County Hazards

States › Texas › Willacy County

Willacy County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48489 · 20,316 residents (2021) · 591 sq mi · dominant hazard Drought

Hail · 44Tornado · 22Flood · 41Wind · 55Winter · 4
1966-04-21: Hail1968-06-04: Hail1968-05-04: Hail1969-05-12: Hail1969-05-12: Hail1969-05-12: Hail1969-05-12: Hail1969-05-12: Hail1970-05-24: Hail1970-05-24: Hail1979-04-29: Hail1981-05-09: Hail1992-05-14: Hail1998-02-01: Hail1999-05-10: Hail1999-04-26: Hail1999-04-26: Hail2000-03-14: Hail2000-03-14: Hail2002-05-29: Hail2002-10-20: Hail2003-04-25: Hail2003-04-25: Hail2008-02-12: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2009-06-01: Hail2011-05-15: Hail2011-05-15: Hail2012-04-20: Hail2012-04-20: Hail2012-05-12: Hail2012-05-12: Hail2012-05-12: Hail2012-05-09: Hail2012-05-09: Hail2012-10-18: Hail2012-10-18: Hail2016-04-24: Hail2017-04-02: Hail2021-04-18: Hail2021-04-18: Hail2023-04-21: Hail2023-04-21: Hail2024-03-16: Hail1957-04-29: Tornado1959-07-24: Tornado1962-06-01: Tornado1968-06-04: Tornado1970-05-24: Tornado1970-09-20: Tornado1999-04-26: Tornado2001-06-08: Tornado2001-09-09: Tornado2002-05-29: Tornado2005-08-31: Tornado2007-11-19: Tornado2008-08-26: Tornado2009-09-22: Tornado2010-06-30: Tornado2012-04-20: Tornado2012-03-29: Tornado2015-10-30: Tornado2015-10-30: Tornado2018-07-27: Tornado2023-08-15: Tornado2026-03-08: Tornado2001-09-09: Flood2007-05-25: Flood2007-05-25: Flood2007-05-24: Flood2007-08-20: Flood2007-07-03: Flood2007-07-04: Flood2008-07-23: Flood2008-07-24: Flood2010-08-01: Flood2010-09-06: Flood2010-07-13: Flood2012-03-30: Flood2013-11-22: Flood2015-10-22: Flood2015-10-25: Flood2015-10-24: Flood2015-10-30: Flood2015-10-30: Flood2018-06-20: Flood2019-06-24: Flood2019-06-25: Flood2020-07-27: Flood2020-07-25: Flood2020-07-26: Flood2020-08-01: Flood2021-07-06: Flood2021-10-01: Flood2025-04-21: Flood2025-03-27: Flood2025-03-27: Flood1966-05-29: Wind1968-05-04: Wind1975-05-14: Wind1978-08-20: Wind1979-04-29: Wind1979-04-29: Wind1981-05-30: Wind1982-05-17: Wind1982-11-03: Wind1982-05-17: Wind1982-05-17: Wind1982-11-03: Wind1983-06-06: Wind1983-11-06: Wind1986-02-03: Wind1986-02-05: Wind1988-06-03: Wind1991-05-05: Wind1992-05-03: Wind1996-05-11: Wind1997-09-23: Wind1999-05-18: Wind2000-07-26: Wind2002-05-29: Wind2002-05-29: Wind2002-10-20: Wind2002-09-19: Wind2007-07-04: Wind2009-10-26: Wind2009-05-24: Wind2010-05-18: Wind2012-12-04: Wind2012-12-04: Wind2012-12-04: Wind2012-05-08: Wind2012-10-18: Wind2014-05-09: Wind2014-05-09: Wind2015-05-15: Wind2015-05-24: Wind2015-09-11: Wind2016-09-04: Wind2017-06-05: Wind2017-06-05: Wind2019-06-10: Wind2019-06-24: Wind2019-08-25: Wind2020-04-04: Wind2023-04-23: Wind2024-03-16: Wind
Willacy County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 425 events for Willacy County, Texas, between 1950 and 2026; drought account for the largest share.

That is 72.0 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Texas figure of 63.3, and 209.2 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

16 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 3 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $232M and crop damage at $238M.

FEMA has designated the county in 29 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms And Flooding (major disaster, 21 May 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 522 claims since 1978, of which 312 were paid, totalling $5.0M (about $16K per paid claim). FEMA counts 588 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($21M a year across 18 hazards).

52 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 16 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

16events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
425events since 19503 deaths, 3 injuries recorded
29disaster declarationslast 21 May 2025
522NFIP flood claims$5.0M paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureWillacy CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950425165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles72.063.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents209.256.059.6
Events in the last 12 months164,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI32,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$232M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents25.713.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$16K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years25.524.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 2
Hail: 8Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Hail: 3Tornado: 2Wind: 4
Hail: 1Wind: 11
Hail: 5Tornado: 1Flood: 5Wind: 7Cold: 2Drought: 1
Hail: 9Tornado: 7Flood: 14Wind: 11Winter: 1Tropical: 1Cold: 3Drought: 47Other: 3
Hail: 13Tornado: 6Flood: 13Wind: 17Winter: 2Tropical: 1Cold: 19Drought: 66Wildfire: 1Lightning: 2Other: 5
Hail: 5Tornado: 2Flood: 9Wind: 3Winter: 1Tropical: 1Heat: 47Cold: 25Drought: 33Wildfire: 1Lightning: 1
21950s121960s91970s121980s211990s962000s1452010s1282020s
Recorded events in Willacy County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 299 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 78 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Drought147
Wind55
Cold49
Heat47
Hail44
Flood41
Tornado22
Other8
Winter4
Tropical3
Lightning3
Wildfire2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Drought147—0.8%
■ Wind5510.1%detail
■ Cold49—2.1%
■ Heat47—0.7%
■ Hail44—0.1%detail
■ Flood41—0.3%detail
■ Tornado22—0.2%detail
■ Other8—0.4%
■ Winter4—0.0%
■ Tropical3—0.5%
■ Lightning320.3%
■ Wildfire2—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
27 Mar 2025LightningLightning—$20K—2—County
3 Jun 1988Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph——1—County
25 Jul 2020Hurricane (Typhoon)Tropical—$142M$35M——Forecast zone
23 Jul 2008Tropical StormTropical—$53M———Forecast zone
23 Jul 2008Flash FloodFlood—$14K$50M——County
24 Jul 2008FloodFlood—$14K$50M——County
14 Feb 2021Frost/FreezeCold—$17K$42M——Forecast zone
25 Jul 2020Flash FloodFlood—$6.0M$36M——County
24 Jun 2019Flash FloodFlood—$15M$1.0M——County
10 Oct 2023DroughtDrought——$12M——Forecast zone
30 Oct 2015TornadoTornadoEF0$50K——1County
24 May 1970TornadoTornadoF2$25K——1County
1 Jun 1962TornadoTornadoF2———1County
23 Aug 2011DroughtDrought——$7.3M——Forecast zone
24 Jun 2019LightningLightning—$5.0M———County
25 Oct 2015FloodFlood—$2.5M———County
24 Oct 2015Flash FloodFlood—$2.5M———County
6 Sep 2010Tropical StormTropical—$2.0M———Forecast zone
30 Mar 2012Flash FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
20 Jun 2018Flash FloodFlood—$1.5M———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
21 May 2025DR-4871Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
9 Jul 2024DR-4798Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BerylPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Aug 2020EM-3540EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storms Marco And LauraPublic assistance
26 Jul 2020EM-3530EmergencyHurricaneHurricane HannaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Jul 2019DR-4454Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
25 Nov 2015DR-4245Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Aug 2010DR-1931Major disasterHurricaneHurricane AlexPublic assistance
29 Jun 2010EM-3313EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm AlexPublic assistance
10 Sep 2008EM-3294EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IkePublic assistance
29 Aug 2008EM-3290EmergencyHurricaneHurricane GustavPublic assistance
24 Jul 2008DR-1780Major disasterHurricaneHurricane DollyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
18 Aug 2007EM-3277EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DeanPublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
22 Aug 1999DR-1287Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BretIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
12 Apr 1991DR-900Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
9 Jan 1990DR-850Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
7 Jan 1984DR-696Major disasterFreezingSevere Freezing WeatherIndividual assistance
11 Aug 1980DR-627Major disasterHurricaneHurricane AllenIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Sep 1971DR-313Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, High Winds & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Sep 1967DR-232Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BeulahIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Willacy County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978522
Paid claims312
Total paid$5.0M
Average paid claim$16K
Repetitive-loss properties263 severe
Residential policies in force5889.7% of 6,082 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
20254118$1,271,492$70,638
202491$17,118$17,118
202310$0—
202211$218,014$218,014
202152$31,570$15,785
20204815$430,411$28,694
20193831$1,098,595$35,439
201874$29,029$7,257
201620$0—
20153121$440,026$20,954
201131$5,067$5,067
201021$4,420$4,420
200911$350$350
20085532$359,198$11,225
200755$61,528$12,306
200611$24,742$24,742
200510$0—
200410$0—
200352$9,059$4,530
20022118$197,092$10,950
200110$0—
1999293$23,723$7,908
199862$16,178$8,089
199710$0—
199611$254$254

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 77.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$21MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Cold waveRelatively High$11,491,632
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$5,908,563
Inland floodingVery Low$2,051,015
DroughtRelatively High$1,000,584
Heat waveRelatively Low$299,970
LightningRelatively Moderate$239,265
TornadoVery Low$178,066
HailRelatively Low$97,486
Ice stormRelatively Low$46,306
Strong windVery Low$21,155
Coastal floodingVery Low$9,792
EarthquakeVery Low$9,465
Winter weatherVery Low$8,366
WildfireVery Low$7,429
LandslideVery Low$6

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles52
Tracks within 50 miles27
Hurricane strength within 50 miles16
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Harold202344 mi58 mph
Nicholas202169 mi63 mph
Hanna202015 mi92 mph
Harvey201791 mi121 mph
Don201156 mi40 mph
Hermine201021 mi69 mph
Dolly200813 mi98 mph
Erin200799 mi40 mph
Erika200383 mi75 mph
Bret199931 mi144 mph
Charley199896 mi69 mph
Arlene199343 mi40 mph
Barry198375 mi81 mph
Allen198035 mi127 mph
Amelia197813 mi52 mph
Fern197162 mi63 mph
Edith197189 mi75 mph
Celia197096 mi138 mph
Candy196862 mi69 mph
Beulah196713 mi127 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196031 mi58 mph
Alma195869 mi52 mph
Ella195874 mi58 mph
Gerda195869 mi40 mph
Alice195469 mi81 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Willacy County, TX?

NCEI records 44 hail events in Willacy County since 1950, in 21 different years; that is about 0.6 recorded events a year. 24 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Willacy County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 22 tornadoes in Willacy County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Willacy County?

21 May 2025: Severe Storms And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 29 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Willacy County, and how much was paid?

522 NFIP claims since 1978, 312 of them paid, for $5.0M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Willacy County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Willacy County compare with the rest of Texas?

72.0 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 25.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.