County Hazards

States › Texas › Victoria County

Victoria County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48469 · 90,964 residents (2021) · 882 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 108Tornado · 39Flood · 74Wind · 181Winter · 18
1960-04-01: Hail1965-04-19: Hail1965-04-19: Hail1966-03-12: Hail1966-02-09: Hail1969-04-12: Hail1976-04-18: Hail1976-04-18: Hail1976-04-18: Hail1976-04-18: Hail1979-04-19: Hail1984-03-12: Hail1984-03-12: Hail1984-03-12: Hail1986-03-12: Hail1987-02-20: Hail1991-04-11: Hail1996-06-04: Hail1996-06-20: Hail1996-06-20: Hail1996-06-20: Hail1996-06-20: Hail1996-06-20: Hail1996-06-03: Hail1996-12-30: Hail1997-05-28: Hail1997-05-28: Hail1997-06-19: Hail1997-06-19: Hail1998-01-22: Hail1998-02-18: Hail1998-02-16: Hail1998-06-15: Hail1998-02-26: Hail1998-02-26: Hail1998-03-07: Hail1999-05-17: Hail2000-03-16: Hail2001-03-08: Hail2001-05-05: Hail2001-05-05: Hail2001-05-05: Hail2001-11-15: Hail2002-12-23: Hail2002-12-23: Hail2002-04-08: Hail2002-05-29: Hail2002-05-17: Hail2004-04-06: Hail2004-04-06: Hail2004-06-14: Hail2004-08-11: Hail2004-11-20: Hail2005-03-27: Hail2005-03-27: Hail2005-04-06: Hail2005-10-31: Hail2005-10-31: Hail2006-03-28: Hail2006-03-28: Hail2006-05-10: Hail2006-05-10: Hail2007-03-14: Hail2007-03-14: Hail2008-03-06: Hail2008-03-06: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2010-05-17: Hail2012-04-15: Hail2020-03-21: Hail2020-03-20: Hail2020-03-20: Hail2023-04-05: Hail2023-04-05: Hail2024-05-13: Hail2024-05-13: Hail2024-05-13: Hail2026-02-14: Hail2026-05-01: Hail2026-05-01: Hail2026-05-01: Hail1954-10-22: Tornado1960-10-18: Tornado1961-06-09: Tornado1961-05-24: Tornado1962-04-27: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1968-05-09: Tornado1968-05-09: Tornado1968-11-05: Tornado1969-04-11: Tornado1972-05-10: Tornado1975-05-08: Tornado1975-08-04: Tornado1975-08-04: Tornado1975-09-04: Tornado1975-10-15: Tornado1976-05-07: Tornado1980-08-10: Tornado1981-10-18: Tornado1982-05-13: Tornado1983-03-26: Tornado1984-03-12: Tornado1986-05-17: Tornado1992-07-03: Tornado1994-10-18: Tornado1998-10-17: Tornado2000-10-22: Tornado2004-04-06: Tornado2004-11-20: Tornado2006-05-10: Tornado2013-05-25: Tornado2015-05-13: Tornado2026-05-01: Tornado2005-07-27: Flood2007-07-27: Flood2007-03-31: Flood2007-09-03: Flood2007-07-02: Flood2008-03-06: Flood2010-08-31: Flood2010-04-16: Flood2010-05-15: Flood2010-09-14: Flood2010-09-07: Flood2010-07-08: Flood2013-05-25: Flood2014-05-26: Flood2015-05-15: Flood2015-06-17: Flood2015-06-17: Flood2015-06-17: Flood2015-06-17: Flood2017-09-01: Flood2017-08-27: Flood2020-09-22: Flood2020-09-22: Flood2021-05-01: Flood2021-05-01: Flood2021-05-16: Flood2021-05-19: Flood2021-05-18: Flood2021-05-19: Flood2022-07-15: Flood2023-01-08: Flood2024-01-24: Flood2024-02-03: Flood2025-06-12: Flood2025-09-07: Flood2025-09-07: Flood2026-05-21: Flood1955-06-05: Wind1958-08-13: Wind1961-05-25: Wind1961-05-25: Wind1962-04-27: Wind1963-07-24: Wind1963-07-26: Wind1965-05-08: Wind1965-04-19: Wind1965-05-18: Wind1966-02-09: Wind1968-05-11: Wind1969-04-11: Wind1969-02-14: Wind1969-04-12: Wind1970-03-10: Wind1972-05-07: Wind1975-05-27: Wind1975-05-08: Wind1975-05-08: Wind1975-05-30: Wind1977-10-22: Wind1977-04-16: Wind1979-05-01: Wind1979-04-29: Wind1979-04-29: Wind1980-05-18: Wind1980-08-10: Wind1981-10-22: Wind1981-07-11: Wind1983-09-12: Wind1983-03-26: Wind1983-03-26: Wind1983-08-04: Wind1983-08-04: Wind1983-07-15: Wind1984-03-12: Wind1986-05-17: Wind1986-05-17: Wind1987-02-27: Wind1987-11-16: Wind1987-05-16: Wind1987-11-16: Wind1992-05-28: Wind1996-06-04: Wind1996-08-14: Wind1996-09-21: Wind1997-06-19: Wind1997-06-19: Wind1997-12-23: Wind1998-10-06: Wind1998-03-16: Wind1999-05-18: Wind2001-05-05: Wind2002-12-23: Wind2002-05-29: Wind2002-06-29: Wind2002-08-03: Wind2003-06-13: Wind2003-06-13: Wind2004-04-06: Wind2004-11-20: Wind2004-11-23: Wind2004-11-23: Wind2004-11-23: Wind2005-06-01: Wind2006-03-28: Wind2007-03-31: Wind2009-04-27: Wind2009-07-07: Wind2009-07-07: Wind2009-06-03: Wind2010-06-02: Wind2010-03-20: Wind2010-05-15: Wind2011-06-06: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2011-01-09: Wind2011-01-09: Wind2011-01-09: Wind2011-01-09: Wind2011-08-25: Wind2011-08-25: Wind2011-08-25: Wind2011-08-25: Wind2011-01-09: Wind2012-03-19: Wind2012-03-19: Wind2012-06-07: Wind2012-06-26: Wind2012-05-10: Wind2016-06-19: Wind2016-03-09: Wind2016-03-09: Wind2016-03-18: Wind2016-03-09: Wind2017-07-15: Wind2017-07-15: Wind2019-04-07: Wind2019-04-07: Wind
Victoria County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Victoria County, Texas, has 639 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 72.4 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Texas figure of 63.3, and 70.2 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

74 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 6 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $170M and crop damage at $31M.

FEMA has designated the county in 28 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Beryl (major disaster, 9 Jul 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 744 claims since 1978, of which 577 were paid, totalling $11M (about $20K per paid claim). FEMA counts 939 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($53M a year across 18 hazards).

53 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 14 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

74events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
639events since 19502 deaths, 6 injuries recorded
28disaster declarationslast 9 Jul 2024
744NFIP flood claims$11M paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureVictoria CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950639165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles72.463.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents70.256.059.6
Events in the last 12 months744,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI22,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$170M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents8.213.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$20K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years15.024.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 6Tornado: 13Wind: 13
Hail: 5Tornado: 7Wind: 11
Hail: 6Tornado: 6Wind: 17
Hail: 36Tornado: 5Flood: 12Wind: 27Drought: 1Other: 1
Hail: 41Tornado: 4Flood: 31Wind: 22Winter: 4Heat: 2Drought: 26Lightning: 3Fog: 1Other: 4
Hail: 2Tornado: 2Flood: 15Wind: 30Winter: 4Tropical: 1Cold: 1Drought: 40Wildfire: 1Lightning: 3Other: 4
Hail: 12Tornado: 1Flood: 16Wind: 59Winter: 10Tropical: 2Heat: 64Cold: 23Drought: 32Wildfire: 1Other: 9
31950s321960s231970s291980s821990s1382000s1032010s2292020s
Recorded events in Victoria County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 327 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 165 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind181
Hail108
Drought99
Flood74
Heat66
Tornado39
Cold24
Winter18
Other18
Lightning6
Tropical3
Wildfire2
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind181—0.4%detail
■ Hail108—0.2%detail
■ Drought99—0.5%
■ Flood7410.5%detail
■ Heat6611.0%
■ Tornado39—0.4%detail
■ Cold24—1.0%
■ Winter18—0.2%detail
■ Other18—1.0%
■ Lightning6—0.6%
■ Tropical3—0.5%
■ Wildfire2—0.1%
■ Fog1—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
16 May 2021FloodFlood———11County
21 Aug 2024HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
26 Aug 2017Hurricane (Typhoon)Tropical—$140M$20M——Forecast zone
5 Nov 1968TornadoTornadoF3$250K——2County
27 Aug 2017FloodFlood—$20M———County
22 Oct 1954TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
20 Sep 1967TornadoTornado—$25K——1County
12 Mar 1984TornadoTornadoF0$25K——1County
6 Jul 2021Heavy RainOther——$10M——County
14 Feb 2021Cold/Wind ChillCold—$5.2M———Forecast zone
2 Jul 2007Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
21 Nov 2004Flash FloodFlood—$706K———County
15 May 2010Flash FloodFlood—$700K———County
1 May 2026TornadoTornadoEF1$500K———County
1 May 2026Thunderstorm WindWind96 mph$1K$354K——County
1 May 2026Thunderstorm WindWind100 mph—$354K——County
1 May 2026Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph—$354K——County
13 May 1982TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
10 May 2012Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$25K$100K——County
9 Jan 2011Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
9 Jul 2024DR-4798Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BerylPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Aug 2020EM-3540EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storms Marco And LauraPublic assistance
26 Jul 2020EM-3530EmergencyHurricaneHurricane HannaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
25 Aug 2017DR-4332Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HarveyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 May 2015DR-4223Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingPublic assistance
10 Sep 2008EM-3294EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IkePublic assistance
29 Aug 2008EM-3290EmergencyHurricaneHurricane GustavPublic assistance
24 Jul 2008DR-1780Major disasterHurricaneHurricane DollyPublic assistance
18 Aug 2007EM-3277EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DeanPublic assistance
29 Jun 2007DR-1709Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
17 Jul 2003DR-1479Major disasterHurricaneHurricane ClaudetteIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Jul 2002DR-1425Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
1 Sep 1999EM-3142EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardsPublic assistance
21 Oct 1998DR-1257Major disasterFloodTx-Flooding 10/18/98Individual assistance, Public assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
18 Oct 1994DR-1041Major disasterFloodSevere Thunderstorms And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
26 Dec 1991DR-930Major disasterFloodSevere ThunderstormsIndividual assistance
12 Apr 1991DR-900Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Sep 1967DR-232Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BeulahIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Victoria County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978744
Paid claims577
Total paid$11M
Average paid claim$20K
Repetitive-loss properties5714 severe
Residential policies in force9392.8% of 33,465 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202587$201,440$28,777
202411$74,696$74,696
202322$12,525$6,263
202231$5,254$5,254
20211311$170,999$15,545
202011$35,442$35,442
201711361$1,988,209$32,594
201596$18,671$3,112
201466$29,063$4,844
201311$879$879
201210$0—
20104136$484,949$13,471
200910$0—
200810$0—
20072220$1,225,572$61,279
200621$23,777$23,777
200510$0—
20046357$1,282,629$22,502
2003142$27,338$13,669
20021818$295,892$16,438
200185$49,681$9,936
199921$672$672
19989482$2,531,525$30,872
19974544$589,076$13,388
199611$14,554$14,554

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 86.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$53MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
HurricaneRelatively High$25,536,009
Inland floodingRelatively Low$12,013,493
Cold waveRelatively High$6,738,283
TornadoRelatively Moderate$4,588,407
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$1,476,443
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1,449,708
LightningRelatively Moderate$459,418
Strong windRelatively Low$322,986
HailRelatively Low$285,978
WildfireRelatively Low$261,375
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$138,103
Winter weatherRelatively Low$59,249
EarthquakeVery Low$44,499
Coastal floodingVery Low$2,884
LandslideVery Low$21

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles53
Tracks within 50 miles24
Hurricane strength within 50 miles14
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Beryl202460 mi92 mph
Nicholas202172 mi75 mph
Beta202010 mi52 mph
Imelda201990 mi46 mph
Harvey201710 mi132 mph
Bill201521 mi58 mph
Claudette200314 mi92 mph
Fay200246 mi58 mph
Charley199867 mi69 mph
Frances199821 mi52 mph
Allison198977 mi52 mph
Danielle198053 mi40 mph
Elena197974 mi40 mph
Amelia197893 mi40 mph
Delia197371 mi58 mph
Fern197145 mi69 mph
Celia197069 mi138 mph
Candy196837 mi69 mph
Abby196411 mi69 mph
Carla196118 mi144 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196070 mi40 mph
Ella195891 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194983 mi109 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194543 mi115 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194214 mi115 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Victoria County, TX?

NCEI records 108 hail events in Victoria County since 1950, in 33 different years; that is about 1.4 recorded events a year. 27 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Victoria County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 39 tornadoes in Victoria County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Victoria County?

9 Jul 2024: Hurricane Beryl, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 28 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Victoria County, and how much was paid?

744 NFIP claims since 1978, 577 of them paid, for $11M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Victoria County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Victoria County compare with the rest of Texas?

72.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 8.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.