodFlood—$2.5M$50K27County
28 Apr 1953TornadoTornadoF3$250K—15County
17 Oct 1998Flash FloodFlood—$500K$50K—100County
14 Nov 2004Flash FloodFlood———1—County
11 Mar 2007Flash FloodFlood———1—County
3 May 2019Flash FloodFlood———1—County
17 Oct 1998FloodFlood—$4.0M$50K—25Forecast zone
17 Oct 1998FloodFlood—$4.0M$50K—25Forecast zone
15 Nov 2001Flash FloodFlood—$200K$50K—20County
20 Apr 2006HailHail4.25 in$100M——1County
24 May 2015Flash FloodFlood—$100M———County
15 Nov 2001TornadoTornadoF1$500K——3County
15 Nov 2001TornadoTornadoF1$500K——3County
10 Aug 1980TornadoTornadoF2$25M———County
30 Mar 1976TornadoTornadoF2$250K——1County
15 Nov 2001TornadoTornadoF0$50K——1County
30 Oct 2015Flash FloodFlood—$10M———County
9 May 2024HailHail3.00 in$10M———County
2 Jun 2003Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$7.0M———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
17 May 2024DR-4781Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
21 Apr 2023DR-4705Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
25 Nov 2015DR-4245Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 May 2015DR-4223Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
20 Dec 2013DR-4159Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
14 Mar 2008FM-2751Fire management assistanceFireOld Bastrop Highway Fire ComplexPublic assistance
15 Nov 2006FM-2680Fire management assistanceFireRim Rock FirePublic assistance
11 Jan 2006FM-2617Fire management assistanceFireNiederwald FirePublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
4 Jul 2002DR-1425Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Jan 2001FM-2352Fire management assistanceFireTx - Amhurst Street Fire - 09/04/00Public assistance
1 Sep 1999EM-3142EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardsPublic assistance
21 Oct 1998DR-1257Major disasterFloodTx-Flooding 10/18/98Individual assistance, Public assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
7 Jul 1997DR-1179Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
26 Dec 1991DR-930Major disasterFloodSevere ThunderstormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
20 May 1972DR-333Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 May 1970DR-286Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Windstorms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Hays County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781,489
Paid claims1,262
Total paid$72M
Average paid claim$57K
Repetitive-loss properties1838 severe
Residential policies in force1,6202.3% of 70,415 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202410$0—
202310$0—
202210$0—
202154$122,172$30,543
202021$9,198$9,198
20193932$1,644,210$51,382
201811$13,060$13,060
20172316$648,164$40,510
20162014$285,426$20,388
2015731676$59,053,590$87,357
201420$0—
20138573$3,014,518$41,295
201264$36,996$9,249
201063$97,728$32,576
200922$17,772$8,886
20071310$184,625$18,463
200610$0—
200475$77,287$15,457
20021510$121,630$12,163
20015949$1,114,331$22,741
200032$6,797$3,398
1998254193$3,586,618$18,584
19972421$430,625$20,506
199211$2,773$2,773
199183$6,415$2,138

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 90.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$109MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$68,061,430
TornadoRelatively High$18,552,188
HailRelatively High$4,994,353
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$4,510,781
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$4,489,251
LightningRelatively High$2,278,694
Strong windRelatively High$2,065,154
WildfireRelatively Low$1,270,458
DroughtRelatively Moderate$997,828
Winter weatherRelatively High$719,896
HurricaneRelatively Low$388,387
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$202,323
EarthquakeVery Low$59,032
LandslideVery Low$1,068

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles19
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Harvey201759 mi58 mph
Bill201595 mi46 mph
Hermine201057 mi46 mph
Candy196826 mi46 mph
Abby196498 mi40 mph
Carla196140 mi81 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194393 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194257 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193263 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192961 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191588 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190238 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190093 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189785 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188892 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188658 mi98 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188674 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187573 mi81 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm185489 mi69 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Hays County, TX?

NCEI records 180 hail events in Hays County since 1950, in 49 different years; that is about 2.3 recorded events a year. 58 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Hays County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 31 tornadoes in Hays County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Hays County?

17 May 2024: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 27 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Hays County, and how much was paid?

1,489 NFIP claims since 1978, 1,262 of them paid, for $72M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Hays County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Hays County compare with the rest of Texas?

87.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 5.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.