County Hazards

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McKean County, Pennsylvania

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 42083 · 39,941 residents (2021) · 980 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 58Tornado · 5Flood · 35Wind · 281Winter · 101
1967-07-20: Hail1972-04-06: Hail1974-07-29: Hail1976-04-21: Hail1978-06-27: Hail1980-05-31: Hail1985-05-31: Hail1985-05-31: Hail1985-05-31: Hail1990-06-18: Hail1991-06-15: Hail1991-03-02: Hail1996-09-12: Hail1997-07-18: Hail1997-07-08: Hail1997-08-16: Hail1998-05-31: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1999-06-07: Hail1999-06-07: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2001-04-09: Hail2001-04-09: Hail2001-05-26: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2004-05-10: Hail2005-06-14: Hail2006-08-03: Hail2008-06-21: Hail2011-04-25: Hail2011-04-25: Hail2011-05-23: Hail2012-07-07: Hail2012-07-07: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2013-06-28: Hail2013-09-02: Hail2013-09-02: Hail2013-09-02: Hail2013-09-02: Hail2013-09-02: Hail2017-05-01: Hail2019-08-15: Hail2021-06-13: Hail2021-07-07: Hail2021-07-07: Hail2022-07-23: Hail2024-06-19: Hail2024-06-26: Hail2025-05-02: Hail1985-05-31: Tornado1985-05-31: Tornado1985-05-31: Tornado1998-06-02: Tornado2003-07-21: Tornado2007-03-15: Flood2007-08-07: Flood2009-05-28: Flood2009-08-09: Flood2009-08-21: Flood2010-12-01: Flood2010-01-25: Flood2011-05-19: Flood2012-07-12: Flood2013-09-11: Flood2013-05-28: Flood2018-01-12: Flood2019-08-15: Flood2021-07-17: Flood2024-06-26: Flood2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2026-04-15: Wind2026-04-15: Wind2026-04-15: Wind2026-03-31: Wind2026-03-31: Wind2025-06-05: Wind2025-06-05: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-17: Wind2023-08-24: Wind2023-07-20: Wind2023-07-20: Wind2023-07-20: Wind2023-04-01: Wind2023-04-01: Wind2023-04-01: Wind2023-04-01: Wind2023-04-01: Wind2023-04-01: Wind2022-07-24: Wind2022-07-24: Wind2022-07-24: Wind2021-07-16: Wind2021-07-13: Wind2021-07-13: Wind2021-07-07: Wind2021-07-07: Wind2021-06-09: Wind2020-11-15: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-07-19: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-05-29: Wind2019-08-18: Wind2019-08-18: Wind2019-08-17: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-05-29: Wind2019-05-25: Wind2019-04-14: Wind2019-04-14: Wind2019-04-14: Wind2019-04-14: Wind2018-09-21: Wind2018-09-21: Wind2018-09-21: Wind2018-08-29: Wind2018-08-29: Wind2018-05-04: Wind2018-05-04: Wind2018-05-04: Wind2018-05-04: Wind2017-11-05: Wind2017-10-15: Wind2017-10-15: Wind2017-09-04: Wind2017-09-04: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-05-01: Wind2017-04-30: Wind2016-07-25: Wind2016-06-05: Wind2016-06-05: Wind2016-06-05: Wind2015-07-19: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-07: Wind2015-07-07: Wind2015-07-07: Wind2015-06-23: Wind2015-06-23: Wind2015-06-12: Wind2015-06-12: Wind2015-06-12: Wind2015-06-12: Wind2013-09-11: Wind2013-08-13: Wind2013-05-28: Wind2013-05-22: Wind2013-04-10: Wind2012-08-09: Wind2012-08-09: Wind2012-07-26: Wind2012-07-26: Wind2012-07-07: Wind2012-06-03: Wind2012-05-02: Wind2012-01-17: Wind2011-11-14: Wind2011-11-14: Wind2011-09-03: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2010-07-24: Wind2010-07-24: Wind
McKean County within Pennsylvania. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 515 storm events in McKean County, Pennsylvania, led by damaging wind.

That is 52.6 events per 100 square miles, below the Pennsylvania figure of 121.6, and 128.9 per 10,000 residents against 42.0 statewide.

27 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 5 deaths and 41 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $73M.

FEMA has designated the county in 13 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 30 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 158 claims since 1978, of which 122 were paid, totalling $1.0M (about $8K per paid claim). FEMA counts 181 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($15M a year across 18 hazards).

12 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

27events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
515events since 19505 deaths, 41 injuries recorded
13disaster declarationslast 30 Mar 2020
158NFIP flood claims$1.0M paid

Compared with Pennsylvania and the United States

MeasureMcKean CountyPennsylvaniaUS
Recorded events since 195051554,4271,977,440
Events per 100 square miles52.6121.656.0
Events per 10,000 residents128.942.059.6
Events in the last 12 months272,02862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI590126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$73M$5.3B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents4.05.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$8K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years1.725.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Wind: 4
Hail: 4Wind: 6
Hail: 4Tornado: 3Wind: 12
Hail: 15Tornado: 1Flood: 8Wind: 70Winter: 17Drought: 2
Hail: 11Tornado: 1Flood: 17Wind: 64Winter: 47Tropical: 1Cold: 11Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 16Flood: 8Wind: 79Winter: 16Cold: 11
Hail: 7Flood: 2Wind: 46Winter: 21Cold: 4Drought: 4
01950s51960s101970s191980s1131990s1542000s1302010s842020s
Recorded events in McKean County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 247 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 219 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind281
Winter101
Hail58
Flood35
Cold26
Drought6
Tornado5
Tropical1
Lightning1
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind281—1.1%detail
■ Winter101—1.1%detail
■ Hail58—1.0%detail
■ Flood35—0.5%detail
■ Cold26—2.4%
■ Drought6—0.7%
■ Tornado540.5%
■ Tropical1—1.1%
■ Lightning110.2%
■ Other1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
31 May 1985TornadoTornadoF4——440County
25 Jul 2005LightningLightning———1—County
21 Jul 2003TornadoTornadoF1$46M———County
20 Aug 1999Flash FloodFlood—$25M——1County
21 Jul 2003Flash FloodFlood—$900K———County
25 Aug 2007Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$250K———County
1 Dec 2010FloodFlood—$200K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
30 Mar 2020DR-4506Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3441EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3356EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3235EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
19 Sep 2004DR-1557Major disasterHurricaneTropical Depression Ivan—
19 Sep 2004DR-1555Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding Associated With Tropical Depression Frances—
23 Aug 2003DR-1485Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Sep 1999DR-1289Major disasterSevere StormPa - Flooding 8/20/99Individual assistance, Public assistance
21 Jan 1996DR-1093Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3105EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
3 Jun 1985DR-737Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, High Winds & TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Aug 1984DR-721Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-340Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in McKean County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978158
Paid claims122
Total paid$1.0M
Average paid claim$8K
Repetitive-loss properties130 severe
Residential policies in force1811.1% of 16,989 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202610$0—
202111$2,249$2,249
202010$0—
201087$50,084$7,155
200922$5,783$2,892
200810$0—
200711$2,921$2,921
200511$97,781$97,781
200421$9,762$9,762
20032619$237,455$12,498
19994236$382,916$10,637
199811$435$435
19962417$131,837$7,755
199421$7,514$7,514
199343$7,401$2,467
199011$2,054$2,054
198944$15,019$3,755
198810$0—
198711$796$796
198511$12,000$12,000
198497$12,121$1,732
198311$524$524
198154$7,408$1,852
198031$861$861
19791412$14,765$1,230

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 53.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$15MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$12,756,049
Cold waveRelatively Low$567,205
LightningRelatively Moderate$494,127
Strong windRelatively Low$364,229
TornadoVery Low$294,389
HurricaneRelatively Low$209,956
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$194,195
EarthquakeVery Low$99,850
HailVery Low$18,804
Ice stormVery Low$17,312
Heat waveVery Low$16,409
LandslideRelatively Low$10,256
WildfireVery Low$2,753
AvalancheVery Low$6

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles12
Tracks within 50 miles5
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Sandy201299 mi46 mph
Frances200481 mi40 mph
Opal1995100 mi46 mph
Hugo198988 mi40 mph
Connie195538 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192831 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm19022 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189625 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189379 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188582 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187831 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187673 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in McKean County, PA?

NCEI records 58 hail events in McKean County since 1950, in 31 different years; that is about 0.8 recorded events a year. 9 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has McKean County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 5 tornadoes in McKean County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 4.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for McKean County?

30 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 13 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in McKean County, and how much was paid?

158 NFIP claims since 1978, 122 of them paid, for $1.0M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is McKean County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does McKean County compare with the rest of Pennsylvania?

52.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 121.6 statewide, and 4.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.