County Hazards

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Duval County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48131 · 9,756 residents (2021) · 1,793 sq mi · dominant hazard Drought

Hail · 84Tornado · 18Flood · 39Wind · 70Winter · 7
1970-05-26: Hail1973-04-25: Hail1979-05-03: Hail1980-05-21: Hail1981-05-29: Hail1985-05-20: Hail1985-05-20: Hail1986-03-08: Hail1987-05-30: Hail1987-05-05: Hail1988-04-29: Hail1988-04-05: Hail1991-01-14: Hail1991-01-14: Hail1991-01-14: Hail1991-04-13: Hail1997-04-26: Hail1997-03-18: Hail1998-03-07: Hail1998-02-21: Hail1998-02-21: Hail1998-02-21: Hail1998-02-12: Hail1998-03-07: Hail1999-03-13: Hail1999-05-10: Hail2000-03-14: Hail2001-05-20: Hail2001-05-06: Hail2001-11-15: Hail2001-11-16: Hail2002-12-30: Hail2002-12-12: Hail2002-05-29: Hail2004-04-04: Hail2004-04-04: Hail2004-04-04: Hail2004-04-04: Hail2004-06-25: Hail2004-11-23: Hail2004-11-23: Hail2005-10-27: Hail2005-10-27: Hail2005-10-27: Hail2005-10-27: Hail2006-04-25: Hail2006-04-25: Hail2007-03-13: Hail2007-04-30: Hail2007-03-13: Hail2007-03-13: Hail2008-02-16: Hail2009-04-17: Hail2009-04-17: Hail2012-04-15: Hail2012-05-10: Hail2013-03-31: Hail2013-03-31: Hail2013-03-31: Hail2013-03-31: Hail2013-02-11: Hail2013-03-31: Hail2013-06-07: Hail2013-06-07: Hail2015-04-14: Hail2016-04-18: Hail2016-03-18: Hail2017-05-20: Hail2017-05-20: Hail2017-05-20: Hail2022-03-21: Hail2023-05-29: Hail2023-04-27: Hail2023-05-29: Hail2024-05-13: Hail2024-05-13: Hail2024-04-20: Hail2025-11-01: Hail2026-03-07: Hail1963-06-20: Tornado1965-05-18: Tornado1967-09-22: Tornado1971-04-16: Tornado1974-05-10: Tornado1980-08-09: Tornado1983-06-06: Tornado1993-04-08: Tornado1998-02-21: Tornado1998-02-21: Tornado1998-02-21: Tornado2003-06-05: Tornado2005-07-20: Tornado2005-07-20: Tornado2006-04-25: Tornado2015-05-15: Tornado2005-10-27: Flood2007-07-01: Flood2010-04-15: Flood2010-04-16: Flood2010-09-20: Flood2012-05-10: Flood2013-10-13: Flood2013-10-14: Flood2015-03-18: Flood2015-06-17: Flood2015-05-13: Flood2015-05-11: Flood2015-05-12: Flood2015-05-11: Flood2015-10-24: Flood2018-06-19: Flood2021-07-08: Flood2022-08-16: Flood2022-08-16: Flood2023-07-07: Flood2023-07-07: Flood1956-10-15: Wind1970-05-26: Wind1980-05-21: Wind1980-05-19: Wind1980-05-19: Wind1980-08-10: Wind1985-05-20: Wind1985-05-17: Wind1985-04-25: Wind1986-05-08: Wind1986-05-17: Wind1989-04-28: Wind1996-08-14: Wind1997-06-21: Wind1997-04-04: Wind1997-05-09: Wind1997-05-27: Wind1999-05-12: Wind1999-05-26: Wind1999-05-26: Wind2000-03-14: Wind2002-05-17: Wind2002-09-19: Wind2003-06-03: Wind2004-02-24: Wind2004-06-25: Wind2005-10-27: Wind2005-10-27: Wind2005-10-27: Wind2005-10-27: Wind2005-10-27: Wind2005-10-27: Wind2006-05-28: Wind2007-03-13: Wind2008-05-15: Wind2010-06-02: Wind2010-06-02: Wind2012-03-29: Wind2012-03-29: Wind2013-02-11: Wind2014-06-13: Wind2015-10-24: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2015-05-23: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2015-04-14: Wind2016-03-18: Wind2017-05-29: Wind2019-04-07: Wind2019-05-03: Wind2019-05-03: Wind2019-05-03: Wind2019-05-03: Wind2020-08-02: Wind2020-08-02: Wind2021-05-18: Wind2021-05-18: Wind2021-05-18: Wind2021-05-18: Wind2021-05-18: Wind2025-05-08: Wind2025-05-08: Wind2025-05-08: Wind2025-05-08: Wind2026-05-19: Wind
Duval County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 373 storm events in Duval County, Texas, led by drought.

That is 20.8 events per 100 square miles, below the Texas figure of 63.3, and 382.3 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

14 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $8.4M and crop damage at $2.3M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Flooding (emergency, 18 Jul 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 17 claims since 1978, of which 14 were paid, totalling $299K (about $21K per paid claim). FEMA counts 23 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($9.9M a year across 18 hazards).

41 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 3 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

14events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
373events since 19501 death, 2 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 18 Jul 2026
17NFIP flood claims$299K paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureDuval CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950373165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles20.863.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents382.356.059.6
Events in the last 12 months144,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI12,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$8.4M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.713.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$21K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years4.324.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Tornado: 3
Hail: 3Tornado: 4Wind: 1
Hail: 9Tornado: 2Wind: 10
Hail: 18Tornado: 4Flood: 6Wind: 11
Hail: 29Tornado: 4Flood: 14Wind: 17Winter: 3Tropical: 1Heat: 1Drought: 31Wildfire: 9Fog: 1Other: 3
Hail: 16Tornado: 1Flood: 14Wind: 18Winter: 2Heat: 1Cold: 1Drought: 41Wildfire: 4Lightning: 1Other: 3
Hail: 9Flood: 5Wind: 12Winter: 2Tropical: 2Heat: 16Cold: 5Drought: 31Wildfire: 3Other: 1
11950s31960s81970s211980s391990s1132000s1022010s862020s
Recorded events in Duval County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 243 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 97 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Drought103
Hail84
Wind70
Flood39
Tornado18
Heat18
Wildfire16
Winter7
Other7
Cold6
Tropical3
Lightning1
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Drought103—0.6%
■ Hail84—0.2%detail
■ Wind70—0.2%detail
■ Flood39—0.2%detail
■ Tornado18—0.2%detail
■ Heat1810.3%
■ Wildfire16—1.1%
■ Winter7—0.1%
■ Other7—0.4%
■ Cold6—0.3%
■ Tropical3—0.5%
■ Lightning1—0.1%
■ Fog1—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
10 Jun 2012Excessive HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
31 Mar 2013HailHail4.25 in$5.3M——1County
27 Oct 2005Thunderstorm WindWind100 mph$150K——1County
1 Aug 2022DroughtDrought——$2.3M——Forecast zone
31 Mar 2013HailHail2.75 in$1.0M———County
8 Apr 1993TornadoTornadoF1$500K———County
6 Jun 1983TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
15 May 2008Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph$100K———County
16 Aug 2022FloodFlood—$100K———County
16 Aug 2022Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
18 Jul 2026EM-3649EmergencyFloodFloodingPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
26 Jul 2020EM-3530EmergencyHurricaneHurricane HannaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
29 May 2015DR-4223Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingPublic assistance
1 Jul 2011DR-1999Major disasterFireWildfiresPublic assistance
29 Jun 2010EM-3313EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm AlexPublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
4 Jul 2002DR-1425Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
22 Aug 1999DR-1287Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BretIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
11 Aug 1980DR-627Major disasterHurricaneHurricane AllenIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Sep 1971DR-313Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, High Winds & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Sep 1967DR-232Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BeulahIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Duval County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197817
Paid claims14
Total paid$299K
Average paid claim$21K
Repetitive-loss properties10 severe
Residential policies in force230.5% of 4,303 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202011$41,635$41,635
200422$131,772$65,886
200253$21,609$7,203
200133$71,474$23,825
199910$0—
199411$26,206$26,206
199022$2,317$1,159
198211$1,020$1,020
198011$3,124$3,124

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 54.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$9.9MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Cold waveRelatively High$6,117,808
Inland floodingVery Low$1,842,727
Heat waveRelatively Low$586,625
HurricaneRelatively Low$529,009
HailRelatively Moderate$358,201
TornadoRelatively Low$313,521
Strong windVery Low$71,798
Ice stormRelatively Low$43,251
WildfireVery Low$29,570
DroughtRelatively Low$20,168
LightningVery Low$9,341
Winter weatherVery Low$4,265
EarthquakeVery Low$4,212
LandslideVery Low$9

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles41
Tracks within 50 miles13
Hurricane strength within 50 miles3
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Harold202329 mi58 mph
Hanna202082 mi92 mph
Harvey201793 mi121 mph
Hermine201024 mi52 mph
Dolly200841 mi75 mph
Claudette200359 mi58 mph
Bret199919 mi115 mph
Charley199869 mi46 mph
Frances199874 mi46 mph
Arlene199378 mi40 mph
Allen198041 mi98 mph
Amelia197829 mi46 mph
Fern197140 mi63 mph
Celia197051 mi138 mph
Candy196886 mi69 mph
Beulah196718 mi98 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196051 mi58 mph
Ella195880 mi58 mph
Alice195480 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194592 mi115 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193670 mi81 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193659 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193436 mi86 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193187 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192584 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Duval County, TX?

NCEI records 84 hail events in Duval County since 1950, in 34 different years; that is about 1.1 recorded events a year. 31 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Duval County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 18 tornadoes in Duval County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Duval County?

18 Jul 2026: Flooding, a emergency declaration for flood. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Duval County, and how much was paid?

17 NFIP claims since 1978, 14 of them paid, for $299K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Duval County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Duval County compare with the rest of Texas?

20.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 1.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.