County Hazards

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Kenedy County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48261 · 340 residents (2021) · 1,459 sq mi · dominant hazard Drought

Hail · 22Tornado · 6Flood · 1Wind · 17Winter · 3
1999-05-10: Hail1999-04-26: Hail1999-05-10: Hail1999-05-10: Hail2003-04-25: Hail2004-04-02: Hail2005-05-29: Hail2005-05-29: Hail2005-05-29: Hail2006-06-14: Hail2008-02-12: Hail2012-05-09: Hail2012-03-29: Hail2016-04-24: Hail2016-04-24: Hail2025-11-01: Hail2025-11-01: Hail2025-11-01: Hail2026-05-22: Hail1965-06-05: Tornado1973-06-26: Tornado1980-08-09: Tornado2000-03-14: Tornado2006-05-10: Tornado2012-04-16: Tornado1980-08-10: Wind1992-05-14: Wind1996-05-11: Wind1997-09-23: Wind1999-03-27: Wind1999-05-18: Wind1999-05-10: Wind1999-05-26: Wind2000-05-02: Wind2001-05-21: Wind2009-10-26: Wind2009-10-26: Wind2012-03-29: Wind2026-05-22: Wind
Kenedy County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 235 storm events in Kenedy County, Texas, led by drought.

That is 16.1 events per 100 square miles, below the Texas figure of 63.3, and 6,911.8 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

5 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $37K.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Beryl (major disaster, 9 Jul 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1 claim since 1978, of which 1 were paid, totalling $59K (about $59K per paid claim). FEMA counts 2 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.8M a year across 18 hazards).

54 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 13 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

5events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
235events since 19501 death, 2 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 9 Jul 2024
1NFIP flood claims$59K paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureKenedy CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950235165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles16.163.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents6,911.856.059.6
Events in the last 12 months54,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI12,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$37K$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.913.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$59K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years50.024.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 6Flood: 1Wind: 8Tropical: 1Drought: 1
Hail: 8Tornado: 2Wind: 5Winter: 1Tropical: 4Cold: 3Drought: 50Wildfire: 3Other: 1
Hail: 4Tornado: 1Wind: 1Winter: 2Tropical: 4Cold: 42Drought: 73Wildfire: 2Other: 2
Hail: 4Wind: 1
01950s11960s21970s21980s171990s772000s1312010s52020s
Recorded events in Kenedy County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalColdDroughtWildfireOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 172 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 56 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Drought124
Cold45
Hail22
Wind17
Tropical9
Tornado6
Wildfire5
Winter3
Other3
Flood1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Drought124—0.7%
■ Cold4511.9%
■ Hail22—0.0%detail
■ Wind17—0.0%detail
■ Tropical9—1.6%
■ Tornado6—0.1%
■ Wildfire5—0.3%
■ Winter3—0.0%
■ Other3—0.2%
■ Flood1—0.0%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
7 Dec 2017Cold/Wind ChillCold———12Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
9 Jul 2024DR-4798Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BerylPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Aug 2020EM-3540EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storms Marco And LauraPublic assistance
26 Jul 2020EM-3530EmergencyHurricaneHurricane HannaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
29 Jun 2010EM-3313EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm AlexPublic assistance
10 Sep 2008EM-3294EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IkePublic assistance
29 Aug 2008EM-3290EmergencyHurricaneHurricane GustavPublic assistance
24 Jul 2008DR-1780Major disasterHurricaneHurricane DollyPublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
18 Aug 2007EM-3277EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DeanPublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
22 Aug 1999DR-1287Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BretIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
11 Aug 1980DR-627Major disasterHurricaneHurricane AllenIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Sep 1967DR-232Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BeulahIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Kenedy County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781
Paid claims1
Total paid$59K
Average paid claim$59K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force20.8% of 246 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202011$59,328$59,328

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 28.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$6.8MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Cold waveRelatively High$6,101,149
HurricaneRelatively Low$573,170
Inland floodingVery Low$86,547
WildfireVery Low$25,073
HailVery Low$12,587
TornadoVery Low$11,185
Heat waveVery Low$6,218
Ice stormVery Low$4,024
DroughtVery Low$4,021
LightningVery Low$3,611
Strong windVery Low$2,416
EarthquakeVery Low$423
Winter weatherVery Low$279
LandslideVery Low$0

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles54
Tracks within 50 miles24
Hurricane strength within 50 miles13
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Harold202319 mi58 mph
Nicholas202162 mi63 mph
Hanna202013 mi92 mph
Harvey201779 mi132 mph
Don201143 mi40 mph
Hermine201048 mi63 mph
Dolly200830 mi98 mph
Erin200788 mi40 mph
Bret199912 mi138 mph
Charley199870 mi69 mph
Frances1998100 mi52 mph
Arlene199319 mi40 mph
Allen198034 mi127 mph
Amelia197825 mi52 mph
Fern197138 mi63 mph
Edith197198 mi75 mph
Celia197070 mi138 mph
Candy196870 mi69 mph
Beulah196730 mi127 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196012 mi58 mph
Alma195895 mi52 mph
Ella195849 mi58 mph
Gerda195897 mi40 mph
Alice195489 mi81 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194769 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Kenedy County, TX?

NCEI records 22 hail events in Kenedy County since 1950, in 11 different years; that is about 0.3 recorded events a year. 8 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Kenedy County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 6 tornadoes in Kenedy County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Kenedy County?

9 Jul 2024: Hurricane Beryl, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Kenedy County, and how much was paid?

1 NFIP claim since 1978, 1 of them paid, for $59K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Kenedy County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Kenedy County compare with the rest of Texas?

16.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 2.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.