County Hazards

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Navajo County, Arizona

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 04017 · 108,147 residents (2021) · 9,949 sq mi · dominant hazard Flood

Hail · 58Tornado · 23Flood · 141Wind · 32Winter · 0
1955-07-31: Hail1962-10-17: Hail1971-08-12: Hail1982-08-25: Hail1992-08-19: Hail1996-05-25: Hail1997-10-07: Hail1998-08-06: Hail1999-08-19: Hail1999-08-19: Hail2000-07-31: Hail2001-07-29: Hail2001-08-19: Hail2001-09-13: Hail2002-09-18: Hail2003-09-01: Hail2003-10-03: Hail2003-08-14: Hail2004-07-14: Hail2004-07-23: Hail2005-05-28: Hail2005-06-23: Hail2005-08-19: Hail2005-10-06: Hail2005-09-08: Hail2005-09-09: Hail2006-06-08: Hail2006-07-31: Hail2006-07-27: Hail2006-07-21: Hail2008-07-22: Hail2009-07-27: Hail2009-09-17: Hail2010-07-18: Hail2010-07-20: Hail2011-09-06: Hail2011-09-13: Hail2011-09-15: Hail2012-07-15: Hail2013-07-10: Hail2013-09-13: Hail2014-07-06: Hail2015-06-05: Hail2015-06-13: Hail2015-10-20: Hail2016-09-27: Hail2016-07-24: Hail2017-08-14: Hail2018-08-13: Hail2018-09-01: Hail2021-07-12: Hail2021-08-15: Hail2021-08-16: Hail2021-07-09: Hail2022-07-17: Hail2022-09-13: Hail2024-07-27: Hail2024-06-28: Hail1960-06-10: Tornado1962-10-17: Tornado1973-04-20: Tornado1996-05-25: Tornado1996-05-25: Tornado1997-10-22: Tornado2001-09-16: Tornado2001-09-16: Tornado2001-08-29: Tornado2003-06-17: Tornado2003-10-03: Tornado2003-08-15: Tornado2004-09-29: Tornado2005-06-23: Tornado2005-10-18: Tornado2011-09-01: Tornado2011-07-24: Tornado2013-07-15: Tornado2021-06-16: Tornado2022-09-13: Tornado2024-07-26: Tornado2024-06-07: Tornado2025-07-15: Tornado2005-08-11: Flood2006-10-06: Flood2007-07-24: Flood2007-07-27: Flood2007-08-02: Flood2007-08-04: Flood2007-07-29: Flood2007-07-23: Flood2007-08-06: Flood2007-07-31: Flood2007-08-01: Flood2007-09-16: Flood2007-07-21: Flood2008-07-23: Flood2008-01-28: Flood2010-07-24: Flood2010-07-30: Flood2010-08-03: Flood2010-08-18: Flood2010-08-01: Flood2010-07-31: Flood2010-07-24: Flood2010-07-26: Flood2010-07-30: Flood2011-09-06: Flood2011-07-20: Flood2011-07-25: Flood2011-08-14: Flood2013-08-02: Flood2013-07-25: Flood2013-07-27: Flood2013-09-13: Flood2013-09-11: Flood2014-09-27: Flood2015-07-04: Flood2015-07-15: Flood2015-08-08: Flood2015-08-11: Flood2015-10-20: Flood2015-08-11: Flood2016-06-28: Flood2016-08-11: Flood2017-07-16: Flood2017-07-18: Flood2017-07-20: Flood2017-07-17: Flood2017-09-09: Flood2017-08-12: Flood2018-08-11: Flood2018-08-25: Flood2018-07-20: Flood2018-07-15: Flood2018-07-16: Flood2018-07-16: Flood2018-07-19: Flood2019-07-26: Flood2019-08-01: Flood2021-07-23: Flood2021-07-18: Flood2021-07-18: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-08-18: Flood2021-08-16: Flood2021-08-01: Flood2021-08-01: Flood2021-07-25: Flood2021-07-25: Flood2021-07-20: Flood2021-07-28: Flood2021-07-28: Flood2021-07-22: Flood2021-07-24: Flood2021-07-24: Flood2022-07-24: Flood2022-07-25: Flood2022-07-24: Flood2022-09-10: Flood2022-08-14: Flood1962-07-17: Wind1966-07-24: Wind1977-08-23: Wind1977-06-04: Wind1977-06-24: Wind1979-05-23: Wind1980-03-06: Wind1986-07-14: Wind1986-07-19: Wind1989-08-18: Wind1996-04-12: Wind1996-09-13: Wind1997-04-23: Wind2003-09-09: Wind2005-09-09: Wind2006-06-07: Wind2006-07-26: Wind2007-07-19: Wind2009-08-22: Wind2011-09-06: Wind2015-06-05: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-08-07: Wind2015-07-01: Wind2015-07-01: Wind2016-06-20: Wind2018-08-09: Wind2019-06-22: Wind2020-05-09: Wind2024-07-12: Wind2024-06-27: Wind2025-09-10: Wind
Navajo County within Arizona. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 340 events for Navajo County, Arizona, between 1950 and 2026; floods and flash floods account for the largest share.

That is 3.4 events per 100 square miles, below the Arizona figure of 15.7, and 31.4 per 10,000 residents against 24.6 statewide.

7 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 4 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $157K.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms And Flooding (major disaster, 13 Sep 2021).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 106 claims since 1978, of which 77 were paid, totalling $971K (about $13K per paid claim). FEMA counts 328 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($40M a year across 18 hazards).

7events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
340events since 19503 deaths, 4 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 13 Sep 2021
106NFIP flood claims$971K paid

Compared with Arizona and the United States

MeasureNavajo CountyArizonaUS
Recorded events since 195034017,8921,977,440
Events per 100 square miles3.415.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents31.424.659.6
Events in the last 12 months779362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI33,14726,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$157K$4.3B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.00.78.1
Average paid NFIP claim$13K$18K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years3.73.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 4
Hail: 1Wind: 4
Hail: 6Tornado: 3Flood: 12Wind: 3Wildfire: 1Other: 5
Hail: 23Tornado: 9Flood: 45Wind: 6Wildfire: 5Lightning: 4Other: 22
Hail: 17Tornado: 3Flood: 42Wind: 9Lightning: 1Other: 38
Hail: 8Tornado: 5Flood: 42Wind: 4Other: 10
11950s51960s61970s51980s301990s1142000s1102010s692020s
Recorded events in Navajo County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 227 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 99 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Flood141
Other75
Hail58
Wind32
Tornado23
Wildfire6
Lightning5
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Flood14113.6%detail
■ Other75—4.3%
■ Hail58—4.4%detail
■ Wind32—0.6%detail
■ Tornado23—7.5%detail
■ Wildfire6—1.9%
■ Lightning522.0%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
20 Sep 2009LightningLightning———13County
19 Jul 2013LightningLightning———1—County
22 Mar 2023FloodFlood———1—County
13 Aug 2004LightningLightning————1County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
13 Sep 2021DR-4620Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
4 Apr 2020DR-4524Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3442EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
18 Mar 2010DR-1888Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
24 Jan 2010EM-3307EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
7 Sep 2006DR-1660Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
13 Jun 2006FM-2642Fire management assistanceFirePotato FirePublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3241EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
17 Feb 2005DR-1581Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
14 Jul 2003FM-2478Fire management assistanceFireKinishba FirePublic assistance
25 Jun 2002DR-1422Major disasterFireWildfiresIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Jun 2002FM-2430Fire management assistanceFireAz - Chediski Farms Fire - 06/21/2002Public assistance
19 Jun 2002FM-2429Fire management assistanceFireRodeo FirePublic assistance
12 Jun 1999FM-2263Fire management assistanceFireAz - Rainbow Fire - 06/11/1999Public assistance
19 Jan 1993DR-977Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Oct 1983DR-691Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
19 Feb 1980DR-614Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Dec 1978DR-570Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Mar 1978DR-551Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Apr 1977EM-3038EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
22 Sep 1970DR-294Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FlashIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Navajo County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978106
Paid claims77
Total paid$971K
Average paid claim$13K
Repetitive-loss properties50 severe
Residential policies in force3280.6% of 55,334 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202411$824$824
202310$0—
202211$2,862$2,862
202132$121,100$60,550
202021$1,223$1,223
201740$0—
201511$6,182$6,182
201311$242$242
201221$12,010$12,010
200832$11,058$5,529
200754$66,589$16,647
200665$70,676$14,135
200410$0—
200310$0—
200210$0—
200121$3,241$3,241
200011$6,811$6,811
199922$16,380$8,190
199811$27,941$27,941
199721$3,512$3,512
199410$0—
19931814$305,132$21,795
199222$3,960$1,980
199110$0—
198720$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 88.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$40MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$20,465,090
WildfireRelatively High$12,333,689
LightningVery High$3,433,692
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$1,354,693
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,022,342
Winter weatherVery High$522,038
Heat waveRelatively Low$281,339
Strong windRelatively Low$230,556
DroughtRelatively Low$92,239
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$85,909
HailRelatively Low$80,006
LandslideRelatively Moderate$56,697
TornadoVery Low$24,832
AvalancheVery Low$325
Volcanic activityVery Low$9

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Navajo County, AZ?

NCEI records 58 hail events in Navajo County since 1950, in 30 different years; that is about 0.8 recorded events a year. 6 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Navajo County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 23 tornadoes in Navajo County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Navajo County?

13 Sep 2021: Severe Storms And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Navajo County, and how much was paid?

106 NFIP claims since 1978, 77 of them paid, for $971K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Navajo County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Navajo County compare with the rest of Arizona?

3.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 15.7 statewide, and 1.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 0.7. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.