County Hazards

States › Pennsylvania › Forest County

Forest County, Pennsylvania

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 42053 · 7,032 residents (2021) · 427 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 16Tornado · 10Flood · 17Wind · 143Winter · 115
1991-06-15: Hail1991-06-15: Hail2001-04-09: Hail2001-08-19: Hail2001-07-11: Hail2002-07-26: Hail2004-05-25: Hail2011-08-01: Hail2012-06-29: Hail2012-06-29: Hail2013-07-18: Hail2017-05-01: Hail2018-10-02: Hail2018-10-02: Hail2018-10-02: Hail2024-10-06: Hail1985-05-31: Tornado1985-05-31: Tornado1985-05-31: Tornado2001-08-19: Tornado2017-05-01: Tornado2017-05-01: Tornado2017-05-01: Tornado2017-05-01: Tornado2017-05-01: Tornado2009-02-12: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2014-06-13: Flood2019-07-04: Flood1974-04-14: Wind1975-08-26: Wind1985-07-09: Wind1986-07-18: Wind1986-05-06: Wind1986-05-06: Wind1986-07-20: Wind1986-07-20: Wind1988-07-16: Wind1989-05-30: Wind1990-08-28: Wind1990-08-28: Wind1990-08-28: Wind1991-07-07: Wind1996-06-11: Wind1997-06-25: Wind1998-05-31: Wind1998-07-21: Wind1998-07-21: Wind1999-07-31: Wind1999-07-09: Wind1999-07-06: Wind1999-09-09: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2002-07-28: Wind2002-07-26: Wind2002-08-02: Wind2003-07-21: Wind2004-05-20: Wind2005-06-06: Wind2005-06-14: Wind2005-07-25: Wind2005-07-26: Wind2005-08-19: Wind2005-08-19: Wind2005-11-06: Wind2006-06-19: Wind2007-06-27: Wind2007-09-26: Wind2011-11-14: Wind2011-04-25: Wind2012-06-28: Wind2012-06-28: Wind2012-09-22: Wind2012-07-26: Wind2012-08-09: Wind2013-06-25: Wind2013-06-25: Wind2013-07-18: Wind2013-07-10: Wind2013-04-10: Wind2013-04-10: Wind2014-06-24: Wind2014-06-17: Wind2014-06-17: Wind2014-06-17: Wind2014-07-07: Wind2015-07-19: Wind2015-07-19: Wind2015-07-19: Wind2015-07-07: Wind2015-07-07: Wind2016-08-13: Wind2016-09-10: Wind2016-07-13: Wind2017-01-12: Wind2017-08-22: Wind2017-08-22: Wind2017-05-01: Wind2017-05-01: Wind2017-05-01: Wind2017-05-01: Wind2017-05-01: Wind2017-05-18: Wind2018-08-29: Wind2018-06-18: Wind2018-06-18: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-10-02: Wind2019-04-14: Wind2019-06-01: Wind2019-06-01: Wind2019-08-17: Wind2019-08-17: Wind2020-04-07: Wind2020-03-20: Wind2020-11-15: Wind2020-11-15: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-07-20: Wind2021-07-13: Wind2021-07-13: Wind2021-07-13: Wind2021-09-13: Wind2022-05-21: Wind2022-06-22: Wind2022-06-16: Wind2022-06-16: Wind2022-06-16: Wind
Forest County within Pennsylvania. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 316 events for Forest County, Pennsylvania, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 74.0 events per 100 square miles, below the Pennsylvania figure of 121.6, and 449.4 per 10,000 residents against 42.0 statewide.

8 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 8 deaths and 38 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $26M and crop damage at $4K.

FEMA has designated the county in 12 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 30 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 14 claims since 1978, of which 11 were paid, totalling $194K (about $18K per paid claim). FEMA counts 18 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($5.0M a year across 18 hazards).

11 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

8events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
316events since 19508 deaths, 38 injuries recorded
12disaster declarationslast 30 Mar 2020
14NFIP flood claims$194K paid

Compared with Pennsylvania and the United States

MeasureForest CountyPennsylvaniaUS
Recorded events since 195031654,4271,977,440
Events per 100 square miles74.0121.656.0
Events per 10,000 residents449.442.059.6
Events in the last 12 months82,02862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI890126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$26M$5.3B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.05.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$18K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years11.125.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 2
Tornado: 3Wind: 8
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Flood: 6Wind: 17Winter: 12Drought: 2
Hail: 5Tornado: 1Flood: 8Wind: 28Winter: 39Cold: 1Lightning: 1
Hail: 8Tornado: 5Flood: 3Wind: 50Winter: 21Cold: 6Other: 1
Hail: 1Wind: 38Winter: 43Cold: 4
01950s01960s21970s111980s401990s832000s942010s862020s
Recorded events in Forest County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 197 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 105 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind143
Winter115
Flood17
Hail16
Cold11
Tornado10
Drought2
Lightning1
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind143—0.5%detail
■ Winter115—1.2%detail
■ Flood17—0.2%detail
■ Hail16—0.3%detail
■ Cold11—1.0%
■ Tornado1070.9%detail
■ Drought2—0.2%
■ Lightning110.2%
■ Other1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
31 May 1985TornadoTornadoF4——730County
27 Jun 2005LightningLightning———17County
31 May 1985TornadoTornadoF4$25M———County
21 Jul 2003Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$1K——1County
19 Aug 2001TornadoTornadoF1$100K———County
14 Sep 2008High WindWind63 mph$100K———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
30 Mar 2020DR-4506Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3441EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
10 Jan 2013DR-4099Major disasterHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3356EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3235EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
19 Sep 2004DR-1557Major disasterHurricaneTropical Depression Ivan—
19 Sep 2004DR-1555Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding Associated With Tropical Depression Frances—
23 Aug 2003DR-1485Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
21 Jan 1996DR-1093Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3105EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
3 Jun 1985DR-737Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, High Winds & TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-340Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Forest County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197814
Paid claims11
Total paid$194K
Average paid claim$18K
Repetitive-loss properties10 severe
Residential policies in force180.3% of 6,343 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202121$372$372
201610$0—
201443$168,546$56,182
201111$362$362
199622$1,812$906
198411$4,471$4,471
198211$2,133$2,133
198111$15,600$15,600
197911$270$270

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 19.9 of 100
Expected annual loss$5.0MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$3,754,728
LightningRelatively High$833,525
Strong windRelatively Low$116,804
Cold waveVery Low$88,628
TornadoVery Low$84,254
HurricaneVery Low$61,134
EarthquakeVery Low$19,099
Winter weatherVery Low$7,103
HailVery Low$4,689
Ice stormVery Low$3,727
Heat waveVery Low$3,207
LandslideVery Low$1,934
WildfireVery Low$1,014
AvalancheVery Low$259

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles11
Tracks within 50 miles5
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Sandy201262 mi46 mph
Isabel200369 mi40 mph
Opal199573 mi46 mph
Hugo198968 mi40 mph
Connie195527 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192813 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191595 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190239 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189636 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187813 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187677 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Forest County, PA?

NCEI records 16 hail events in Forest County since 1950, in 10 different years; that is about 0.2 recorded events a year. 3 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Forest County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 10 tornadoes in Forest County since 1950, 5 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 7.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Forest County?

30 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 12 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Forest County, and how much was paid?

14 NFIP claims since 1978, 11 of them paid, for $194K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Forest County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Forest County compare with the rest of Pennsylvania?

74.0 recorded events per 100 square miles against 121.6 statewide, and 2.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.