County Hazards

States › Oregon › Lincoln County

Lincoln County, Oregon

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 41041 · 50,862 residents (2021) · 981 sq mi · dominant hazard Flood

Hail · 0Tornado · 4Flood · 22Wind · 8Winter · 0
1984-11-02: Tornado1996-10-24: Tornado2009-11-06: Tornado2024-10-31: Tornado2005-12-28: Flood2006-01-10: Flood2006-11-06: Flood2007-12-03: Flood2007-12-03: Flood2009-01-02: Flood2011-01-16: Flood2012-01-18: Flood2012-01-18: Flood2012-11-19: Flood2012-11-19: Flood2014-12-20: Flood2014-12-20: Flood2015-12-07: Flood2016-11-25: Flood2020-12-20: Flood2021-01-13: Flood2021-01-12: Flood2021-11-12: Flood2021-11-12: Flood2023-12-05: Flood1984-07-25: Wind1996-01-15: Wind1996-01-15: Wind1996-01-15: Wind2010-12-13: Wind2010-10-24: Wind2012-11-20: Wind2016-10-14: Wind
Lincoln County within Oregon. Dots: TornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 46 storm events in Lincoln County, Oregon, led by floods and flash floods.

That is 4.7 events per 100 square miles, below the Oregon figure of 11.7, and 9.0 per 10,000 residents against 26.5 statewide.

0 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 1 injury to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $8.3M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (major disaster, 7 Apr 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 462 claims since 1978, of which 344 were paid, totalling $6.3M (about $18K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1,126 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($59M a year across 18 hazards).

0events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
46events since 19501 death, 1 injury recorded
24disaster declarationslast 7 Apr 2026
462NFIP flood claims$6.3M paid

Compared with Oregon and the United States

MeasureLincoln CountyOregonUS
Recorded events since 19504611,2341,977,440
Events per 100 square miles4.711.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents9.026.559.6
Events in the last 12 months09462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI136026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$8.3M$5.0B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents9.11.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$18K$24K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years3.93.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Tornado: 1Flood: 1Wind: 3
Tornado: 1Flood: 6Other: 10
Flood: 9Wind: 4Other: 2
Tornado: 1Flood: 6
01950s01960s01970s21980s51990s172000s152010s72020s
Recorded events in Lincoln County by decade and hazard group. TornadoFloodWindOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 31 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 13 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Flood22
Other12
Wind8
Tornado4
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Flood22—2.6%detail
■ Other1212.2%
■ Wind8—0.2%
■ Tornado4—3.0%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
17 Dec 2015Heavy RainOther—$1.2M—11County
18 Jan 2012FloodFlood—$3.0M———County
18 Jan 2012FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
15 Jan 1996Thunderstorm WindWind—$1.5M———County
2 Nov 1984TornadoTornadoF0$250K———County
7 Dec 2015FloodFlood—$128K———County
3 Dec 2007FloodFlood—$124K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
7 Apr 2026DR-4907Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
13 Apr 2024DR-4768Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
15 Sep 2020DR-4562Major disasterFireWildfires And Straight-Line WindsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Sep 2020EM-3542EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
9 Sep 2020FM-5362Fire management assistanceFireEcho Mountain Fire ComplexPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4499Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3429EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Feb 2016DR-4258Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
4 Apr 2014DR-4169Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Mar 2012DR-4055Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
25 Mar 2011DR-1964Major disasterTsunamiTsunami Wave SurgePublic assistance
17 Feb 2011DR-1956Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm, Flooding, Mudslides, Landslides, And Debris FlowsPublic assistance
8 Dec 2007DR-1733Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
22 Feb 2007DR-1683Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Dec 2006DR-1672Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
20 Mar 2006DR-1632Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3228EmergencyCoastal StormHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
19 Feb 2004DR-1510Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
19 Mar 1996DR-1107Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And High WindsPublic assistance
9 Feb 1996DR-1099Major disasterFloodHigh Winds, Severe Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Aug 1994DR-1036Major disasterFishing LossesThe El Nino (The Salmon Industry)Individual assistance
25 Jan 1974DR-413Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Jan 1972DR-319Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Dec 1964DR-184Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Lincoln County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978462
Paid claims344
Total paid$6.3M
Average paid claim$18K
Repetitive-loss properties508 severe
Residential policies in force1,1264.0% of 28,353 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202541$45,333$45,333
202352$32,817$16,409
202211$21,908$21,908
202197$155,615$22,231
202011$12,341$12,341
2018205$476,719$95,344
201741$29,490$29,490
201631$20,406$20,406
201586$85,642$14,274
201442$3,322$1,661
20124535$563,930$16,112
201184$71,172$17,793
201021$367$367
200986$51,268$8,545
200810$0—
200732$2,239$1,119
20061916$191,061$11,941
200563$12,873$4,291
200421$1,000$1,000
1999131114$3,091,745$27,121
19987163$858,436$13,626
199731$2,894$2,894
19965842$443,167$10,552
199531$1,498$1,498
199410$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 89.9 of 100
Expected annual loss$59MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$30,738,760
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$20,191,359
TsunamiRelatively Moderate$6,147,424
Coastal floodingRelatively Moderate$901,491
Ice stormRelatively High$498,342
LandslideRelatively Moderate$289,823
Heat waveVery Low$147,148
Cold waveVery Low$96,884
Strong windVery Low$85,535
LightningRelatively Low$71,892
TornadoVery Low$56,137
WildfireVery Low$35,528
Winter weatherVery Low$5,708
HailVery Low$4,735
Volcanic activityVery Low$1,208
AvalancheVery Low$40
DroughtVery Low$5

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Lincoln County, OR?

NCEI records no hail events in Lincoln County since 1950. Reports depend on someone observing and reporting the hail, so absence of a record is not proof of absence.

Has Lincoln County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 4 tornadoes in Lincoln County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Lincoln County?

7 Apr 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Lincoln County, and how much was paid?

462 NFIP claims since 1978, 344 of them paid, for $6.3M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Lincoln County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Lincoln County compare with the rest of Oregon?

4.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 11.7 statewide, and 9.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 1.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.