Nolan County, Texas
Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.
NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.
The NCEI record lists 615 events for Nolan County, Texas, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.
That is 67.4 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Texas figure of 63.3, and 421.3 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.
6 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 4 deaths and 117 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $48M and crop damage at $5.7M.
FEMA has designated the county in 20 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storms (major disaster, 19 Feb 2021).
National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 56 claims since 1978, of which 52 were paid, totalling $1.1M (about $21K per paid claim). FEMA counts 61 residential flood policies in force.
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($7.3M a year across 18 hazards).
2 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.
Compared with Texas and the United States
| Measure | Nolan County | Texas | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recorded events since 1950 | 615 | 165,476 | 1,977,440 |
| Events per 100 square miles | 67.4 | 63.3 | 56.0 |
| Events per 10,000 residents | 421.3 | 56.0 | 59.6 |
| Events in the last 12 months | 6 | 4,723 | 62,008 |
| Deaths recorded by NCEI | 4 | 2,429 | 26,435 |
| Property damage (NCEI estimates) | $48M | $111B | $575B |
| NFIP claims per 1,000 residents | 3.8 | 13.4 | 8.1 |
| Average paid NFIP claim | $21K | $55K | $43K |
| Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years | 27.9 | 24.7 | 16.1 |
County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.
Events by decade
Trend: 322 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 230 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.
Events by type
Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.
Largest recorded events
| Date | Event type | Group | Magnitude | Property damage | Crop damage | Deaths | Injuries | Geography |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 1986 | Tornado | Tornado | F3 | $25M | — | 1 | 100 | County |
| 25 Dec 2009 | Winter Weather | Winter | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | Forecast zone |
| 7 Dec 2009 | Winter Weather | Winter | — | — | — | 1 | — | Forecast zone |
| 29 Aug 2022 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 69 mph | — | — | 1 | — | County |
| 29 Jan 2008 | Wildfire | Wildfire | — | $50K | — | — | 4 | Forecast zone |
| 21 Feb 2018 | Winter Storm | Winter | — | — | — | — | 4 | Forecast zone |
| 4 May 2002 | Hail | Hail | 2.75 in | $12M | — | — | — | County |
| 31 May 1995 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 0 mph | $1.0M | — | — | 1 | County |
| 30 Mar 2007 | Tornado | Tornado | EF0 | $10K | — | — | 1 | County |
| 7 May 2012 | Lightning | Lightning | — | — | — | — | 1 | County |
| 28 May 2012 | Hail | Hail | 1.75 in | — | — | — | 1 | County |
| 1 Aug 1998 | Drought | Drought | — | — | $5.5M | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 19 Mar 2020 | Tornado | Tornado | EF2 | $2.0M | — | — | — | County |
| 27 May 2004 | Hail | Hail | 1.75 in | $1.5M | — | — | — | County |
| 27 May 2004 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 80 mph | $1.5M | — | — | — | County |
| 17 Oct 2018 | Flood | Flood | — | $1.1M | — | — | — | County |
| 12 Jun 1997 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 86 mph | $1.0M | $50K | — | — | County |
| 31 May 1995 | Hail | Hail | 3.00 in | $300K | — | — | — | County |
| 14 Jun 1997 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | — | $250K | $50K | — | — | County |
| 23 Mar 1973 | Tornado | Tornado | F2 | $250K | — | — | — | County |
Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.
Federal disaster declarations
| Declared | Number | Type | Incident | Title | Programs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2021 | DR-4586 | Major disaster | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms | Public assistance |
| 14 Feb 2021 | EM-3554 | Emergency | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 25 Mar 2020 | DR-4485 | Major disaster | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 13 Mar 2020 | EM-3458 | Emergency | Biological | Covid-19 | Public assistance |
| 25 Feb 2019 | DR-4416 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 9 Feb 2016 | DR-4255 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 9 Sep 2011 | DR-4029 | Major disaster | Fire | Wildfires | Public assistance |
| 11 Jul 2011 | FM-2937 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Nolan County Fire Complex | Public assistance |
| 1 Jul 2011 | DR-1999 | Major disaster | Fire | Wildfires | Public assistance |
| 21 Jun 2011 | FM-2931 | Fire management assistance | Fire | White Hat Fire | Public assistance |
| 14 Mar 2008 | EM-3284 | Emergency | Fire | Wildfires | Public assistance |
| 11 Jan 2006 | DR-1624 | Major disaster | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat | Public assistance |
| 24 Sep 2005 | DR-1606 | Major disaster | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita | Public assistance |
| 21 Sep 2005 | EM-3261 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita | Public assistance |
| 2 Sep 2005 | EM-3216 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation | Public assistance |
| 1 Sep 1999 | EM-3142 | Emergency | Fire | Extreme Fire Hazards | Public assistance |
| 26 Aug 1998 | DR-1239 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Tropical Storm Charley | — |
| 10 Sep 1993 | EM-3113 | Emergency | Drought | Extreme Fire Hazard | Public assistance |
| 23 Apr 1986 | DR-763 | Major disaster | Tornado | Severe Storms, Rains & Tornadoes | Individual assistance |
| 26 Sep 1980 | DR-632 | Major disaster | Flood | Tropical Storm Danielle | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.
Flood insurance claims
| Year of loss | Claims | Paid claims | Amount paid | Average paid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | $8,470 | $8,470 |
| 2018 | 14 | 13 | $740,695 | $56,977 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | $1,237 | $1,237 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | $3,023 | $3,023 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | $15,879 | $15,879 |
| 2007 | 10 | 10 | $189,513 | $18,951 |
| 1999 | 3 | 3 | $8,193 | $2,731 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | $4,722 | $4,722 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | $4,156 | $4,156 |
| 1991 | 8 | 8 | $13,529 | $1,691 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | $2,483 | $2,483 |
| 1980 | 11 | 11 | $119,927 | $10,902 |
OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).
National Risk Index
| Hazard (NRI) | Risk rating | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | $2,120,433 | |
| Tornado | $1,208,220 | |
| Drought | $1,033,404 | |
| Strong wind | $823,875 | |
| Hail | $801,958 | |
| Wildfire | $517,787 | |
| Cold wave | $484,621 | |
| Heat wave | $167,650 | |
| Winter weather | $76,062 | |
| Lightning | $57,043 | |
| Earthquake | $13,570 | |
| Ice storm | $12,172 | |
| Hurricane | $6,839 | |
| Landslide | $29 |
FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.
Hurricane and tropical storm passes
| Storm | Year | Closest approach | Max wind while within 100 mi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1886 | 27 mi | 40 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1851 | 92 mi | 46 mph |
HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.
ZIP codes with flood claims
ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.
Questions and answers
How often does it hail in Nolan County, TX?
NCEI records 254 hail events in Nolan County since 1950, in 51 different years; that is about 3.3 recorded events a year. 118 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.
Has Nolan County had a tornado?
Yes. NCEI records 49 tornadoes in Nolan County since 1950, 5 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.
When was the last federal disaster declaration for Nolan County?
19 Feb 2021: Severe Winter Storms, a major disaster declaration for severe ice storm. The county appears in 20 declarations since 1953.
How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Nolan County, and how much was paid?
56 NFIP claims since 1978, 52 of them paid, for $1.1M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.
Is Nolan County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?
FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.
How does Nolan County compare with the rest of Texas?
67.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 3.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.
Provenance
Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.