States › Mississippi › Carroll County

Carroll County, Mississippi

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 28015 · 9,879 residents (2021) · 628 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 78Tornado · 28Flood · 31Wind · 213Winter · 21

Carroll County within Mississippi. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Carroll County, Mississippi, has 404 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 64.3 events per 100 square miles, below the Mississippi figure of 89.7, and 408.9 per 10,000 residents against 142.8 statewide.

5 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 7 deaths and 22 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $22M and crop damage at $25M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 16 claims since 1978, of which 14 were paid, totalling $268K (about $19K per paid claim). FEMA counts 16 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($5.4M a year across 18 hazards).

26 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

5events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026

404events since 19507 deaths, 22 injuries recorded

24disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026

16NFIP flood claims$268K paid

Compared with Mississippi and the United States

Measure	Carroll County	Mississippi	US
Recorded events since 1950	404	42,114	1,977,440
Events per 100 square miles	64.3	89.7	56.0
Events per 10,000 residents	408.9	142.8	59.6
Events in the last 12 months	5	1,524	62,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI	7	928	26,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)	$22M	$31B	$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents	1.6	21.9	8.1
Average paid NFIP claim	$19K	$58K	$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years	25.0	11.5	16.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 2

Hail: 1Wind: 3

Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 6

Hail: 4Tornado: 2Wind: 5

Hail: 17Tornado: 5Flood: 2Wind: 32Winter: 2

Hail: 26Tornado: 4Flood: 8Wind: 64Winter: 4Tropical: 3Heat: 4Drought: 5Lightning: 2Other: 1

Hail: 21Tornado: 5Flood: 17Wind: 74Winter: 8Tropical: 1Heat: 1Cold: 1Drought: 7Other: 1

Hail: 8Tornado: 8Flood: 4Wind: 29Winter: 7Tropical: 1Cold: 1Drought: 5

21950s41960s91970s111980s581990s1212000s1362010s632020s

Recorded events in Carroll County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 263 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 118 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind213

Hail78

Flood31

Tornado28

Winter21

Drought17

Tropical5

Heat5

Cold2

Lightning2

Other2

Hazard	Events	Deaths	Share of state's events
■ Wind	213	3	1.1%	detail
■ Hail	78	—	0.9%	detail
■ Flood	31	—	0.8%	detail
■ Tornado	28	4	0.8%	detail
■ Winter	21	—	1.1%	detail
■ Drought	17	—	1.2%
■ Tropical	5	—	0.9%
■ Heat	5	—	0.2%
■ Cold	2	—	0.6%
■ Lightning	2	—	0.5%
■ Other	2	—	0.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

Date	Event type	Group	Magnitude	Property damage	Crop damage	Deaths	Injuries	Geography
24 Mar 2023	Tornado	Tornado	EF3	$5.4M	$4.0M	3	5	County
21 Dec 1990	Tornado	Tornado	F3	$2.5M	—	1	15	County
12 Apr 2020	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	61 mph	$20K	—	1	—	County
1 Feb 2012	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	63 mph	$10K	—	1	—	County
20 Apr 1996	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	—	$5K	—	1	—	County
29 Aug 2005	Hurricane (Typhoon)	Tropical	—	$1.0M	$15M	—	—	Forecast zone
7 Nov 1957	Tornado	Tornado	F3	$25K	—	—	1	County
4 Feb 1971	Tornado	Tornado	F1	$3K	—	—	1	County
7 Apr 2006	Hail	Hail	2.75 in	$5.0M	$500K	—	—	County
1 Oct 2006	Drought	Drought	—	—	$2.0M	—	—	Forecast zone
30 Apr 2017	Tornado	Tornado	EF1	$650K	$400K	—	—	County
23 Dec 1998	Ice Storm	Winter	—	$900K	—	—	—	Forecast zone
18 May 2025	Tornado	Tornado	EF1	$500K	$400K	—	—	County
1 Jun 2007	Drought	Drought	—	—	$600K	—	—	Forecast zone
1 Oct 2010	Drought	Drought	—	—	$500K	—	—	Forecast zone
27 Apr 2011	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	81 mph	$300K	$150K	—	—	County
2 May 2010	Flash Flood	Flood	—	$400K	—	—	—	County
9 Feb 2011	Heavy Snow	Winter	—	$400K	—	—	—	Forecast zone
15 Sep 2015	Drought	Drought	—	—	$400K	—	—	Forecast zone
1 Jan 2010	Cold/Wind Chill	Cold	—	$330K	—	—	—	Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

Declared	Number	Type	Incident	Title	Programs
6 Feb 2026	DR-4899	Major disaster	Winter Storm	Severe Winter Storm	Individual assistance, Public assistance
24 Jan 2026	EM-3640	Emergency	Winter Storm	Severe Winter Storm	Public assistance
21 May 2025	DR-4874	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding	Public assistance
26 Mar 2023	DR-4697	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes	Individual assistance, Public assistance
22 Oct 2021	DR-4626	Major disaster	Hurricane	Hurricane Ida	Public assistance
28 Aug 2021	EM-3569	Emergency	Hurricane	Hurricane Ida	Public assistance
23 Apr 2020	DR-4538	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Flooding, And Mudslides	Public assistance
16 Apr 2020	DR-4536	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding	Public assistance
5 Apr 2020	DR-4528	Major disaster	Biological	Covid-19 Pandemic	Individual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020	EM-3474	Emergency	Biological	Covid-19	Public assistance
23 Apr 2019	DR-4429	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding	Public assistance
22 May 2017	DR-4314	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding	Public assistance
29 Aug 2012	DR-4081	Major disaster	Hurricane	Hurricane Isaac	Public assistance
28 Aug 2012	EM-3348	Emergency	Hurricane	Tropical Storm Isaac	Public assistance
29 Apr 2011	DR-1972	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Associated Flooding	Public assistance
30 Aug 2008	EM-3291	Emergency	Hurricane	Hurricane Gustav	Public assistance
29 Aug 2005	DR-1604	Major disaster	Hurricane	Hurricane Katrina	Public assistance
23 Feb 2001	DR-1360	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms And Tornadoes	Individual assistance
25 Jan 1999	DR-1265	Major disaster	Severe Ice Storm	Severe Winter Storms, Ice And Freezing Rain	Public assistance
17 May 1991	DR-906	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding	Individual assistance, Public assistance
3 Jan 1991	DR-888	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding	Individual assistance
22 Feb 1977	EM-3032	Emergency	Snowstorm	Drought & Freezing	Public assistance
27 Mar 1973	DR-368	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Heavy Rains, Tornadoes & Flooding	Individual assistance, Public assistance
22 Feb 1971	DR-302	Major disaster	Tornado	Storms & Tornadoes	Individual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026

NFIP claims by year of loss in Carroll County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).

Claims since 197816

Paid claims14

Total paid$268K

Average paid claim$19K

Repetitive-loss properties50 severe

Residential policies in force160.3% of 4,837 structures

Year of loss	Claims	Paid claims	Amount paid	Average paid
2024	2	2	$25,063	$12,531
2019	2	2	$120,360	$60,180
2016	1	1	$5,399	$5,399
2009	1	1	$10,951	$10,951
2006	1	0	$0	—
1999	1	1	$35,000	$35,000
1991	5	4	$33,839	$8,460
1983	2	2	$37,069	$18,534
1982	1	1	$762	$762

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 23.3 of 100

Expected annual loss$5.4MVery Low

Social vulnerabilityVery High

Community resilienceRelatively Low

Hazard (NRI)	Risk rating	Expected annual loss
Inland flooding	Very Low	$1,674,208
Strong wind	Relatively Moderate	$999,513
Tornado	Relatively Low	$758,437
Cold wave	Relatively Low	$464,982
Earthquake	Relatively Low	$337,969
Drought	Relatively Moderate	$313,633
Hail	Relatively Low	$296,803
Heat wave	Relatively Low	$272,932
Hurricane	Relatively Low	$122,681
Lightning	Relatively Low	$107,277
Ice storm	Relatively Low	$39,556
Wildfire	Very Low	$26,805
Landslide	Relatively Low	$5,538
Winter weather	Very Low	$2,099

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles26

Tracks within 50 miles7

Hurricane strength within 50 miles0

Storm	Year	Closest approach	Max wind while within 100 mi
Ida	2021	92 mi	40 mph
Katrina	2005	75 mi	58 mph
Isidore	2002	86 mi	46 mph
Erin	1995	92 mi	40 mph
Camille	1969	11 mi	86 mph
Audrey	1957	75 mi	46 mph
Baker	1950	99 mi	46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1948	92 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1934	24 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1932	12 mi	46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1932	16 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1923	76 mi	52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1923	60 mi	46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1916	16 mi	52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1915	87 mi	58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1912	87 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1909	93 mi	63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1906	21 mi	58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1905	80 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1901	77 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1893	65 mi	46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1888	54 mi	69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1881	65 mi	46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1879	72 mi	58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1860	6 mi	58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Carroll County, MS?

NCEI records 78 hail events in Carroll County since 1950, in 34 different years; that is about 1.0 recorded events a year. 18 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Carroll County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 28 tornadoes in Carroll County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 4.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Carroll County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Carroll County, and how much was paid?

16 NFIP claims since 1978, 14 of them paid, for $268K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Carroll County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Carroll County compare with the rest of Mississippi?

64.3 recorded events per 100 square miles against 89.7 statewide, and 1.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 21.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.