County Hazards

States › Texas › Goliad County

Goliad County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48175 · 7,163 residents (2021) · 852 sq mi · dominant hazard Drought

Hail · 73Tornado · 20Flood · 38Wind · 44Winter · 11
1962-06-03: Hail1966-02-09: Hail1976-04-18: Hail1976-04-18: Hail1979-05-04: Hail1987-02-27: Hail1988-04-29: Hail1990-07-12: Hail1992-05-28: Hail1996-06-04: Hail1996-06-20: Hail1996-06-20: Hail1996-08-14: Hail1996-08-13: Hail1997-05-28: Hail1997-05-28: Hail1997-05-27: Hail1997-04-04: Hail1997-06-17: Hail1997-12-23: Hail1997-12-23: Hail1998-06-15: Hail1998-02-18: Hail1998-02-16: Hail1998-06-15: Hail1998-02-26: Hail1998-03-07: Hail2000-07-27: Hail2001-05-05: Hail2001-11-15: Hail2001-11-15: Hail2001-11-15: Hail2001-11-15: Hail2001-11-15: Hail2002-12-23: Hail2002-04-08: Hail2002-05-29: Hail2002-05-29: Hail2004-11-23: Hail2004-11-23: Hail2005-03-27: Hail2007-03-13: Hail2007-03-14: Hail2009-05-27: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2012-04-15: Hail2012-04-15: Hail2012-04-15: Hail2012-04-15: Hail2012-05-10: Hail2015-05-25: Hail2015-04-16: Hail2015-04-22: Hail2016-05-27: Hail2016-11-07: Hail2017-06-04: Hail2017-06-04: Hail2017-06-04: Hail2017-06-04: Hail2019-05-09: Hail2019-06-06: Hail2020-04-09: Hail2024-04-20: Hail2024-04-21: Hail2025-11-01: Hail2025-11-01: Hail1963-11-08: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-21: Tornado1967-09-21: Tornado1967-09-22: Tornado1976-04-18: Tornado1981-10-22: Tornado1981-08-30: Tornado1986-05-17: Tornado1988-09-16: Tornado2001-11-15: Tornado2001-11-15: Tornado2002-09-08: Tornado2002-09-08: Tornado2007-09-04: Tornado2007-03-31: Flood2007-03-13: Flood2007-03-31: Flood2007-07-02: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2013-05-25: Flood2013-04-27: Flood2015-04-22: Flood2015-04-22: Flood1980-05-08: Wind1980-08-10: Wind1980-05-15: Wind1981-10-22: Wind1981-07-11: Wind1986-05-10: Wind1986-05-10: Wind1996-09-18: Wind1997-05-27: Wind1997-12-23: Wind1998-01-06: Wind1998-06-15: Wind1998-02-26: Wind1998-02-21: Wind1999-05-18: Wind2000-07-23: Wind2000-07-27: Wind2002-12-23: Wind2002-06-26: Wind2003-06-13: Wind2003-06-13: Wind2013-04-28: Wind2014-05-31: Wind2015-05-30: Wind2015-04-22: Wind2015-04-22: Wind2016-05-27: Wind2016-03-18: Wind2017-06-04: Wind2017-07-15: Wind2017-07-15: Wind2019-05-09: Wind2019-05-09: Wind2020-04-09: Wind2021-06-14: Wind2022-05-25: Wind2022-05-25: Wind2022-05-25: Wind2022-06-03: Wind2026-05-01: Wind
Goliad County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 316 events for Goliad County, Texas, between 1950 and 2026; drought account for the largest share.

That is 37.1 events per 100 square miles, below the Texas figure of 63.3, and 441.2 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

11 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $3.2M and crop damage at $1.0M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Beryl (major disaster, 9 Jul 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 16 claims since 1978, of which 16 were paid, totalling $424K (about $26K per paid claim). FEMA counts 43 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.3M a year across 18 hazards).

46 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 11 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

11events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
316events since 19501 death, 2 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 9 Jul 2024
16NFIP flood claims$424K paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureGoliad CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950316165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles37.163.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents441.256.059.6
Events in the last 12 months114,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI12,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$3.2M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.213.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$26K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years0.024.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Tornado: 10
Hail: 3Tornado: 1
Hail: 2Tornado: 4Wind: 7
Hail: 27Flood: 10Wind: 10Drought: 1Other: 1
Hail: 17Tornado: 5Flood: 24Wind: 7Winter: 3Heat: 1Drought: 28Wildfire: 2Lightning: 1Fog: 1Other: 1
Hail: 17Flood: 4Wind: 13Winter: 3Tropical: 1Cold: 1Drought: 43Wildfire: 1Other: 3
Hail: 5Wind: 7Winter: 5Heat: 4Cold: 6Drought: 32Wildfire: 1Other: 2
01950s121960s41970s131980s491990s902000s862010s622020s
Recorded events in Goliad County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 184 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 102 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Drought104
Hail73
Wind44
Flood38
Tornado20
Winter11
Cold7
Other7
Heat5
Wildfire4
Tropical1
Lightning1
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Drought104—0.6%
■ Hail73—0.1%detail
■ Wind44—0.1%detail
■ Flood3810.2%detail
■ Tornado20—0.2%detail
■ Winter11—0.1%detail
■ Cold7—0.3%
■ Other7—0.4%
■ Heat5—0.1%
■ Wildfire4—0.3%
■ Tropical1—0.2%
■ Lightning1—0.1%
■ Fog1—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
21 Jun 1997Flash FloodFlood———1—County
22 Sep 1967TornadoTornado—$250——2County
26 Aug 2017Hurricane (Typhoon)Tropical—$1.0M———Forecast zone
6 Jul 2021Heavy RainOther——$835K——County
15 Apr 1994HailHail1.75 in$500K$50K——County
15 Apr 1994HailHail1.75 in$500K$50K——County
22 Oct 1981TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
4 Jun 2017HailHail2.75 in$250K———County
11 Aug 2004LightningLightning—$200K———County
14 Feb 2021Cold/Wind ChillCold—$150K———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
9 Jul 2024DR-4798Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BerylPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
26 Jul 2020EM-3530EmergencyHurricaneHurricane HannaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
25 Aug 2017DR-4332Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HarveyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Sep 2008EM-3294EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IkePublic assistance
29 Aug 2008EM-3290EmergencyHurricaneHurricane GustavPublic assistance
18 Aug 2007EM-3277EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DeanPublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
17 Jul 2003DR-1479Major disasterHurricaneHurricane ClaudetteIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Jul 2002DR-1425Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Oct 1998DR-1257Major disasterFloodTx-Flooding 10/18/98Individual assistance, Public assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
7 Jul 1997DR-1179Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
28 Sep 1967DR-232Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BeulahIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Goliad County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197816
Paid claims16
Total paid$424K
Average paid claim$26K
Repetitive-loss properties10 severe
Residential policies in force431.5% of 2,905 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
200711$14,593$14,593
200411$10,000$10,000
200255$159,131$31,826
200111$45,000$45,000
199855$189,975$37,995
199711$1,263$1,263
199611$3,651$3,651
198011$91$91

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 22.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$6.3MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$3,044,113
Inland floodingVery Low$1,949,611
TornadoRelatively Low$431,838
Cold waveRelatively Low$319,812
DroughtRelatively Low$244,206
Heat waveVery Low$105,297
HailVery Low$52,581
WildfireVery Low$52,455
LightningVery Low$47,935
Strong windVery Low$39,136
Ice stormVery Low$9,462
EarthquakeVery Low$6,166
Winter weatherVery Low$4,857
LandslideVery Low$16

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles46
Tracks within 50 miles23
Hurricane strength within 50 miles11
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Beryl202487 mi92 mph
Nicholas202188 mi75 mph
Beta202039 mi52 mph
Harvey20178 mi132 mph
Bill201544 mi58 mph
Hermine201078 mi52 mph
Claudette200332 mi92 mph
Fay200269 mi58 mph
Charley199853 mi69 mph
Frances199821 mi52 mph
Danielle198081 mi40 mph
Elena1979100 mi40 mph
Amelia197865 mi40 mph
Delia197395 mi52 mph
Fern197156 mi69 mph
Celia197045 mi138 mph
Candy196829 mi69 mph
Abby196426 mi58 mph
Carla196144 mi144 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196043 mi40 mph
Ella195881 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194555 mi115 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194217 mi115 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193635 mi81 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193447 mi86 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Goliad County, TX?

NCEI records 73 hail events in Goliad County since 1950, in 30 different years; that is about 0.9 recorded events a year. 27 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Goliad County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 20 tornadoes in Goliad County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Goliad County?

9 Jul 2024: Hurricane Beryl, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Goliad County, and how much was paid?

16 NFIP claims since 1978, 16 of them paid, for $424K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Goliad County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Goliad County compare with the rest of Texas?

37.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 2.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.