County Hazards

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Taylor County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48441 · 143,326 residents (2021) · 916 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 562Tornado · 69Flood · 95Wind · 370Winter · 66
2026-03-10: Hail2026-03-10: Hail2026-03-10: Hail2026-03-10: Hail2026-03-10: Hail2026-03-10: Hail2025-06-08: Hail2025-06-08: Hail2025-06-08: Hail2025-06-08: Hail2025-06-08: Hail2025-06-08: Hail2025-05-29: Hail2025-05-25: Hail2025-05-25: Hail2025-05-18: Hail2025-04-23: Hail2025-04-22: Hail2025-04-22: Hail2025-04-19: Hail2025-04-19: Hail2024-11-03: Hail2024-05-30: Hail2024-05-25: Hail2024-05-25: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-04: Hail2024-05-02: Hail2024-04-27: Hail2024-04-23: Hail2024-04-01: Hail2024-02-10: Hail2023-06-24: Hail2023-06-17: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-04-26: Hail2023-04-25: Hail2023-04-25: Hail2023-04-25: Hail2023-04-25: Hail2023-04-25: Hail2023-04-19: Hail2023-04-19: Hail2023-04-19: Hail2023-04-19: Hail2023-04-19: Hail2023-04-19: Hail2023-04-19: Hail2022-05-13: Hail2022-05-13: Hail2022-05-01: Hail2022-05-01: Hail2022-05-01: Hail2021-05-17: Hail2021-04-14: Hail2021-04-14: Hail2021-04-14: Hail2021-04-14: Hail2021-04-14: Hail2021-04-14: Hail2021-04-14: Hail2021-04-14: Hail2021-04-14: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2020-06-19: Hail2020-05-27: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-03-19: Hail2019-06-23: Hail2019-06-23: Hail2019-06-23: Hail2019-06-05: Hail2019-04-23: Hail2017-10-21: Hail2017-05-22: Hail2017-05-22: Hail2017-05-10: Hail2017-05-10: Hail2017-05-10: Hail2017-03-28: Hail2017-03-28: Hail2016-07-04: Hail2016-05-29: Hail2016-05-29: Hail2016-05-28: Hail2016-05-28: Hail2016-05-12: Hail2016-05-12: Hail2016-05-12: Hail2016-05-11: Hail2016-05-11: Hail2016-05-11: Hail2016-05-11: Hail2016-05-08: Hail2016-05-08: Hail2016-05-08: Hail2016-05-08: Hail1951-06-15: Tornado1955-06-16: Tornado1955-04-12: Tornado1957-04-25: Tornado1957-05-08: Tornado1958-06-08: Tornado1958-04-20: Tornado1959-07-15: Tornado1959-05-10: Tornado1959-05-10: Tornado1960-06-08: Tornado1961-03-16: Tornado1962-07-14: Tornado1962-07-14: Tornado1969-05-04: Tornado1969-05-04: Tornado1969-05-04: Tornado1969-05-04: Tornado1969-05-04: Tornado1970-04-26: Tornado1972-07-03: Tornado1973-03-10: Tornado1973-09-06: Tornado1974-06-03: Tornado1975-05-26: Tornado1975-06-09: Tornado1976-05-25: Tornado1978-07-03: Tornado1979-06-25: Tornado1979-05-02: Tornado1979-10-30: Tornado1979-08-02: Tornado1982-03-14: Tornado1982-03-14: Tornado1982-03-14: Tornado1983-06-05: Tornado1983-05-30: Tornado1985-04-28: Tornado1986-06-16: Tornado1990-04-05: Tornado1991-03-21: Tornado1994-05-11: Tornado1995-05-31: Tornado1997-06-14: Tornado1999-05-25: Tornado2002-03-30: Tornado2002-03-30: Tornado2002-05-07: Tornado2002-05-24: Tornado2002-05-24: Tornado2002-03-29: Tornado2002-06-13: Tornado2004-05-27: Tornado2007-04-23: Tornado2008-04-09: Tornado2008-04-09: Tornado2011-04-24: Tornado2017-03-28: Tornado2019-05-18: Tornado2019-05-18: Tornado2020-03-19: Tornado2020-03-19: Tornado2026-03-10: Tornado2005-05-31: Flood2007-03-30: Flood2007-05-15: Flood2007-05-15: Flood2007-05-24: Flood2007-06-27: Flood2007-04-29: Flood2007-08-02: Flood2007-08-02: Flood2007-08-02: Flood2007-08-02: Flood2007-08-02: Flood2007-08-02: Flood2007-08-18: Flood2007-08-17: Flood2007-08-18: Flood2007-08-17: Flood2007-08-18: Flood2007-08-18: Flood2007-08-18: Flood2007-08-17: Flood2007-08-18: Flood2007-07-02: Flood2010-01-28: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2012-09-29: Flood2013-06-17: Flood2014-07-17: Flood2014-07-17: Flood2014-07-17: Flood2015-06-16: Flood2015-06-16: Flood2015-07-07: Flood2015-07-07: Flood2015-10-22: Flood2015-04-17: Flood2015-04-17: Flood2015-04-17: Flood2016-06-02: Flood2016-05-12: Flood2016-05-31: Flood2016-08-20: Flood2016-08-20: Flood2018-06-07: Flood2018-05-24: Flood2018-09-06: Flood2018-10-17: Flood2019-06-05: Flood2019-06-23: Flood2019-06-23: Flood2019-04-23: Flood2019-05-08: Flood2019-05-29: Flood2019-05-29: Flood2019-05-03: Flood2021-04-28: Flood2021-05-31: Flood2021-09-30: Flood2021-07-05: Flood2022-08-31: Flood2023-06-04: Flood2023-05-07: Flood2023-10-24: Flood2024-03-07: Flood2024-05-04: Flood2024-05-04: Flood2024-06-11: Flood2024-09-02: Flood2025-04-19: Flood2025-04-19: Flood2025-06-08: Flood2025-06-11: Flood2026-06-06: Flood2025-06-15: Wind2025-06-15: Wind2025-06-15: Wind2025-06-15: Wind2025-06-08: Wind2025-06-08: Wind2025-06-08: Wind2025-06-08: Wind2025-05-25: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-03-04: Wind2025-03-04: Wind2024-10-30: Wind2024-08-23: Wind2024-08-23: Wind2024-05-30: Wind2024-05-30: Wind2024-05-30: Wind2024-05-28: Wind2024-05-11: Wind2024-05-02: Wind2024-04-27: Wind2024-04-23: Wind2024-04-23: Wind2024-04-23: Wind2023-09-05: Wind2023-08-17: Wind2023-08-10: Wind2023-06-24: Wind2023-06-24: Wind2023-06-24: Wind2023-06-24: Wind2023-06-24: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-03-02: Wind2023-03-02: Wind2022-08-09: Wind2021-10-26: Wind2021-10-10: Wind2021-07-11: Wind2020-06-19: Wind2020-05-15: Wind2020-03-18: Wind2019-06-23: Wind2019-06-23: Wind2019-06-23: Wind2019-06-23: Wind2019-06-05: Wind2019-06-05: Wind2019-06-05: Wind2019-05-29: Wind2019-05-07: Wind2018-12-26: Wind2018-08-22: Wind2018-06-07: Wind2018-06-04: Wind2018-06-04: Wind2018-05-24: Wind2018-05-24: Wind2017-09-20: Wind2017-09-02: Wind2017-09-02: Wind2017-09-02: Wind2017-07-01: Wind2017-06-23: Wind2017-06-15: Wind2017-06-15: Wind2017-06-15: Wind2017-05-23: Wind2017-05-23: Wind2017-05-22: Wind2016-08-12: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-05-29: Wind2016-05-08: Wind2016-05-08: Wind2016-05-08: Wind2016-04-26: Wind2016-04-26: Wind2015-12-27: Wind2015-12-27: Wind2015-12-27: Wind2015-12-12: Wind2015-11-17: Wind2015-11-17: Wind2015-11-16: Wind2015-05-25: Wind2015-05-25: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-05-07: Wind2014-05-07: Wind2014-05-07: Wind2014-05-07: Wind2014-05-07: Wind2014-04-23: Wind2014-03-15: Wind2013-06-17: Wind2013-06-17: Wind2013-06-17: Wind2013-06-17: Wind2013-06-17: Wind2013-06-17: Wind2013-06-17: Wind2013-06-17: Wind2013-06-06: Wind
Taylor County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Taylor County, Texas, has 1,268 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them hail.

That is 138.5 events per 100 square miles, above the Texas figure of 63.3, and 88.5 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

10 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 67 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $480M and crop damage at $31M.

FEMA has designated the county in 22 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Mesquite Heat Fire (fire management assistance, 18 May 2022).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 936 claims since 1978, of which 724 were paid, totalling $16M (about $22K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1,923 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($54M a year across 18 hazards).

2 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

10events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
1,268events since 19503 deaths, 67 injuries recorded
22disaster declarationslast 18 May 2022
936NFIP flood claims$16M paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureTaylor CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 19501,268165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles138.563.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents88.556.059.6
Events in the last 12 months104,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI32,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$480M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents6.513.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$22K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years0.724.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 9Tornado: 10Wind: 9
Hail: 26Tornado: 9Wind: 22
Hail: 21Tornado: 13Wind: 21
Hail: 33Tornado: 8Wind: 28
Hail: 126Tornado: 8Flood: 10Wind: 69Winter: 4Drought: 2
Hail: 143Tornado: 14Flood: 35Wind: 58Winter: 22Tropical: 1Cold: 2Drought: 9Wildfire: 5Lightning: 2Other: 3
Hail: 113Tornado: 4Flood: 32Wind: 109Winter: 29Cold: 2Drought: 37Wildfire: 4Lightning: 2Other: 3
Hail: 91Tornado: 3Flood: 18Wind: 54Winter: 11Heat: 4Cold: 6Drought: 21Wildfire: 1Other: 2
281950s571960s551970s691980s2191990s2942000s3352010s2112020s
Recorded events in Taylor County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 671 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 408 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail562
Wind370
Flood95
Tornado69
Drought69
Winter66
Cold10
Wildfire10
Other8
Heat4
Lightning4
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail562—1.0%detail
■ Wind370—0.9%detail
■ Flood9510.6%detail
■ Tornado6910.7%detail
■ Drought69—0.4%
■ Winter6610.8%detail
■ Cold10—0.4%
■ Wildfire10—0.7%
■ Other8—0.4%
■ Heat4—0.1%
■ Lightning4—0.4%
■ Tropical1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
28 Apr 1985TornadoTornadoF2$250K—1—County
18 Aug 2007Flash FloodFlood—$30K—1—County
26 Dec 2017Winter WeatherWinter———1—Forecast zone
12 Jun 2014HailHail4.50 in$400M——12County
12 Jan 2007Ice StormWinter—$300K——10Forecast zone
11 May 1990Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———10County
15 Jun 1951TornadoTornadoF1$250K——6County
14 Mar 1982TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M——5County
24 Feb 2003Winter StormWinter—$200K——5Forecast zone
13 Jun 2002HailHail2.75 in$150K——5County
14 Jul 1962TornadoTornadoF1———5County
1 Aug 1998DroughtDrought——$30M——Forecast zone
4 Mar 2004TornadoTornadoF2$800K——2County
12 Dec 2015Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph———2County
6 Jul 2002Flash FloodFlood—$15M———County
25 May 1976TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M——1County
10 Mar 1973TornadoTornadoF2$25K——1County
26 Apr 1998Thunderstorm WindWind—$2K——1County
24 Aug 1984Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
2 Jun 1988HailHail2.75 in———1County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
18 May 2022FM-5440Fire management assistanceFireMesquite Heat FirePublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
5 Mar 2009FM-2798Fire management assistanceFireTuscola FirePublic assistance
27 Feb 2009FM-2795Fire management assistanceFireRhodes Ranch FirePublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
2 Oct 2007DR-1730Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm ErinIndividual assistance
29 Jun 2007DR-1709Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
4 Jul 2002DR-1425Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Sep 1999EM-3142EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardsPublic assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
23 Feb 1996EM-3117EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
2 May 1990DR-863Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
19 May 1989DR-828Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Oct 1981DR-648Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Taylor County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978936
Paid claims724
Total paid$16M
Average paid claim$22K
Repetitive-loss properties676 severe
Residential policies in force1,9233.8% of 50,228 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202610$0—
202511$59,463$59,463
202410$0—
202320$0—
202121$9,447$9,447
201921$1,971$1,971
201752$19,067$9,533
20161711$106,647$9,695
20153325$583,104$23,324
201411$11,507$11,507
201374$152,858$38,214
201253$14,389$4,796
201162$12,573$6,286
201031$40,584$40,584
200940$0—
200865$95,432$19,086
20073724$231,376$9,641
200630$0—
200520$0—
200464$22,210$5,553
2002403354$11,609,054$32,794
200152$122,545$61,273
20003927$132,378$4,903
199931$3,328$3,328
199821$4,672$4,672

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 83.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$54MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$22,901,040
HailVery High$19,039,741
TornadoRelatively Moderate$3,053,601
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,426,557
WildfireRelatively Moderate$1,396,647
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,248,248
LightningRelatively High$1,089,635
Strong windRelatively Moderate$872,894
DroughtRelatively Moderate$637,888
Winter weatherRelatively High$634,194
EarthquakeVery Low$144,851
Ice stormRelatively Low$135,878
HurricaneVery Low$70,146
LandslideVery Low$132

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles2
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm188652 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm185191 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Taylor County, TX?

NCEI records 562 hail events in Taylor County since 1950, in 65 different years; that is about 7.3 recorded events a year. 210 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Taylor County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 69 tornadoes in Taylor County since 1950, 13 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Taylor County?

18 May 2022: Mesquite Heat Fire, a fire management assistance declaration for fire. The county appears in 22 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Taylor County, and how much was paid?

936 NFIP claims since 1978, 724 of them paid, for $16M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Taylor County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Taylor County compare with the rest of Texas?

138.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 6.5 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.